Entering text into the input field will update the search result below

"Less Bad" Is Good

Jun. 10, 2009 9:03 AM ET
Tom Au, CFA profile picture
Tom Au, CFA's Blog
1.1K Followers
Please Note: Blog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors.

Or so Citigroup has just found out. Its shares are up over 3% on pre-market trading. That's because it has stated that the final diluted share count will only be 58 billion, rather than 60 billion shares.

"It's all relative" has become a mantra of portfolio managers. So they will take a stock down, way down, when things look worst, then bring it "back up" (a little), when only the "second worst" obtains. That's a roller coaster way to behave.

Ben Graham said that you will profit only from the pocketbook, not the wisdom, of your partner, "Mr. Market." That is, know the games that the market is playing, but don't try to play them. Instead, use "average" or "rational" expectations for scenarios. When the market goes below those expectations, buy. When in goes above, sell. Don't follow the crowd, because you will just get trampled.

The overemphasis on "relative" has taken too much emphasis away from "absolutes." A performance of -30% in 2008 was a good "relative" performance. From an absolute perspective, it was a disaster. We don't want to go there (nor did we).

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You