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## The Saturated Macroeconomy's Mathematically Perfect Predictable Albino Black Swan occurring 26 April 2011 2 comments

The Saturated Macroeconomy's Mathematically Perfect Predictable Albino Black Swan occurring 26 April 2011

The simple math defining the operating self-balancing characteristics of Earth's Small Macroeconomic Universe.

Why did Google began its nonlinear descent 6 days earlier than the Wilshire?

The macroeconomy and its integrated debt dependent, asset supply and asset valuation dependent, job and wage interdependent, asset derivative equity, bond, commodity and currency elements is a highly ordered and bounded system.

The macroeconomy's asset valuations conform to highly ordered quantum fractal patterns that confer on the the macroeconomy the characteristics of a hard science.

There are only 2 to 3 trading days left in the Wilshire's 12 August 1982 - 11 October 1990 99/247.5 month x/2.5x fractal.

There is an average of 21 trading days per month. The 99 month base fractal represents 2079 trading days: 2158 trading days + 21 trading days integrated from the preceding month. The 2.5x second window has an expected 5197.5 trading days.

11-12 April 2011 represented the 247 month conclusion of a 247.5 month and 5187-88th trading day of the predicted maximum 5197.5 day 2.5x second fractal. Monday 25 April 2011 represents the 5196th day with a residual 1.5 day final window to complete expected historical nonlinearity.

Within the final 3 days and after the final saturation day on 25 April 2011 with the Dow expected to have a nonlinear gap to a 3 year high and ending on the the low of the day, the world will see its greatest nonlinear crash of equity and commodity valuation.

The Wilshire will have a similar gapped higher minutely opening pattern but will not exceed its 18 February 2011, the secondary high to its predicted 11 October 2007 nominal high

(From the 2005 Main Page of the Economic FractalistThe Macroeconomy's Quantum Fractal patterns.

http://www.economicfractalist.com/)Both the degree of valuation and the cyclical time course of valuation evolutions appear to conform to range bound near quantum-like units and quantum related Fibonacci numbers. While the absolute degree of valuation is influenced by the absolute interest rate, the percentage or proportionality changes of valuations from highs to lows and lengths of time to decay and intra-cycle nodal points appear to conform to these range bound near quantum units.The ideal growth fractal time sequence is X, 2.5X, 2X and 1.5-1.6X. The first two cycles include a saturation transitional point and decay process in the terminal portion of the cycles. A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle. After the nonlinear gap drop, the third cycle begins. This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x. The third cycle 2X is primarily a growth cycle with a lower saturation point and decay process followed by a higher saturation point. The last 1.5-1.6X cycle is primarily a decay cycle interrupted with a mid area growth period. Near ideal fractal cycles can be seen in the trading valuations of many commodities and individual stocks. Most of the cycles are caricatures of the ideal and conform to Gompertz mathematical type saturation and decay curves. 2005'The ideal growth(and decay)fractal time sequence is X, 2.5X, 2X and 1.5-1.6X. 'Most of the cycles are caricatures of the ideal."

From the Wilshire's 6 May flash crash: 12/30/24/19 days :: x/2.5x/2x/1.6x

From the 6 May 2010 flash crash a caricatured 12/30/24/19 day or 82 day four phase x/2.5x/2x/1.6x series can be observed ending on 31 August 2010. The actual nodal lows and highs were 14/27/24/20 days with a low on day 12 of the first fractal, a lower low on day 14 pointing to a lower low second fractal ending on day 27 or 1 July 2010 (or

day29 of a 12/29 fractal) with a higher low on day 30 pointing to the subsequent valuation rise to day 24 of the third fractal and finally to a higher low on day 19 or 31 August 2010 of the fourth fractal.This final growth day is within 1-2 days of the very terminal portion of a maximum 5197.5 :: 2.5x to the 2158 day 12 Aug82 to 11 Oct base.This 6 May 2010 to 31 August 2010 12/30/24/19 day or 82 day four phase growth and decay fractal series serves as the base fractal for maximum growth on 2x: 184 days series occurring on 25 April 2011(Good Friday 22 April was a trading holiday.

