Jeff Pierce's  Instablog

Jeff Pierce
Send Message
I’m a swing trader of momentum stocks with a holding period of anywhere from a few hours to a few months. I run a number of screens to locate the strongest/weakest stocks out there, using technical analysis to determine my entries and exits. Trying to calculate the intrinsic value of stocks in... More
My company:
All About Trends
My blog:
My book:
zentrader newsletter
  • Weekly Forex Recap Of Major Pairs Covered 0 comments
    May 7, 2013 6:42 AM

    By Mike Ber

    The following is a special weekend report from recapping the major pairs they cover, how they traded them this past week, and what they look forward next week. They recently launched their service and are offering a 50% discount for a limited time. To learn more about currencies and take advantage of this offer click here.

    USD/JPY - Weekly close @ 98.98

    Bias: Bullish-Neutral

    (click to enlarge)

    USD/JPY - 4 Hour chart

    Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:

    Upside: 99.788

    Range: 95.408 - 99.978

    Downside: 95.408


    USD/JPY is trading within the 95.408 - 99.978 range. The range is wide because our 98.944 level was taken our recently.

    No changes in our outlook. The bias is Bullish-Neutral. The pair has very strong daily and weekly charts, but future outlook remains unclear, due to important upside barrier.

    In our last week update we wrote about the expected pullback, but USD/JPY didn't retrace to acceptable levels for to enter long positions. We have to give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls at the moment, because they have momentum going. USD/JPY is probably will be testing our upper band 99.978 in near future.

    We want to make our strategy clear: USD/JPY will need to break 99.978 with conviction. That would mean to actually break the level of 100. For now, the only way for us to enter the trade, is for the pair not only to break 100, but also hold the gains. After that we will be looking to enter long position on a pullback.

    Our USD/JPY trades:

    Click HERE for the list of our trades in April

    No positions

    EUR/USD - Weekly close @ 1.3113

    Bias: Bearish-Neutral

    (click to enlarge)

    EUR/USD - 4 Hour chart

    Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:

    Upside: 1.32486

    Range: 1.28655-1.32486

    Downside: 1.28655


    EUR/USD is trading within a new 1.28655 - 1.32486 range. The 1.3201 level was taken out recently.

    We notified our members on Twitter on Thursday that we closed our short position, in order to get back in at a better price. We wrote: "We recommend selling entire EUR/USD position now. It's trading at $1.3065. We're not bullish, but it will likely rebound and we can establish a new position at higher prices for next leg down. EUR/USD: We are looking to get short again somewhere between 1.3109 and 1.3123."

    We opened a new short position @ 1.3120. Our stop is 1.3248.

    Our EUR/USD trades:

    Click HERE for the list of our trades in April

    April 25th, 2013 - Entered short position @ 1.3049 - 1/3(targeting 1.28655)

    May 1st, 2013 - Added to short position @ 1.3209 - 1/3 ( total position 2/3 - 1.3129 average)

    May 2nd, 2013 - Exited short position @ 1.3065 - PL: +64 pips profit

    May 2nd, 2013 - Opened new short position @ 1.3120 - ( position size = 2/3)

    USD/CAD - Weekly close @ 1.0077

    Bias: Bearish-Neutral

    (click to enlarge)

    USD/CAD - 4 Hour chart

    Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:

    Upside: 1.01663

    Range: 1.00136 - 1.01663

    Downside: 1.01663


    We changed our Bias to Bearish - Neutral from Neutral. The pair is trading within the 1.00136 - 1.01663 range.

    If you are short 1.00136 support is probably a good level to take profits. The pair is not rallying up enough to give us a good short entry. We mentioned to our members that we wanted to start shorting @1.01406, and add @1.01663. Unfortunately USD/CAD only climbed up to 1.0131, and we didn't initiate positions.

    We want to see how the pair reacts @1.00604 level of support. If the pair bounces off this level again, this could be an important support that will lead to a rebound in a coming week.

    Our USD/CAD trades:

    Click HERE for the list of our trades in April

    No positions

    GBP/USD - Weekly close @ 1.5571

    Bias: Bearish-Neutral

    (click to enlarge)

    GBP/USD - 4 Hour chart

    Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:

    Upside: 1.56703

    Range: 1.54643 - 1.56703

    Downside: 1.53615


    No change in bias or outlook. The bias is still Bearish - Neutral.

    The pair is trading within the 1.54643 - 1.56703 range.

    From our last week report: "The pair may continue upside movement to 1.5595 level; if the short trade is crowded, there might be a squeeze to this level. We are not over leveraged, and even though we hold a losing position at the moment we prefer the pair to climb to 1.5595 area of resistance, where we will add 2/3 to our short position that we took off previously. Our view didn't change, the charts are still bearish. We believe that this is one of the cases where big explosive move doesn't change the overall outlook. The development provides a better entry point."

    We added to our short position @1.5590. The close above 1.5605 level may invalidate our bearish outlook, and we will consider closing our position at loss.

    Our GBP/USD trades:

    Click HERE for the list of our trades in April

    Still hold a small position (short @ 1.5250)

    May 1st, 2013 - Added to short position @1.5590 (Total Position size = 2/3, 1.5505 average)

    EUR/JPY - Weekly close @ 129.85

    Bias: Neutral

    (click to enlarge)

    EUR/JPY - 4 Hour chart

    Levels to watch at the beginning of the week:

    Upside: 130.90

    Range: 126.955 - 130.90

    Downside: 125.015


    EUR/JPY is trading within the 126.955 - 130.90 range.

    Our bias is Neutral. We are waiting on the sidelines until the next trend develops.

    It's obvious that EUR/JPY is waiting for the resolution on USD/JPY's ability to challenge the barrier of 100. At this point support @ 125.015 provides a good buying opportunity.

    The pair is trading in a wedge pattern, and we are looking for a break one way or another.

    Our EUR/JPY trades:

    Click HERE for the list of our trades in April

    No positions

Back To Jeff Pierce's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


More »

Latest Comments

Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.