Seeking Alpha

svelletri's  Instablog

Send Message
  • Nokia Continued Missteps Spell Near Term Disaster For Shareprice. 2 comments
    Sep 11, 2012 9:20 AM | about stocks: NOK

    Nokia's continuned missteps spell near term disaster for shareprice. Nokia recently announced their flagship smart phone, the Lumia 920 and they appear to have made a reasonably good fist of it. It come's with a good shopping list of features including fast dual core processor, 1GB of RAM, 32GB of flash, a quality camera, large high definition screen and what promises to be a cracking OS, windows phone 8.

    What more could share holder ask for in terms of a product launch? Well given the 15% dip in the share price immediately post announcement they obviously wanted more, a lot more. I am confident that investors have realised that the lack of an imminent release date means that it will most likely come long after the announcement and release of the iPhone 5. Would-be customers which might of considered switching to windows 8 simply won't want to wait anymore given that they've waited up to a year for the iphone 5 to appear. Unless Apple completely screw up the iphone 5 release Nokia's share price will suffer under the heft of Apple's marketing steamroller. Further to this the other WP8 franchises have clearly not been sitting on their hands and have significantly upped the sexiness of their offerings, the Samsung ATIV S looks like a like a very attractive package and HTC no doubt will come up with something equally competitive. All this does not bode well for Nokia's survivability.

    Nokia have some key selling points, like music streaming, free offline satnav and what appears to be awesome imaging features but I am not sure these will be enough. My bet is that, as part of their mapping solution revamp, Apple will be bringing out downloadable maps in their next release.

    I am a current iphone 4 user although I did try Nokia's Lumia 800 for a couple of weeks when it was first released in the UK. I had to go back to the iphone 4 after realising that the Lumia didn't have a working wifi hotspot feature.

    I desperately want Nokia to survive and be competitive but I can't see this happening in either the near or mid term. In the long term they may make a recovery but not I suspect with their current single minded WP8 strategy.

    Disclosure: I am short NOK.

    Themes: Iphone 5, WP8, windows phone 8 Stocks: NOK
Back To svelletri's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (2)
Track new comments
  • Abu Bakr Hussain
    , contributor
    Comments (595) | Send Message
    It's very risk to short NOK regardless of how you feel about them. Simply the upside potential is high, and with the stock effectively trading under book value, the downside potential is low. Stock prices won't dip below $1.7 again, but they may certainly hit $5 in the next 12 months. If Nokia crashes, trust me, there will be enough buyers for its several profitable sections.
    10 Sep 2012, 05:23 PM Reply Like
  • svelletri
    , contributor
    Comments (4) | Send Message
    Author’s reply » Hi Sharpmango, thanks for your comment. What, apart from the much talked about patent portfolio, are Nokia's profitable sections? Nokia has benefited recently because they have become the only WP7 game in town by virtue of the fact that Samsung, HTC et al, have sensibly halted development on the cul-de-sac that is WP7. They have kept their powder dry until WP8 release and if Samsung's ATIV S is anything to go by then Nokia will inevitably be fighting to survive within the proverbial piranha invested pool or should I say pond :-).
    I personally can't get over the fact that the Lumia 920 weighs in at 185grams. Who on earth came up with the design parameters which give seemingly no priority to weight for a so called "mobile" product. Lack of SD card slot is another major design flaw.
    10 Sep 2012, 11:17 PM Reply Like
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

Latest Comments

Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.