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Jim Van Meerten is an advisor to Marketocracy Capital Management and writes on financial subjects here and on Barchart Portfolio Blogs and Seeking Alpha. He earned a BS in Accounting and Business Administration from Berry College; a Juris Doctorate from the Woodrow Wilson School of Law; and... More
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  • BARCHART MORNING CALL  0 comments
    Aug 7, 2014 9:48 AM | about stocks: DUK, CEL, AET, ESL, ETP, BWXT, RIG, CF, EVHC, CTL, PRU, FOXA, SYMC, GMCR, EAT, MYL, AES, WEN, RGLD, TK, LAMR, AMCX, ICE, NRG, NRF, TDC, BR, SNI, LPI, MNK, OUT, HAR, HRC, MBI, SUNE, DNB, WIN, SSYS, OGE, GPOR, AWK, TWO, HII, WWAV

    BARCHART MORNING CALL

    Thursday, August 7th, 2014

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    OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

    September E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.21%) this morning are up +0.16% as Q2 stock earnings results continue to surprise on the upside, while European stocks are down -0.36% after German industrial output rose less than expected along with concern the Ukraine conflict and sanctions against Russia will undermine the European economy. Russia's Micex Stock Index tumbled to a 3-month low as retailers plunged on concern a ban on food imports from sanctioned countries will cut earnings after Russian President Putin ordered restrictions on food and agricultural imports for one year from countries that have imposed or supported sanctions against Russia. Limiting losses in European stocks is the fall in the 10-year German bund yield to a record low 1.078% ahead of today's ECB meeting. Asian stocks closed mostly lower: Japan +0.48%, Hong Kong -0.80%, China -1.51%, Taiwan -0.14%, Australia -0.05%, Singapore -0.18%, South Korea -0.36%, India -0.30%. Commodity prices are mostly lower. Sep crude oil (CLU14 -0.02%) is down -0.33% at a fresh 6-month low. Sep gasoline (RBU14 +0.07%) is down -0.11%. Dec gold (GCZ14 -0.05%) is down -0.09%. Sep copper (HGU14 +0.16%) is up +0.14%. Agriculture and livestock prices are mostly lower with Oct lean hogs down -0.71% at a 3-1/2 month low. The dollar index (DXY00 +0.02%) is up +0.05%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.06%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.20%. Sep T-note prices (ZNU14 +0.16%) are up +4.5 ticks on positive carry-over from a rally in German bunds.

    German Jun industrial production rose +0.3% m/m and unexpectedly fell -0.5% y/y, weaker than expectations of +1.2% m/m and +0.3% y/y with the -0.5% y/y drop the largest annual decline in 11 months.

    As expected, the BOE maintained its benchmark rate at 0.50% and kept its asset purchase target at 375 billion pounds.

    U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

    Today's U.S. weekly unemployment claims report should continue to show a slowly-improving layoff picture. Today's initial unemployment claims report is expected to show a slight +3,000 increase to 305,000 after last week's +23,000 gain to 302,000. Today's June U.S. consumer credit report is expected to show another strong increase of +$18.700 billion, close to May's increase of +$19.602 billion.

    There are 17 of the S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports including: Mylan (consensus $0.72), AES Corp. (0.28), Wendy's (0.10), InterContinentalExchange (2.02), Scripps Networks (1.13), Duke Energy (0.98). Equity conferences for the remainder of this week include: Black Hat USA 2014 on Wed-Thu and Needham Advanced Industrial Technologies Conference on Thu.

    OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

    Duke Energy (DUK -1.61%) reported Q2 EPS of $1.11, well above consensus of 98 cents.

    Carnival Corp. (CCL +0.69%) rose nearly 3% in pre-market trading after BOA/Merril upgraded the stock to 'Buy' from 'Neutral.'

    Aetna (AET -0.18%) was downgraded to 'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Goldman Sachs.

    Esterline (ESL +0.14%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Goldman Sachs who also raised their price target on the stock to $140 from $111.

    Energy Transfer Partners (ETP -1.49%) reported Q2 EPS of 79 cents, higher than consensus of 64 cents.

    Babcock & Wilcox (BWC -0.35%) sank over 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 44 cents, lower than consensus of 49 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS view to $1.70-$1.85 from $2.00-$2.20, below consensus of $2.12.

    Transocean (RIG -1.09%) rose over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of $1.61, well ahead of consensus of $1.12.

