Redrut's  Instablog

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I am an equity analyst and founding member of a triple digit million dollar fund. Oh, and I think technicals are nonsense. ...and no, the picture isn't me but a notable politician, and yes Mr. Samaras has been replaced! I am fully accountable for the recommendations I make.... On my Instablog I... More
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  • RedRut Performance 6 comments
    Sep 9, 2013 10:44 AM

    Since I have built up a decent following, I thought it would be a useful exercise to quickly sum up, what I have written and how the investment has fared! If you look at my actually blog I state a few additional names that are European and not State-Side

    Nokia, Write up here

    Recommended buying @ EUR 3 (July 3rd). Have begun closing the D&S thesis @ 4.20 giving a 37% return in only two months. Huzzah (Paid 3% for protective puts)

    Potash players. Potash cartel shatters profitability

    Recommended shorting K+S at EUR 22 and POTash Corp at $30 on July the 30th.

    Closed both trades out and went long K+S on August 8th at a price of EUR17.40 and POTash at $30.10, making 18% in K+S and a small loss in Potash. I closed out my long K+S a few days later at EUR18.30 making an additional 5% in a few days.

    I recommended buying Dialog Semiconductor on June 18th at a price of EUR11.50. The stock dropped all the way down to EUR9 before rebounding to the current price of EUR15 where I intend to hold until the end of this week giving a 30.5% return thus far.

    I recommended Infineon on June 5th at $8.50 and the stock now trades at $9.50 where I would advise closing it on concerns that the new fab ramp up may eat into EBIT near term. Total return 17%.

    In May I wrote that Tesla investors should sell at $110 in order to get back in at lower levels ($75-$80) as the short squeeze wore off. The stock dipped as low as $85 after my call before continuing it's relentless drive onwards. The stock traded for a while as high as $106 and so i will limit this position to a small profit despite potential for a larger one if you were more trigger happy!

    So a recap

    Followed me on...

    ...Nokia, you made 37%

    ...K+S you made 23%

    ...Dialog you made 30.5%

    ...Infineon, you made 17%

    ...Tesla, you made 3.5%

    ...Potash Corp, you lost 0.5%

    Hope you all find this useful!

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Comments (6)
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  • Seppo Sahrakorpi
    , contributor
    Comments (2146) | Send Message
    Great track record. Your very objective contributions and analysis on $NOK has been very valuable. Thanks.
    9 Sep 2013, 11:57 AM Reply Like
  • Redrut
    , contributor
    Comments (1884) | Send Message
    Author’s reply » Thanks very much Seppo. Look forward to some more insights from you too!
    9 Sep 2013, 12:06 PM Reply Like
  • Genesis Housing
    , contributor
    Comments (402) | Send Message
    You were last advising buying Puts on Nokia just the week before the bid..
    9 Sep 2013, 12:59 PM Reply Like
  • Redrut
    , contributor
    Comments (1884) | Send Message
    Author’s reply » Well remembered and editted
    9 Sep 2013, 01:26 PM Reply Like
  • peter lee
    , contributor
    Comments (20) | Send Message
    I found your $NOK writing to be the most realistic and fact but not emotion based. I held a litlle long to close at $5.25. I still have a small lot left. I do believe MSFT got a very good deal from this, and going forward it's a much better investment than AAPL or GOOG.
    10 Sep 2013, 01:13 AM Reply Like
  • Redrut
    , contributor
    Comments (1884) | Send Message
    Author’s reply » Thanks Peter, appreciate the warm sentiment!
    11 Sep 2013, 02:18 AM Reply Like
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