'The ideal growth(and decay)fractal time sequence is X, 2.5X, 2X and 1.5-1.6X. 'Most of the cycles are caricatures of the ideal.""A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle. After the nonlinear gap drop, the third cycle begins. This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x."The 6 May 2010 flash crash was itself contained within the third 12 day subfractal of a 31 March 2010 6/15/12/9 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x fractal and was at the 221 day second fractal terminal nonlinear 2x-2.5x end of the 6 March 2009 88/221 day :: x/2.5x fractal with two trading days of the 221 days half trading days. 6 May 2010 was the 208th day of the 221 day second fractal sequence.

SYNCHRONIZED SECOND FRACTALS"A sudden nonlinear drop in the last 0.5x time period of the 2.5X is the hallmark of a second cycle and characterizes this most recognizable cycle. After the nonlinear gap drop, the third cycle begins. This means that the second cycle can last anywhere in length from 2x to 2.5x."As of 24 April 2011

1695 93/222 years In the terminal 2nd fractal 2x-2.5x window

1788 70/153 years In the terminal 2nd fractal 2x-2.5x window

1982 99/247 months In the very extreme 2nd fractal 2x-2.5x window

Oct 1998 50/103 months In the terminal 2x-2.5x 2nd fractal window

10 Oct 2008 185/453 days In the extreme terminal 2nd fractal window

6 May 2010 82/163 days (25 April is the 2x 164th day (and expected final high for the DJIA)

16 Mar 2011 9.5/18 days 25 April is day 2x or 19 of 9.5/19 days and the expected final high for the DJIA

25 April 2011 will be the final high the DJIA, ideally characterized by a minutely opening gap to a nonlinear higher high and ending on the low of the day.

Why 18 February 2011 was the final high for the Wilshire?The Fibonacci saturation ratio : 1.618Both the degree of valuation and the cyclical time course of valuation evolutions appear to conform to range bound near quantum-like units and quantum related Fibonacci numbers. While the absolute degree of valuation is influenced by the absolute interest rate, the percentage or proportionality changes of valuations from highs to lows and lengths of time to decay and intra-cycle nodal points appear to conform to these range bound near quantum units.Fibonacci ratios of 0.6 and 1.6 characterize maximum growth and decay in a maximally saturated range bound system. The 4th decay fractal time ratio is ideally 1.6x of the base : x/2.5x/2x/1.6x.

The Wilshire is such a saturated system. the nodal of the 52 second week fractal from to 8 July 2009 to 1 July 2010 spanned 247 days. The ideal base fractal x of a 2.5x : 249 day fractal would be 99.6 days. 1.618 x of this base fractal is161.1 days.

For the Wilshire 18 February 2011 was the 162th day after the second fractal low on 1 July 2010.The Wilshire represents all US equities. It is supported by the total speculative available wealth. The 1.618x third fractal 100/249/162: x/2.5x/1.6x 18 February 2011 will not be exceeded. The 2x 200 day of the third fractal 100/249/200 lies as the 7th midpoint day between the Wilshire's 18 February secondary averge high on 6 April 2011 and the expected final secondary high on 25 April 2011.

Why did GOOGLE collapse 6 days before the Wilshire's 26 April collapse?

Google's 10 October 2008's base fractal of 31/70/84 days was 2-4 days shorter than the Wilshire's 31/70/86-88 day base fractal.

The equity and commodity collapse on 26 April 2011 will be the greatest in historical. Unprecedented nonlinearity can be explained in the simple nonstochastic saturation macroeconomic mathematical quantum fractal models described above and in 2005 The Economic Fractalist.

Just like the ordered connectivity among energy particles in physical energy space universe and descriptive mathematical models, there is connectivity between the asset valuation parts of the macroeconomic universe. Time ordered growth and decay and interconnectivity of the macroeconomic system may have analogous time ordered fractal growth and decay and connectivity of subatomic energy particles and larger mass-energy elements in the energy space universe.

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