    CF Industries (CF +1.36%) reported Q2 EPS of $6.10, well below consensus of $6.71.

    Envision Healthcare (EVHC -0.62%) reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 28 cents, better than consensus of 25 cents, and then raised guidance on 2014 adjusted EPS view to $1.15-$1.20 from $1.10-$1.15, higher than consensus of $1.13.

    CenturyLink (CTL -1.32%) rallied nearly 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 72 cents, higher than consensus of 64 cents.

    Prudential (PRU +0.96%) reported Q2 EPS of $2.49, stronger than consensus of $2.35.

    21st Century Fox (FOXA +3.29%) climbed over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 42 cents, higher than consensus of 38 cents.

    Symantec (SYMC -0.79%) reported Q1 EPS of 45 cents, better than consensus of 42 cents.

    Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR +0.33%) fell over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS of 99 cents, above consensus of 88 cents, and then raised guidance on fiscal 2014 EPS outlook to $3.71-$3.78 from $3.63-$3.73, although that is still below consensus of $3.78.

    MARKET COMMENTS

    Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU14 +0.21%) this morning are up +3.00 points (+0.16%). The S&P 500 index on Wednesday opened lower at a 2-1/4 month low on geopolitical concerns after NATO said there's a risk of Russia sending troops into Ukraine under the "pretext" of a humanitarian or peacekeeping mission. Stock prices recovered, however, and closed little changed: S&P 500 unch, Dow Jones +0.08%, Nasdaq -0.02%. Bullish factors included (1) the U.S. Jun trade balance that unexpectedly narrowed to a -$41.5 billion deficit, better than expectations of an increase to a -$44.8 billion deficit and the smallest deficit in 5 months, which is positive for GDP growth, and (2) positive Q2 company earnings results as 75% of companies in the S&P 500 that have reported earnings thus far have beaten profit estimates.

    Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU14 +0.16%) this morning are up +4.5 ticks. Sep 10-year T-note futures prices on Wednesday climbed to a 2-month high on increased safe-haven demand after NATO said that there's a risk that Russia will invade Ukraine. Another positive was the Treasury's announcement that it will auction $67 billion of T-notes and bonds in next week's quarterly refunding, -$2 billion less than the prior refunding. T-notes came off of their best levels after the S&P 500 recovered from a 2-1/4 month low and. Closes: TYU4 +3.50, FVU4 +2.50.

    The dollar index (DXY00 +0.02%) this morning is up +0.039 (+0.05%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.0008 (-0.06%) and USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is UP +0.20 (+0.20%). The dollar index on Wednesday posted a 10-3/4 month high on increased safe-haven demand over concern Russia may soon invade Ukraine. EUR/USD fell to an 8-3/4 month low on concern over the European economy after German factory orders unexpectedly fell -3.2% m/m, the largest monthly decline in 2-3/4 years, and after Italy Q2 GDP fell -0.2% q/q, which puts it into recession. EUR/USD recovered its losses and closed higher ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting. Closes: Dollar index +0.116 (+0.14%), EUR/USD +0.00067 (+0.05%), USD/JPY -0.494 (-0.48%).

    Sep WTI crude oil (CLU14 -0.02%) this morning is down -32 cents (-0.33%) at a fresh 6-month low and Sep gasoline (RBU14 +0.07%) is down -0.0031 (-0.11%). Sep crude and gasoline prices on Wednesday settled mixed: CLU4 -0.46 (-0.47%), RBU4 +0.0270 (+0.99%). Crude oil fell back after the dollar index strengthened to a 10-3/4 month high and after crude supplies at Cushing, OK, the delivery point for WTI futures, rose +83,000 bbl, their first increase in a month. Gasoline closed higher after weekly EIA gasoline stockpiles unexpectedly plunged -4.387 million bbl, more than expectations for no change.

