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Christopher Menkin
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Christopher "Kit" Menkin is of editor LeasingNews.org (http://www.leasingnews.org/), an internet trade publication for the finance/leasing industry. He has 41 years experience in the finance/leasing industry as well as being a founder of a commercial regional bank and serving on... More
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  • September Hits $8.2 Million New Leasing Business---Less Employees And What This Means 0 comments
    Oct 26, 2012 12:50 PM

    by Christopher Menkin

    MLFI-25 New Business Volume (Year Over Year Comparison)(click to enlarge)
    click to make larger
    (Chart: ELFA)

    The good news is the prediction of the Equipment Leasing and Finance Foundation that in 2013 the equipment finance market would grow from $628 billion to $740 billion looks very promising. (1) The Equipment Finance and Leasing Association September, 2012 numbers show a business volume increase of $8.2, as well as the third quarter was up.


    (Chart: Leasing News)

    Compared to the previous year, September, 2012 shows
    a 16% increase.

    (click to enlarge)

    (Chart: Leasing News)

    William Stephenson, Chairman, Global Vendor Finance, De Lage Landen International B.V. said: "Double digit improvement in several index categories is certainly a good sign for our industry."

    Total Number of Employees
    (Year Over Year Comparison)
    (click to enlarge)
    click image to make larger
    (Chart: ELFA)

    Before getting into the other statistics, which continues Mr. Stephenson's observation, would like to comment on what to me is interesting and what I think it indicates: the number of employees (year over year comparison), which reflects for the first time the ZRG Employment index, which also has fallen.

    Why this is so interesting to me is there are many new leasing companies reported by Leasing News in the last six months, as well as regional and community banks getting active in the industry, covered by leasing news. Yes, there were some cut backs by GE Capital ( isn't there always). But what the less employee trend in combination to the positive improvement in business as well as new companies and new entrance means: perhaps the combination of trying to increase profits as well as the automation such as cloud and other innovations making operations, and even sales, less labor intensive. More people working at home, more laptops and digital devices than PC's, much better software, more ram at extremely low prices, much larger hard drive space as if they can't give it away, and the faster silicon valley chips (smaller and hotter) are changing the bank, finance, and leasing industry more than we realize.

    We have entered a paradigm shift we think is social networking, but we are perhaps just entering it and don't fully realize the dynamics of digital phones, iPads, laptops, or what the Silicon Valley chip has created to the changes that are happening to economics and our business as part of it. Thus a divide to go back to the old ways or to move forward---in which the decision has already been made as brought to us by the Silicon Valley chip and satellites. (please see story on Tablet news. editor)

    Back to Mr. Stephenson, as he notes the other charts echo the positive atmosphere being experienced by many of those of the ELFA MFLI-25 reporting companies:

    Aging of Receivables:
    (click to enlarge)
    click to make larger

    Average Losses (Charge-offs) as a % of net receivables
    (Year Over Year Comparison)
    (click to enlarge)
    click image to make larger

    Credit Approval Ratios As % of all Decisions Submitted
    (Year Over Year Comparison)
    (click to enlarge)
    click image to make larger

    Participants in the ELFA MLFI-25:

    ADP Credit
    BancorpSouth Equipment Finance
    Bank of America
    Bank of the West
    BB&T Bank
    BMO Harris Equipment Finance
    Canon Financial Services
    Caterpillar Financial Services
    CIT
    De Lage Landen Financial Services
    Dell Financial Services
    EverBank Commercial Finance
    Fifth Third Equipment Finance, a City National Bank Company
    First American Equipment Finance
    GreatAmerica
    Hitachi Credit America
    HP Financial Services
    Huntington Equipment Finance
    John Deere Financial
    Key Equipment Finance
    M&T Bank
    Marlin Leasing
    Merchants Capital
    PNC Equipment Finance
    RBS Asset Finance
    SG Equipment Finance
    Siemens Financial Services
    Stearns Bank
    Suntrust
    Susquehanna Commercial Finance
    US Bancorp Equipment Finance
    Verizon Capital
    Volvo Financial Services
    Wells Fargo Equipment Finance

    1. Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation Forecasts
      Equip. Finance Sector to Surpass $740 Billion in 2013http://leasingnews.org/archives/Oct2012/10_24.htm#elff

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

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