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David Fry writes a subscription newsletter focused on technical analysis of exchange-traded funds, called ETF Digest (www.etfdigest.com). Dave founded the ETF Digest in 2001 and was among the very first to see the need for a publication that provided individual investors with information and... More
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  • INVESTORS CONTEMPLATE NEXT MOVE 0 comments
    Dec 1, 2011 7:35 PM | about stocks: IWM, QQQ, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, XLK, JCP, KSS, M, TJX, XRT, BAC, MS, GS, KBE, XLF, IYR, XHB, XLB, XLI, IEF, TLT, BWX, UUP, FXE, DJP, GLD, GDX, SLV, JJC, DBB, DBA, JJG, USO, UGA, XLE, EFA, EZU, EEM, EWJ, EWA, EWC, EWY, EWG, EWQ, EWZ, RSX, EPI, FXI

    Upon further reflection most know Wednesday's central bank action was just a handout to buy time. Both Barclay's and Goldman Sachs didn't think highly of the bullish reaction to yesterday's news. Barclay's Paul Robinson said the market updraft was "exaggerated" and "not easy to make the case that the magnitude of the news quite justifies the magnitude of the global market reaction." He continued: "Market participants seem as fearful of missing a market updraft as they are of getting caught in a downdraft." Goldman sounded a more ominous tone by stating: "Although there is the obvious counter: why act now - is there something lurking around the corner? Those are worries for tomorrow though."

    By Thursday, investors are sober knowing that the Fed, along with a few other players, gave interest free handouts and the solution to the eurozone's problems have been postponed for awhile. Much of the optimism for a solution comes from those knowing that a common political union is the answer while at the same time it seems unlikely to occur.

    Jobless Claims were disappointing as they surged once again beyond 400K (402K vs 393K expected) but it's interesting how consistently previous data is revised higher as shown below:

     U.S. ISM Mfg Data was more positive (52.7 vs 51.8 expected) which shows more economic growth. However, while U.S. data is improving the rest of the world is contracting as the chart below demonstrates.

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    Stocks: IWM, QQQ, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, XLK, JCP, KSS, M, TJX, XRT, BAC, MS, GS, KBE, XLF, IYR, XHB, XLB, XLI, IEF, TLT, BWX, UUP, FXE, DJP, GLD, GDX, SLV, JJC, DBB, DBA, JJG, USO, UGA, XLE, EFA, EZU, EEM, EWJ, EWA, EWC, EWY, EWG, EWQ, EWZ, RSX, EPI, FXI
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