    GLOBAL EVENT CALENDAR08/07/2014

    US 0830 ET Weekly initial unemployment claims expected +3,000 to 305,000, previous +23,000 to 302,000. Weekly continuing claims expected -27,000 to 2.512 million, previous +31,000 to 2.539 million.
      0830 ET USDA weekly Export Sales.
      1500 ET Jun consumer credit expected +$18.700 billion, May +$19.602 billion.
    GER 0200 ET German Jun industrial production expected +1.2% m/m and +0.3% y/y, May -1.8% m/m and +1.3% y/y.
    UK 0700 ET BOE announces interest rate decision and asset purchase target, expected no change to the 0.50% benchmark rate or to the 375 billion pound asset purchase target.
    EUR 0745 ET ECB announces interest rate decision.
      0830 ET ECB President Mario Draghi speaks at monthly press conference following ECB meeting.
    CHI n/a China Jul trade balance expected +$26.00 billion, Jun +$31.56 billion. Jul exports expected +7.3% y/y, Jun +7.2% y/y. Jul imports expected +3.0% y/y, Jun +5.5% y/y.

    U.S. STOCK CALENDAR08/07/2014

    Company Name Ticker Time Event Description Period Estimate
    Brinker International Inc EAT US Bef-mkt Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 0.866
    Mylan Inc/PA MYL US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.716
    AES Corp/VA AES US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.277
    Wendy's Co/The WEN US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.095
    Royal Gold Inc RGLD US Bef-mkt Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 0.301
    Teekay Corp TK US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 -0.251
    Lamar Advertising Co LAMR US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.374
    AMC Networks Inc AMCX US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.868
    Intercontinental Exchange Inc ICE US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 2.021
    NRG Energy Inc NRG US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.183
    NorthStar Realty Finance Corp NRF US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.373
    Teradata Corp TDC US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.645
    Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc BR US Bef-mkt Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 1.161
    Scripps Networks Interactive Inc SNI US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 1.134
    Laredo Petroleum Inc LPI US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.179
    Mallinckrodt PLC MNK US Bef-mkt Q3 2014 Earnings Release Q3 2014 0.874
    CBS Outdoor Americas Inc CBSO US Bef-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.229
    Duke Energy Corp DUK US 7:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.979
    L Brands Inc LB US 7:30 July 2014 Sales and Revenue Call - Pre-Recorded 2014  
    Harman International Industries Inc HAR US 8:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 1.214
    Hill-Rom Holdings Inc HRC US 8:00 Q3 2014 Earnings Call Q3 2014  
    MBIA Inc MBI US 8:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    SunEdison Inc SUNE US 8:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Dun & Bradstreet Corp/The DNB US 8:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Babcock & Wilcox Co/The BWC US 8:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Windstream Holdings Inc WIN US 8:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Intercontinental Exchange Inc ICE US 8:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Teradata Corp TDC US 8:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc BR US 8:30 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014  
    Mallinckrodt PLC MNK US 8:30 Q3 2014 Earnings Call Q3 2014  
    Stratasys Ltd SSYS US 8:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    CBS Outdoor Americas Inc CBSO US 8:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    OGE Energy Corp OGE US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Integrys Energy Group Inc TEG US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    AES Corp/VA AES US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Wendy's Co/The WEN US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Gulfport Energy Corp GPOR US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Sempra Energy SRE US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 1.13
    QEP Resources Inc QEP US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Charles River Laboratories International Inc CRL US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    NRG Energy Inc NRG US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    NorthStar Realty Finance Corp NRF US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Brookdale Senior Living Inc BKD US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    SandRidge Energy Inc SD US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    American Water Works Co Inc AWK US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Two Harbors Investment Corp TWO US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc HII US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    EP Energy Corp EPE US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Sabre Corp SABR US 9:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Concho Resources Inc CXO US 9:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Atmos Energy Corp ATO US 10:00 Q3 2014 Earnings Call Q3 2014  
    Brinker International Inc EAT US 10:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014  
    Duke Energy Corp DUK US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Mylan Inc/PA MYL US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Westar Energy Inc WR US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Alliant Energy Corp LNT US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Lamar Advertising Co LAMR US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Annaly Capital Management Inc NLY US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    WhiteWave Foods Co/The WWAV US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Scripps Networks Interactive Inc SNI US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Laredo Petroleum Inc LPI US 10:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Markel Corp MKL US 10:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Harman International Industries Inc HAR US 11:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014  
