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The author of NoBrainerTrades is an independent asset manager specializing in FX instruments. A former hedge fund analyst, he also has experience working for several large investment banks, in both asset management and foreign exchange. NoBrainerTrades.com is a community of traders focused on... More
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  • Fading Double Zeros 0 comments
    Jun 22, 2009 9:15 PM | about stocks: ERO, GBB, SPY, ELEMENTS-AUSTRALIAN-DOLLAR, CUD, ERE, FXA, FXB, FXC, FXE, FXF, FXY, JYN, SZE, UDN, UUP

    Last week, I was asked about the best times to fade double zeros.

    I argued: Not when price is making recent new highs and new lows, but rather, when price has been 'sloshing around' the zeros for a while and is already in an underlying trend. Today, I caught a good example of this, and thought it was worth mentioning here.

    EUR/USD found some uncharacteristic buying pressure early in the US session today (reported as sovereign buyers) and made a quick attempt for the zeros at 1.3900. They worked this time, and priced faded, as we've seen many times before in this kind of situation.

    I am not a fan of using double zeros when price is making new highs and new lows. Others might argue, but typically you'll see a stack of retail orders lined up around these areas (eg to sell in an uptrend) ready to get taken out and feasted upon by an eager crowd of overeager buyers.

    Unless there is a strong reason around these areas (when price is making new highs and lows that haven't been seen in a long time) in the form of some fierce support and resistance or other major retracements, will I usually look to fade them.

    An example when EUR/USD was on its way to new highs:

    And from today, EUR/USD:

    Short EUR/USD

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