Dr. Kris'  Instablog

Dr. Kris
Send Message
Dr. Kris hails from the land o' lakes, beer, bratwurst, and Bucky Badger. She traded in her cheese hat for a propeller beanie and has never looked back. She has two degrees from MIT because one just wasn't enough. Her life goal was to figure out the universe and having done that (at least to her... More
My company:
Stock Market Cook Book
My blog:
Stock Market Cook Book
  • Intraday Market Notes: Nasdaq Breaks Support - October 9 0 comments
    Oct 9, 2012 5:13 PM | about stocks: DECK, AAPL

    3:45 pm ET: The market sank on negative global growth comments from the IMF (International Monetary Fund). The tech-heavy indices continued to suffer as Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) dove to an intraday low of $625 before firming up. Yesterday's break in $650 major support also coincided with a break in a head and shoulders pattern that is regarded by technicians as a bearish setup. What this means in lay terms is that a fundamental shift in perception is taking place. One tip-off that Wall Street is losing enthusiasm is today's news that Nomura (a major brokerage firm and investment bank) initiated coverage of the company with a Neutral rating. This doesn't sound so bad but on Apple this is more like a Negative (or Sell) rating--ouch!

    Apple reminds me a lot of Deckers (NYSE:DECK), the maker of Uggs. Uggs were a fashion darling several years ago with their sheepskin-lined boots a must-have for cold weather fashionistas (and non-fashionistas, too). Profits kept rising and investor enthusiasm evolved into a type of fanaticism, exactly like what's happening to Apple. But tastes change and consumers are fickle. Competition grew and Ugg sales began to slide. Investors, still infatuated with the product and blinded by the belief that profits would continue to grow, began to buy the stock on the dips. But the dips turned out to be no more than pauses in a steady decline. The stock has lost a whopping 70% of its value in just the past year and the sell-off doesn't appear to over. I'm bringing up this example as a cautionary tale to all of you Apple heads who refuse to see that dark clouds may be forming over Mac-land. If you do hold a long position I strongly recommend hedging it and/or begin taking profits. You can always jump back in when the stock has firmed up.

    All of the major averages were down today including the Transports (DTX) which took the biggest hit. This directional change does not bode well for a rally especially considering the VIX is beginning to move up. The Nasdaq breaking support at 3085 is another bearish sign. Next stop for that index is 3050 (minor support) followed by major support at 3000. Earnings season kicks off today with Alcoa (NYSE:AA) reporting after the bell. A surprise to the upside could lift the market on tomorrow's open.

    Note to Subscribers: There is one new Stock Darling.

    Stocks: DECK, AAPL
Back To Dr. Kris' Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

  • Steel case: $AKS (+10%) & $X (+7%) jumping to new yearly highs. Steel etf $SLX also on track to close at new yearly high.
    about 10 hours ago
  • Bad trip: Cannabis stox at highs & now--$VAPE ($49.6, $0.0016) $CBIS ($55k, $0.01) $MJNA ($3.5k, $0.04) $HEMP ($3, $0.03) $MYHI ($14,$0.02).
    1 day ago
  • Discounters getting marked-up: Breaking out to all-time highs are off-price retailers $TJX & $ROST along with dollar store $DG.
    1 day ago
More »

Latest Comments


Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.