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Street One Financial LLC (S1F or Street One) is an independent entity affiliated with Precision Securities, LLC., a full service registered broker dealer and a member of FINRA/SIPC. Street One specializes in educating, evaluating and trading ETFs, equities and options. Our firm assists portfolio... More
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  • Today's Technical Outlook -10/28/2013 0 comments
    Oct 28, 2013 10:23 AM

    Market Summary

    David Chojnacki S1F Market Technician

    Decent earnings reports helped push the major indices to a good open on Friday. There was some profit taking during the session, but when the final bell rang, the S&P and Nasdaq100 moved to new highs. Above average volume seemed to have put some conviction behind the move, however, breadth was only slightly positive. Though the DJIA had a moderate gain, it still has not been able to puncture its mid-September high. At the close on Friday, the DJIA was up 0.39%, the S&P gained 0.44%, and the Nasdaq100 up 0.64%. Breadth was positive, 1.3 to 1, on above average volume. For the week, the DJIA gained 1.1%, the S&P moved up 0.8%, and the Nasdaq100 also gaining 0.8%. RSI's moved up in Friday's session and the Nasdaq100 is near over-bought territory. ROC(10's) were mixed in the session, but remain positive. The IWM(Russell small cap) also closed at a new high. The VIX closed down 0.83%, to finish at 13.09; a very docile level.

    Trading Trends

    David Chojnacki S1F Market Technician

    Long term technicals remain positive, with the Nasdaq100 and S&P making new highs last week. The DJIA remains the last major index to move to new highs. Short term technicals continue with a positive bias. Key short term support for the Nasdaq100 is now at 3200 and 1665 for the S&P. Near term the Nasdaq100 and S&P are approaching over-bought territory. Near term, we will be watching 1740-45 to provide key near term support. The Nasdaq100 has key near term support at 3300, where a gap exists. We get plenty of economic reports this week, including PPI, CPI, and FOMC decision. Earnings reports continue. The Nikkei was up moderately overnight, while Europe is slightly lower in early trade. Futures are just slightly positive versus fair value pre-market.

    MAJOR INDICES Short term support and resistance level

    DJIA

    close 15570

    SP500

    close 1759

    N100

    close 3383

    15500

    15600

    1750

    1762

    3375

    3388

    15450

    15676

    1745

    1775

    3362

    3400

    15400

    15700

    1740

    1788

    3350

    3412

    15332

    15709

    1737

    1800

    3337

    3425

    15325

    15750

    1725

    1804

    3325

    3429

    15226

    15800

    1712

    1812

    3312

    3437

    15218

    15850

    1709

    1825

    3300

    3450

     

    15900

    1700

    1837

    3288

    3462

      

    1698

     

    3275

    3475

    DISCLAIMER LANGUAGE -ALL PRICES NOTED IN THIS PUBLICATION ARE AS OF THE CLOSE ON TRADING PRIOR TO

    TODAY'S DATE, UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED

    This publication is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation to buy any securities mentioned herein. The information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized sources that are believed to be reliable. Street One Financial LLC (S1F) have not independently verified the facts, assumptions and estimates contained in this publication.

    Accordingly, no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this publication. The information contained in this publication is not and does not purport to be a complete analysis of every material fact respecting any company, industry, ETF or other security You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The Fund's investment return and principal value will fluctuate. Upon redemption, shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. The Fund's current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Go to toll free telephone number or Web site to obtain performance current to the most recent month-end. The average annualized total returns reflect the deduction of the Fund's maximum sales load. (When also showing non-standardized performance, if the sales load is not reflected, the disclosure must state that performance does not reflect the deduction of loads or fees and, if reflected, would have reduced performance.)

    You should read the prospectus carefully before investing. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. Many of the securities mentioned in this publication involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established securities. For these and other reasons, the investments discussed in this publication may be unsuitable for investors depending on their specific investment objectives and financial position. Each investor should complete his or her own additional investigation and assessment prior to making investments in any securities. You should consider the investment objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing Transactions in securities mentioned herein may be affected only in those states where such securities are qualified for sale.

