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Miles P. Jennings, Jr.'s  Instablog

Miles P. Jennings, Jr. founded OV Metrics, LLC in 2008 and is now the company's Owner/Manager. In March 2009, OV Metrics, LLC released a proprietary web-based analytic tool for the analysis and valuation of common stock portfolios. Before retiring in 2000, Jennings was a stock and bond analyst... More
My business:
OV Metrics, LLC
My blog:
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  • Portfolio Weights That Mirror Company Financial Results 0 comments
    Oct 28, 2009 03:06 PM | about stocks: AAPL, GOOG, IBM, MSFT, ORCL
    Determining portfolio weights for a set of large-cap companies (or for an ETF, Fund, or Index) can present analytical challenges.  However, before delving into company-specific results and their respective projected earnings, a simple mirror-weighting of the portfolio can serve as a valuable starting point in the stock allocation process. 

    For example, let's assume a portfolio of $100,000 with the following 5 companies to be held: AAPL, GOOG, IBM, MSFT, ORCL.  The sole weighting factor of Earnings is specified.

    The MirrorWeight Widget is used to calculate the portfolio weights.  To create a mirror-weighted portfolio yourself at www.mirrorweight.com, you must enter only the portfolio's size, the stock symbols, and your choice of weighting factor(s).  

    Here are the calculated portfolio weights---mirroring the companies' earnings:

    Mirror-Weighted Portfolio
      Stock  Shares  Price  Position 
    Value
     Portfolio
    Weight 
     P/E  P/B 
    GOOG21548.2911,62911.63%35.435.18
    AAPL67197.3713,12913.13%31.386.43
    IBM267120.6532,16332.16%12.8110.54
    MSFT77328.5922,09122.09%18.656.23
    ORCL96021.8720,98820.99%19.634.24
    Note: Showing just whole shares and rounding causes slight variance from true data.

    To check the math and demonstrate the MirrorWeight method, we only have to invert the P/E ratios and calculate those % as follows:

    MirrorWeight Check
     Stock  P/E  E/P E/P to Total E/P
    GOOG35.43.028211.6%
    AAPL31.38.031913.1%
    IBM12.81.078132.2%
    MSFT18.65.053622.1%
    ORCL19.63.050921.0%
    Total .2427100%

    The above example uses earnings as the factor, but you may also specify book value or a combination of earnings and book value.  In looking at the above example, IBM has the highest portfolio weight since its P/E Ratio is lowest.  And note that the portfolio weights in the first table are exactly the same as the "E/P as % Total E/P" in the second table.

    Other MirrorWeight Widgets and their programming code may be found at www.mirrorweight.com.  

    Here are two discussions about the MirrorWeight approach:
    Method:  www.mirrorweight.com/ratios.htm
    Market Example:  www.ownershipview.com/method.htm

    MirrorWeight Widget financial data is provided daily by EDGAR Online, Inc. and includes about 10,000 companies.  Data is in as-reported XBRL format. The portfolio display is via OV Engine

    I own OV Metrics, LLC (private) which company operates MirrorWeight as an operating division.  I am long EDGR.  





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