    Forest City Enterprises Inc FCE/A US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Middleby Corp/The MIDD US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Teekay Corp TK US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    AMERCO UHAL US 11:00 Q1 2015 Earnings Call Q1 2015  
    Prudential Financial Inc PRU US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Corrections Corp of America CXW US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    AMC Networks Inc AMCX US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Murphy USA Inc MUSA US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    CF Industries Holdings Inc CF US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Copa Holdings SA CPA US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    EchoStar Corp SATS US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Antero Resources Corp AR US 11:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Royal Gold Inc RGLD US 12:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014  
    Essex Property Trust Inc ESS US 13:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Sempra Energy SRE US 13:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Regency Centers Corp REG US 14:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    American Express Co AXP US 15:00 Fixed Income Investor Conference Call    
    IDEXX Laboratories Inc IDXX US 16:00 Analyst Day - Day 1 Y 2014  
    Assured Guaranty Ltd AGO US 16:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.413
    Computer Sciences Corp CSC US 16:15 Q1 2015 Earnings Release Q1 2015 0.938
    NVIDIA Corp NVDA US 16:20 Q2 2015 Earnings Release Q2 2015 0.256
    CBS Corp CBS US 16:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Salix Pharmaceuticals Ltd SLXP US 16:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Medivation Inc MDVN US 16:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Allscripts Healthcare Solutions Inc MDRX US 16:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc ALNY US 16:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Air Lease Corp AL US 16:30 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Computer Sciences Corp CSC US 17:00 Q1 2015 Earnings Call Q1 2015  
    DeVry Education Group Inc DV US 17:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014  
    Monster Beverage Corp MNST US 17:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    NVIDIA Corp NVDA US 17:00 Q2 2015 Earnings Call Q2 2015  
    Zynga Inc ZNGA US 17:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    CareFusion Corp CFN US 17:00 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014  
    Sprouts Farmers Market Inc SFM US 17:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    SolarCity Corp SCTY US 17:00 Q2 2014 Earnings Call Q2 2014  
    Consolidated Edison Inc ED US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.538
    Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 1.211
    Great Plains Energy Inc GXP US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.408
    Monster Beverage Corp MNST US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.748
    CBS Corp CBS US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.715
    Lions Gate Entertainment Corp LGF US Aft-mkt Q1 2015 Earnings Release Q1 2015 0.212
    Salix Pharmaceuticals Ltd SLXP US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 1.689
    Medivation Inc MDVN US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.233
    Allscripts Healthcare Solutions Inc MDRX US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.089
    Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc ALNY US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 -0.516
    Columbia Property Trust Inc CXP US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.498
    Zynga Inc ZNGA US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.002
    CareFusion Corp CFN US Aft-mkt Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 0.723
    Sprouts Farmers Market Inc SFM US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.178
    SolarCity Corp SCTY US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 -0.994
    News Corp NWSA US Aft-mkt Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 0.029
    Frank's International NV FI US Aft-mkt Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.309
    News Corp NWSA US 17:30 Q4 2014 Earnings Call Q4 2014  
    Foster Wheeler AG FWLT US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.47
    Gap Inc/The GPS US   July 2014 Sales and Revenue Release 2014  
    Hill-Rom Holdings Inc HRC US   Q3 2014 Earnings Release Q3 2014 0.594
    L Brands Inc LB US   July 2014 Sales and Revenue Release 2014  
    National Fuel Gas Co NFG US   Q3 2014 Earnings Release Q3 2014 0.728
    OGE Energy Corp OGE US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.515
    Costco Wholesale Corp COST US   July 2014 Sales and Revenue Release 2014  
    DeVry Education Group Inc DV US   Q4 2014 Earnings Release Q4 2014 0.674
    Eagle Materials Inc EXP US   Annual General Meeting    
    SunEdison Inc SUNE US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 -0.259
    Ralph Lauren Corp RL US   Annual General Meeting    
    WhiteWave Foods Co/The WWAV US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.218
    Red Hat Inc RHT US   Annual General Meeting    
    Windstream Holdings Inc WIN US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.08
    EchoStar Corp SATS US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.165
    Air Lease Corp AL US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.51
    Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc HII US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 1.814
    Stratasys Ltd SSYS US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.447
    Sabre Corp SABR US   Q2 2014 Earnings Release Q2 2014 0.18
    Stocks: DUK, CEL, AET, ESL, ETP, BWXT, RIG, CF, EVHC, CTL, PRU, FOXA, SYMC, GMCR, EAT, MYL, AES, WEN, RGLD, TK, LAMR, AMCX, ICE, NRG, NRF, TDC, BR, SNI, LPI, MNK, OUT, HAR, HRC, MBI, SUNE, DNB, WIN, SSYS, OGE, GPOR, AWK, TWO, HII, WWAV
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