The debt ceiling has been raised and conventional wisdom had it that we'd rally. That notion was blown apart Monday and Tuesday especially. Americans are facing an uncertain future with debts and ways to pay for them. The debt ceiling will create yet another commission to come up with solutions. This is pretty dumb since we already had a presidential commission with a recent report that no one wanted to deal with, especially the president.
The focus has shifted from this Washington melodrama to real stuff like economic data. Today Personal Income and Spending showed the first decline in 2 years. Recent reports taken together indicate a rapidly declining economy. In fact, J.P. Morgan economists have slashed forecasts for the second half of 2011 from 2.7% GDP growth (already reduced) to below single digit. The inference is a trip back to recession.
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