Smart Profits R...'s  Instablog

Smart Profits Report
Send Message
Smart Profits Report is a contributor to Seeking Alpha. We hope to have a bio for this author soon. Note: Seeking Alpha editors have contact information for all contributors to enable ongoing communication regarding articles published.
My company:
Smart Profits Report
  • What Obama’s Financial Reform Proposals Mean For You 2 comments
    Jun 22, 2009 10:15 AM

    by Marc Lichtenfeld, Senior Analyst, Smart Profits Report

    On Wednesday, President Obama unveiled his vision for the most comprehensive overhaul of the financial system in decades - an 88-page proposal that, among other things, includes granting the Federal Reserve more regulatory oversight.

    Here are three measures that make up a large chunk of Obama’s financial reform plan - and what they could mean for you and your finances…
    Will Obama’s New Financial Safety Net Catch All The Falling Knives?

    • The Consumer Financial Protection Agency: The primary function of this new regulatory body will aim to protect borrowers from mortgage fraud and unscrupulous credit practices.

    Irresponsible borrowers who now find themselves underwater will get no sympathy from me. After all, if you’re borrowing hundreds of thousands of dollars, take some time to read the documents you’re signing and understand the commitment you’re getting into.

    That said, there were also plenty of cases of outright fraud on the part of mortgage brokers during the boom. It’s hard to argue against stopping these practices.

    Additionally, lenders will be required to keep 5% of the loans on its books rather than repackaging and selling its entire loan portfolio. This will make sure banks have some skin in the game and may think twice before lending $600,000 to the day laborer who makes $18,000 per year.

    It’s also very reasonable to ask credit card companies to eliminate fine print and inform borrowers of their terms in “plain vanilla” language, as the President said.

    These actions should be positive for borrowers in the future.

    • More Hedge Fund And Derivatives Regulation: Regulation of hedge funds isn’t such a bad thing. After all, just because you’re rich and a so-called “sophisticated investor” doesn’t mean you shouldn’t be afforded the same protections as any other investor.

    Then again, if the SEC missed the Madoff scam when it was handed to them on a silver platter, I’m not sure what good regulating all these other hedge funds will do.

    Regulation of complex derivatives makes sense, too, though I wonder how bureaucrats will be able to get their arms around these derivative instruments when most CEOs didn’t even have an idea of what kind of assets they had on their books.

    These are good ideas, but are unlikely to impact the average investor very much.

    • Increased Federal Oversight: This is where it gets tricky. As I mentioned, the Obama plan aims to give the Fed more regulatory control.

    I have no problem with more federal oversight of the largest financial institutions if it will help avoid the near collapse we recently experienced. Part of the reform package’s language gives the Fed “authority and accountability for consolidated supervision and regulation” of companies whose “size, leverage, and interconnectedness” could threaten the stability of the financial system if they were to fail.

    I don’t believe for a minute all the conspiracy theorists, who scream that Obama wants to nationalize the banks (and everything else). And I can embrace the idea that in an emergency, the Fed can step in to take over and wind down a financial institution in an orderly fashion.

    But once the government gets more power, the trend usually continues - and that makes me uncomfortable.

    In a perfect world, we’d have a guarantee that the Fed simply acts as a stop-gap in the event of a crisis. Trouble is, we don’t live in a perfect world - and for that reason, giving the Fed more power to take over banks and insurance companies is a bit nerve-racking.

    Over the short and intermediate-term, I suspect this won’t have a significant impact on financial stocks. But we’ve already learned the hard way that investors can’t simply stash financial stocks away in a portfolio for 20 years and collect a steady stream of income. And with potential new Fed powers, that point is driven home even more. So I’d watch those stocks in your portfolio a little more closely.

    One President… Two Massive Reforms

    In trying to bring about meaningful reform to two huge areas at the same time - healthcare and the financial sector - President Obama is attempting a very difficult juggling job.

    And as important as it is to clean up the financial sector, it’s critical that proposed changes are thought through properly. A president or government official with a quick trigger finger in the next financial crisis has the potential to wipe out a lot of investors.

    Of course, Obama’s proposal has yet to make its way through the oft-gridlocked Congress, where it could emerge in a very different form than now. In this case, that might be a good thing. While there are no easy answers here, I’m pretty sure the one that’s proposed isn’t it, particularly the part that expands the government’s power to take over financial institutions.

    Over the long haul, it makes financial stocks riskier and less attractive. Just ask shareholders of General Motors.

    Hoping your longs go up and your shorts go down.

    Marc Lichtenfeld

    Disclosure: No positions

Back To Smart Profits Report's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (2)
Track new comments
  • Big Bubbette
    , contributor
    Comments (124) | Send Message
    Start with re-enacting the Glass-Steagall Act.
    22 Jun 2009, 12:36 PM Reply Like
  • Daniel J Swanson
    , contributor
    Comments (4) | Send Message
    The Federal Reserve is neither a Federal agency, nor is is a reserve. It is a group of private bankers that have the power to destroy the common man by first deflating and then inflating the currency.
    In addition, the growth required to maintain stability of the system is no longer possible because the Energy Return On Energy Investment of the energy production system that is feeding the dying Industrial economy is in decline.
    Since our debt based monetary system requires continuous money creation to pay the interest on the outstanding debt, it requires "growth" in order to remain stable. Real growth in the Industrial economy requires putting new energy to work. Since there is no new energy, growth will stop, and economic crisis will ensue.


    Read more at,
    22 Jun 2009, 11:37 PM Reply Like
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.