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  • The Truth Behind The Housing Market 0 comments
    Oct 5, 2012 7:18 AM

    With yet another month of data, we're seeing the continued recovery in the housing market. Research firm CoreLogic, Inc. (NYSE/CLGX) just reported that August home prices were up 4.6% from a year ago. This big increase in year-over-year home prices is the largest in six years.

    Don't get me wrong; the housing market will not reach the highs of the past decade anytime soon. But we are clearly off the bottom and that is a crucial development. To buy such a large asset, buyers need to feel somewhat secure that home prices won't keep dropping. While no one is looking for massive returns, having a stable housing market is extremely important in this economic recovery.

    While many believe the housing market is flooded with properties, the opposite is true; we're seeing shortages of properties driving up home prices, not only in this report, but from the homebuilders themselves. That's why homebuilder stocks have had massive moves this year, being one of the strongest equities to own.

    According to the National Association of Realtors, the number of listed homes for sale was down 18.0%. I think this is partially due to the fact that the homeowners are seeing home prices increase; so they hold off until home prices get high enough for them to sell their properties. At that point, the housing market will reach some sort of equilibrium between supply and demand. For now, demand is clearly outpacing supply in many parts of the country.


    By Sasha Cekerevac for Investment Contrarians

    Economic Forecast 2013

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