US stock market indeces are either approaching or has already achieved their supposedly 5th wave targets.
These are the target ranges and necessary test procedure in order to validate the current 1-2-3-4-5 wavecount interpretation of the weekly bar chart structures which indicate the 1st wave is the longest wave and the 5th wave the shortest. The diminishing volume as the rally progresses from March 2009 further supports the current wavecount interpretation.
As expected since February, the Russell 2000 should be the frontrunner and it did. It has already achieved the nominal target and is now headed toward the maximum.
They are practically similar except for the potential wavecount violation by $BKX. $SOX has a potential truncated 5th down at the bottom in March 2009 that is why it is running the fastest and potentially will run way past the nominal target.
Those are my fishing nets in order to be able to catch the big fish. And avoid the crocodile.
Have patience. The markets will decide sooner or later.
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1256/57 more likely but scary since Russell will be hitting max limit before that time. Banking sector will also be over-heating soon together with Transports if SnP tries hard to reach 1257.
Very seldom did SnP was able to reach maximum target since it is a broad index. Nasdaq can do it more often than either Spx or Indu.
Play safe: 1227 to 1243 is my ideal target range based on the daily and 240min charts for fine-tuning purposes.
I took on board your comments from a few weeks ago where you predicted a rally up to the 1,250 level. I was very negative at the time and had exited most of my positions. As a result of your comments I relooked a few things and took a view to "very short " term trade what was left of this "rally" . I have had a good 12-15% on just about every long trade position taken - I have started to lock in the gains.
Thank you I appreciate your commentary and insights.
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The Acid Tests 3 comments
These are the target ranges and necessary test procedure in order to validate the current 1-2-3-4-5 wavecount interpretation of the weekly bar chart structures which indicate the 1st wave is the longest wave and the 5th wave the shortest. The diminishing volume as the rally progresses from March 2009 further supports the current wavecount interpretation.
Spx: img40.imagefra.me/img/img40/6/4/14/aarc/...
Indu: img40.imagefra.me/img/img40/6/4/14/aarc/...
Compq: img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/6/4/14/aarc/...
Rut: img37.imagefra.me/img/img37/6/4/14/aarc/...
As expected since February, the Russell 2000 should be the frontrunner and it did. It has already achieved the nominal target and is now headed toward the maximum.
For the major sectors:
Banks: img37.imagefra.me/img/img37/6/4/14/aarc/...
Finance: img38.imagefra.me/img/img38/6/4/14/aarc/...
SOX: img40.imagefra.me/img/img40/6/4/14/aarc/...
Trans: img37.imagefra.me/img/img37/6/4/14/aarc/...
They are practically similar except for the potential wavecount violation by $BKX. $SOX has a potential truncated 5th down at the bottom in March 2009 that is why it is running the fastest and potentially will run way past the nominal target.
Those are my fishing nets in order to be able to catch the big fish. And avoid the crocodile.
Have patience. The markets will decide sooner or later.
Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.
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Very seldom did SnP was able to reach maximum target since it is a broad index. Nasdaq can do it more often than either Spx or Indu.
Play safe: 1227 to 1243 is my ideal target range based on the daily and 240min charts for fine-tuning purposes.
I took on board your comments from a few weeks ago where you predicted a rally up to the 1,250 level. I was very negative at the time and had exited most of my positions. As a result of your comments I relooked a few things and took a view to "very short " term trade what was left of this "rally" . I have had a good 12-15% on just about every long trade position taken - I have started to lock in the gains.
Thank you I appreciate your commentary and insights.
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