Seeking Alpha

The Economic Fr...'s  Instablog

The Economic Fractalist
Send Message
  • 11 and 12 July 2011: Predictable Nonlinearity ... As Ford Goes 0 comments
    Jul 9, 2011 4:32 PM
    9 July 2011: As Ford Goes So Goes America: a nonlinear drop on 11/12 July 2011.
    Will 11/12 July 2011 be a  black swan event for equities and commodities?

    As of 9 July 2011 Ford  and the Wilshire are in the terminal portion of a  33/81 of 82 to 83 day :: x/2.5x fractal series beginning on 27 January 2011.

    As of 9 July 2011 the CRB is at a 16/41/40 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x lower high saturated day. (The CRB;'s inverse fractal is 25/63 days :: x/2.5x)

    28 January 2011 in turn was  the terminal and nonlinear day of a 105 -107 day second fractal for a 43/107 day series for Ford starting on 29 June 2010 and a 43/105 day fractal series for the Wilshire starting 2 trading days later on its 1 July  2010 low valuation..

    Ford began its 2009 valuation growth on 20 February 2009, 11 trading days earlier than the composite Wilshire which commenced its low 2009 valuation growth on 6 March 2009
    The 11 day growth period was preceded by a 4 day initiating fractal starting on 17 February 2009.

    Much of the 2008 40-100 fold leveraged derivative money destruction of the private financial industry was halted by financial industry's central banks and the banks leadership who with the aide of their highly lobbied and controlled politicians  placed their normally bankrupting bad bets losses directly on the public sector.

    Debt obligation of citizens for overpriced real estate and general debt obligation of the system supported with the labor of  taxed citizens and owned by the wealthy elite was maintained.

    There was not enough accumulated wealth in the system to maintain the economy. The central banks began printing money and buying in the US 50 billion a month of US securities.  Ex Nihilo created money was exchanged between central banks to extend the debt obligations of bankrupt weaker nations, again with the wealthy elite the owners and beneficiaries of the maintained debt obligations.

    From the initiating fractal low of 17 February 2009 to Ford's low of 8 July 2009 to the low of 29 June 2010, a 99/247 day :: x/2.5x  first and second fractal with a gap lower on day 247 of the last day of the second fractal.

    The 3rd and 4th fractals are composed of a  43/107 ::x/2.5x and a 33/81 of 33/83 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y decay series.

    The last 2.5y decay fractal will be composed of a (4)10/32/26-32/19-12 or 13/32/26-32/19-12 day four phase growth and decay series.

    By this model a nonlinear valuation drop is expected on 11 and 12 July 2011 followed by 9 days of trending lower lows. A lower low is made on day 32 of the second fractal. A counter trend high is made on day 26 to 32 of the third fractal. And a final low is made on day 19 to day 10 of the 4th fractal.

    The length of  Ford's first and second fractals starting on its 20 February 2009 thirty year low to its nonlinear second fractal gapped low on 29 June 2010 is 342 days in length.
    The anticipated low of the third and fourth fractals composed of the 29 June 2010 43/107day :: x/2.5x first and second fractal series ending on 28 January 2011 and the follow-on  33/83/83 y/2.5y/2.5y decay series starting on 27 January 2011 is likewise about 342 days in length.
Back To The Economic Fractalist's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.