Harry Long is the Managing Partner of Contrarian Industries LLC, a firm that specializes in private investment activities, systematic investment research, and strategic consulting. Mr. Long, through his work with Contrarian, specializes in the research and development of empirically based... More
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Ebix's Expanded Stock Buyback Authorization Could be a Catalyst for Share Price Appreciation 3 comments
It's great to see management teams and company boards that put their money where their mouth is when it comes to an undervalued stock. It has been clear that Ebix management has seen their stock as undervalued for some time now, and an expanded buyback authorization is yet more tangible evidence of a commitment to increasing shareholder value.
In addition, the buyback may create upward pressure on the stock as shorts simultaneously have received a blow to their thesis, and buying pressure increases the share price.
All management behavior is a form of signaling. The increased buyback authorization signals shrewd management and perhaps (just perhaps) a willingness to increase buyback authorizations in the future.
Disclosure: Long Ebix
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This post has 3 comments:
Growth companies generally don't have buy back programs. They use the cash for acquisitions. Slowing of their growth (either organic or via acquisition), would be terrible for valuation. Companies will use the "cheap valuation" as an excuse to buy back stock, but in reality, it's suggestive of something troubling: lack of acquisition opportunities or lack of returns on employed capital. Further, they have liability exposure regarding converts and bank loans. This particular buy back is a lame attempt to scare the shorts and boost their stock price above the conversion price. (I suppose on the other hand, the EZ Data doesn't seem to be working out, so perhaps a buy back is appropriate given their acquisition skills).
What they should be doing is ramping up their sales force and marketing efforts. They claim to be doing so, but hiring a bunch of people to work out of their India facility isn't the same thing.
You need to pick apart the numbers and ask serious questions of how these numbers are really adding up. The short thesis is quite simple, and a buyback only strengthens it.
How's that short position working out for you? :)
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