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  • 28-30 March 2011- the Albino Black Swan Devolution of Equities and Commodities 0 comments
    Mar 27, 2011 9:25 AM
    Could the Albino Black Swan Event start a day earlier on Monday 28 March 2011?

    From the 6 May 2010 flash crash, a classic second fractal nonlinear event, an 11 plus/30/27/17 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x/1.5x  fractal is observed with a nonlinear break between day 10-11 of the first fractal signifying near terminal completion of the 118-221 day second fractal to the 6 March 2009 88 day base.  The last three fractal elements of the 11-12 day base, i.e.,  30/27/17 days represent a collective base of 72 days. 25 March 2011 was day 144 or exactly 2x of this 72 day base.  Additionally, the last ten day chart for the Wilshire  suggest a near completion of a x/2.5x/2.5x hourly growth fractal.

    Concurrent with the collapse of the equity markets, the US ten year interest rates will reach historical lows of 1 to 1.5 percent. 

    The US central bank,defacto caretaker of the world's reserve currency, is meeting the absolutely necessary US debt needs (to maintain the US economy) by electronic ledger entries onto its books, US debt in the past has been absorbed by dollar profits made in the global economy. Ironically, paradoxically, this ex nihilo ledger debt can now be rolled over and compete with other real US debt holders to drive long term interest rates much lower than equity and commodity asset valuation deflationary pressures would take them. Money exiting the 14 trillion dollar Wilshire will flow into the US debt market.

    Maybe the Federal Reserve will be able to lock in 2-3 trillion of ten year notes at 1.25 percent.

    Observe using  TFC charts for the US ten year note.   This is an inverse fractal of the TNX but is more demonstrative, representing the buying aspect of the Ten Year Note. Some of the 14 trillion in the collapsing 

    This is empirically what is transpiring.
     
    Observed is a  recent  5/13/10/7 of 7-8 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x day  growth and decay fractal with
    Monday 28 March day 8 of the 7-8 day fourth fractal. 

    This is the base fractal for higher valued (lower interest rate) notes. The second and third fractal series of this 33 day base fractal will conclude a 27/65/48-52 month ten year note Volcker extended fractal lower and lower interest rate fractal series resulting in historically low long term interest rates.

    The timing of the conclusion of the 5/13/10/7-8 day fractal correlates to the Wilshire's expected 2/5/4 day ::  x/2.5x/2x growth fractal which by fractal methodology (17 March was an upgoing day) occurred on Friday 25 March 2011.

    Thus far the Wilshire is following an ideal pattern:

    There is a 28 January 2011 growth and a decay fractal of 9.5/24/8 of 19/16 days.  Monday is day 9 of the 19 day third growth fractal.  A nonlinear drop should occur between Monday to Wednesday. Growth will then ideally  occur to day 19. The 16 day fourth fractal will take the Wilshire to a low on about 3 May.

    There is a interpolated 10 February 2011 10/22 of 25/22-25 day decay fractal. Monday is day 23 of the second decay fractal with an ideal low expected on Wednesday 30 March. Thereafter growth will occur ideally until day 8 of the 22-25 day decay fractal which is day 19 of the third 19 day fractal of the 9.5/24/19/16 day 4 phase fractal beginning on 28 January 2011.

    The CRB is following a 19+/49/42 week series with the peak of the third fractal at the 2x or 40th week following a very exactly Lammert fractal  growth pattern of x/2.5x/2x. Quantum contraction would take this 1.5-1.6x weeks of the base fractal or about 30 weeks to reach a low.  This matches an expected nodal low in gold.
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