Keith Woolcock's  Instablog

Keith Woolcock
Send Message
I write The 5th Column, a weekly research product which goes to a number of institutional clients around the world. I seek to supply my clients with heretical opinions and facts that can give them a more informed view of the world. 5th Columnideas is completely independent and therefore does not... More
My company:
5th column ideas
My blog:
  • Taiwanese component makers looking at 10m iPads. 0 comments
    Mar 16, 2010 9:44 AM | about stocks: AAPL, ARMH, SYNA, CY

    Some Taiwanese component makers, who are supplying Apple, say the company has ordered enough parts for 10m units of the iPad over the coming year.  If  correct, these numbers suggest that there is plenty of room for upside surprises in Apple's results. Over the last month estimates for  iPad shipments have been edging up. The consensus range is now around 6m to 8m devices.

    The other area where Apple could beat forecasts is with sales into Asia.  In the company's last reported numbers, Asian sales were remarkably strong. Sales to both Taiwan and Japan had increased several fold, more recently sales of the iPhone into South Korea have exploded. Apple has always struggled in Asia, but by the fourth quarter last year the region was contributing 20% of profits - double what it represented a year earlier.

    I have just returned from a 9 day trip to Singapore and Hong Kong and iPhones can be seen everywhere. Only a year ago you seldom saw any Apple products across Asia.  In Hong Kong, I saw three Apple resellers in the Central region. When I last visited 18 months ago there was only one. A leading phone retailer in Singapore told me that smartphones now represent 70% of handset sales in the city state, with the iPhone being far and away the market leader.

    Apple's likely success can also be gauged in the comment from a senior executive from ARM, the UK based company the Intel of the embedded computer and mobile phone world. ARM supplies that the microprocessor design for about 80% of the world's mobile handsets and is being used by Apple in the iPad. The ARM executive recently predicted that around 50 iPad devices would ship over the coming 12 months. 

    The producers of touch sensitive screens are likely beneficiaries. Two I can think of the US are Synaptics and Cypress Semiconductor.


    Disclosure: i do not own APPLE, ARMH, SYNA, or CY

    Stocks: AAPL, ARMH, SYNA, CY
Back To Keith Woolcock's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


  • big sell off in Samsung at end of trading day in seoul today. rumour is that smartphone sales will disappoint in china for next quarter
    Jun 15, 2012
  • Just returned from 3GSMA, I'd say Nokia has zero chance of surviving as a handset maker. Watch has Huawei, ZTE and others destroy it in EMs
    Feb 16, 2011
  • with inflation rising in Asia how long before deflationary Japan starts to perform
    Nov 11, 2010
More »
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.