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Saxo Bank’s Outrageous Predictions for 2011

Every year, Saxo Bank creates a list of black swan events, inspired by the teachings of Nassim Taleb. This years predictions, strangely, don’t seem all that highly unlikely:
  1. US CONGRESS BLOCKS BERNANKE’S QE3
  2. APPLE BUYS FACEBOOK
  3. US DOLLAR INDEX TOPS 100
  4. US 30-YEAR TREASURY YIELD SLIDES TO 3%
  5. AUSSIE-STERLING DIVES 25%
  6. CRUDE OIL GUSHES BEFORE CORRECTING BY ONE THIRD
  7. NATURAL GAS SURGES 50 PERCENT
  8. GOLD POWERS TO USD 1800 AS CURRENCY WARS ESCALATE
  9. S&P500 REACHES AN ALL-TIME HIGH
  10. RUSSIA’S RTS INDEX REACHES 2500

Read the full report, including Saxo Bank’s rationale for its predictions.




Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.