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Jeff Pierce
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I’m a swing trader of momentum stocks with a holding period of anywhere from a few hours to a few months. I run a number of screens to locate the strongest/weakest stocks out there, using technical analysis to determine my entries and exits. Trying to calculate the intrinsic value of stocks in... More
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  • Double Top Forming In US Dollar? 0 comments
    Apr 22, 2013 5:32 AM

    By Poly

    (click to enlarge)

    The Dollar looks to have put in a DCL right in the timing band. The 12 day decline into the low has more than provided the consolidation needed to confirm the low and recharge the Cycle. This was fairly evident today with the Dollar rocketing out of its Cycle Low with an impressive 0.80 move.

    The Dollar is an interesting Cycle to study here because there are some varying scenarios that could be unfolding. Firstly, it's pretty clear on the chart that the Dollar is sporting a Daily Cycle failure. Typically such a failure means that the dominant Cycle is now in decline, in this case it's the Investor Cycle. This isn't an unreasonable expectation; the Investor Cycle is on Week 11 and in the timing band for a top.

    It's important to understand that a Cycle failure does not have to mean a Cycle in decline though. Generally they are telling of future weak price action, but there are no hard and fast rules in Cycles around these failures. So for this reason, an Investor Cycle decline does not need to occur imminently or from a new Left Translated Cycle.

    But at this point with a Daily Cycle failure and a Week 11 Investor Cycle, we should be on the lookout for a new Cycle that tops fairly early. The logical top or turn would be after a move to a double top (83.50) or a quick burst to new highs.

    This as is an excerpt from the midweek's premium update from the The Financial Tap, which is dedicated to helping people learn to grow into successful investors by providing cycle research on multiple markets delivered twice weekly.

    If you'd like to receive real time alerts as well as the most up to date reports, you may want to take their FREE 15-day trial to fully experience what they offer. Coupon code (NYSE:ZEN) saves you 15%.

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