    Street One Technical Analysis LLC is an independently owned Company from Street One Financial LLC (S1F). S1F is an independent Company specializing in ETF's, equities, and options utilizing the Broker/Dealer services and licenses of GWM Group Inc., a fully registered Broker Dealer and member of SIPC/FINRA. S1F specializes in agency ETF/ETP, equities, and options trade execution. On the ETF/ETP end, S1F may work with the ETF issuers to understand their products more thoroughly and how they can complement an investor's portfolio.

    Data sources include ETF Database, ETFTrends.com, IndexUniverse.com, Google Finance, and Bloomberg data and at times other data sources are utilized. Leveraged, Inverse & Leveraged Inverse Conclusions and Risks 1) Leveraged, Inverse, and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs generally capture a high percentage of their expected daily returns, particularly on a net asset value basis. 2) L&LI ETFs are not appropriate for all investors. However, we believe they can be appropriate tools for some investors looking to make short-term tactical trades if they perceive a high likelihood of a strong market move occurring in a relatively short time period. In strong trending markets, being on the right side of the "trade" with L or LI ETFs can lead to very strong returns. 3) Investors should not expect these ETFs to deliver total returns linked to their benchmarks over any period other than daily. The effects of compounding and the daily re-leveraging or de-leveraging that occurs with L&LI

    ETFs can lead to unexpected results over the long term. As a result, we believe longer-term investors should consider regularly rebalancing positions. 4) Trendless markets, particularly those with a high level of volatility, can lead to substantial relative underperformance of L&LI ETFs. 2) Leveraged and Leveraged Inverse (L&LI) ETFs typically utilize futures and equity swap agreements. The use of these derivative instruments increases risk and enhances the possibility of tracking error.

    Relative to traditional ETFs, leveraged, inverse and leveraged inverse ETFs typically have higher costs and lower tax efficiency. 3) The effects of compounding can lead to significant deviations from traditional benchmarks over longer time periods. For example, if $100,000 is invested in an index that increases in value by 10% on day one and then decreases in value by 10% on day two, the investment will be worth $110,000 at the end of day one and $99,000 after day two. However, the value of a security that doubles the daily performance of the index would be worth $120,000 on day one and $96,000 after day two. Thus, the index is down 1% after two days, a doubling of which would be down 2%. However, the security attempting to double the return of the index is down 4%. Investors should consider carefully the potential impact over longer periods. MLP and MLP ETF Risks Individual MLPs are publicly traded partnerships that have unique risks related to their structure. These include, but are not limited to, their reliance on the capital markets to fund growth, adverse ruling on the current tax treatment of distributions (typically mostly tax deferred), and commodity volume risk.

    For tax purposes, MLP ETFs are taxed as C corporations and will be obligated to pay federal and state corporate income taxes on their taxable income, unlike traditional ETFs, which are structured as registered investment companies. These ETFs are likely to exhibit tracking error relative to their index as a result of accounting for deferred tax assets or liabilities (see funds' prospectuses). The potential tax benefits from investing in MLPs depend on their being treated as partnerships for federal income tax purposes and, if the MLP is deemed to be a corporation, then its income would be subject to federal taxation at the entity level, reducing the amount of cash available for distribution to the fund which could result in a reduction of the fund's value. MLP funds accrue deferred income taxes for future tax liabilities associated with the portion of MLP distributions considered to be a tax-deferred return of capital and for any net operating gains as well as capital appreciation of its investments; this deferred tax liability is reflected in the daily NAV; and, as a result, the MLP fund's after-tax performance could differ significantly from the underlying assets even if the pre-tax performance is closely tracked. Commodity ETF Risks Commodity ETFs may be subject to greater volatility than traditional ETFs and can be affected by increased volatility of commodities prices or indexes as well as changes in supply-and-demand relationships, interest rates, monetary and other governmental policies, or factors affecting a particular sector or commodity. Currency ETF Risks Investments in currency involve additional special risks, such as credit risk and interest rate fluctuations. ETFs mentioned at times may have material exposure to small cap and/or international securities that may have higher levels of risk and volatility than other ETFs.

    Major Economic Reports Today

    Industrial Prod./Capacity Util.-9:15am Pending Home Sales-10:00am

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