Seeking Alpha

Danny Furman's  Instablog

I am not an experienced investor but have done more homework on stocks since February than I did for my major in college. My work experience spans sales, education, competitive athletic development, customer service and poker. My search for an enjoyable, competitive career is finally over, as I... More
  • Deep Value Still Lurking in China 0 comments
    Jun 9, 2009 04:46 PM | about stocks: CABL, GRRF, TPI

    After spending the last two weeks on a precious metals binge, preparing for the good ol' dollar's demise, I've returned to hunting for more of what my portfolio is built around: Undervalued Chinese companies driven by domestic consumption, not exports. Normally these searches lead me to thinly traded OTC stocks with less than transparent finances. Surprisingly, three companies that still meet my stingy criteria are traded on major exchanges.

    1. China Cablecom Holdings (CABL): I didn't say there weren't drawbacks to my findings and this company has major ones. CABL announced last month that it received a default notice for the last $2.2M owed to one of its subsidiaries from a prior joint venture. Additionally, CABL operated to the tune of a $14M loss in 2008. Surely this one sounds a little overboard on the contrarian side so far, but the stock IPOd at over $6/share a year ago and traded at over $7/share before Asian markets crashed. Establishing infrastructure for television service is expensive and costs can be expected to decline, although doubtfully enough to result in a profitable 2009. Still, with $30M in cash and assets totalling $183M, this $5M company is heavily undervalued. Insiders still own 38% of outstanding shares and nobody dares to short this stock at the current valuation.

    2. China Grentech (GRRF): This one is an easier pill to swallow. GRRF designs and manufactures wireless communication coverage products and base station extensions for China's telecom giants. 2008 was a dismal year as infrastructure expansion was halted due to the economic downturn. Like many Chinese companies, however, China Grentech minimized the bleeding and maintains a strong financial position. Year over year first quarter revenue jumped 300% in 2009 and the Company recently announced a $7M share buyback to take place at its discretion. Valuation is still below half of book value and volume seems to be picking up significantly.

    3. Tianyin Pharmaceutical Co (TPI): This stock has been on a steady tear since markets began recovering in March. I don't own shares yet, but this is one company I am willing to buy into up nearly 400% from its low. TPI has already announced strong results through three quarters of FY2009 and recently initiated a quarterly dividend totalling over 4% annually. With a trailing P/E of 7 and a valuation just shy of book value, this diversified medicine maker will likely be my next buy.

     

    Disclosure: Long CABL & GRRF

    Stocks: CABL, GRRF, TPI
Back To Danny Furman's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Full index of posts »

StockTalks

  • BSQR volume and price up big this week.
    about 10 hours ago
  • NCR on a tear and still cheap vs historical valuation
    about 10 hours ago
  • CSTR now insanely cheap. Kiosk installations exceeded expectation and the model is unstoppable.
    about 10 hours ago
More »
Posts by Ticker
AAPL, ACM, ALIF.OB, BA, BAK, BOBS.OB, BRF, BRP, BSQR, BTM, CABL, CBEH, CHA, CPL, CSTR, CTT, CYOU, DCP, DGW, EWZ, GD, GE, GLD, GOOG, GRRF, HIMX, JEC, JNJ, LGF, LOV, NEP, NM, NMM, NOC, NWS, PBR, PTR, RIMM, SBS, SKBI, SLV, SPNS, T, TNE, TPI, TSRI, TWX, URS, VALE, VNDA,

Latest Comments


Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.