Full index of posts »

### Latest Comments

- ex umbra on The Transitional Top: 14 September 2012: Nonstochastic Saturation Economics: A Validated Patterned Science the Wilshire5000 has now hit a target the Fract...
- ex umbra on The Transitional Top: 14 September 2012: Nonstochastic Saturation Economics: A Validated Patterned Science "interim" aka "Transitional"
- ex umbra on The Transitional Top: 14 September 2012: Nonstochastic Saturation Economics: A Validated Patterned Science the operative word in the title of this article...
- ex umbra on The Great Wilshire June-July-August Blow-Off :Dating From The 1 June 2012 Nonlinear Second Fractal Low Of The 4 October 2011 54/114 Day :: X/2-2.5x !st And 2nd Fractal Series. Congrats on the June 1 prediction. Now, any upd...
- ex umbra on The Great Wilshire June-July-August Blow-Off :Dating From The 1 June 2012 Nonlinear Second Fractal Low Of The 4 October 2011 54/114 Day :: X/2-2.5x !st And 2nd Fractal Series. on p.5 this blog has a chart "Market Secto...
- The Economic Fractalist on The 23 May 2012 Intermediate Wilshire Low ...... ....US ten year and thirty year interest rates ...

##### Most Commented

- The World Central Banks' Reverse Sovietization of the World's Economies, Political Parties, and Populations. ( Comments)
- The 2011 Day Unit Devaluation Crash Sequence Using Ideal Lammert Second Fractal Nodal Lows And The 6 March 2009 Lammert Ideal Four Phase Fractal Expected Nodal Low ( Comments)
- This Is It...Friday June 24 2010: The Wilshire 3rd Fractal's 249th Day of a Wilshire 100/249/249 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x Maximum Growth Saturated Fractal Series ( Comments)
- The Transitional Top: 14 September 2012: Nonstochastic Saturation Economics: A Validated Patterned Science ( Comments)
- SATURATION MACROECONOMICS: A CONFIRMED NEW SCIENCE: ECCE: The 1 July 2011 Perfect Concluding Reciprocal Four Phase X/2-2.5X/2X/1.6X Lammert Fractal Series For the (Inverse of Growth) Composite Wilshire and The Growing US Ten Year Note ( Comments)

## 17 September 2011: The Self-Organizing Self Assembly Bounded Global Macroeconomic System: The September 2011 Historical Global Equity Crash 0 comments

as of 17 September:

The Self-Organizing Self Assembly Bounded Global Macroeconomic System: The September 2011 Historical Global Equity Crash:Validation on the SPX 5-day 15 minute chart M-F: 12-16 September:

Base fractal

in 15 minute unitsstarting monday 12 Septemebr:base fractal: 6/15/12/10 = 40 15-minute units

Second fractal currently at 15-minute unit number 78:

Possible collapse sequence (with a 3 day initiating fractal starting 9 August):

(3)then 7/16/5 of ? 11-16 days days ::y/2-2.5y/1.5-2.5y

or 6-11 more trading days.A possible scenario for the final third fractal sequence of 11-16 trading days as of 17 September 2011:

2/4 of5/4/3 days :: x/2..5x/2x/1.5x or 6 more trading (DAYS: this will extend with trading halts)

Apple, Ford, the Nikkei, the Wilshire and US Bonds: The September 2011 Historical Equity Crash and Countervailing 150 year US Bond Blow-offThe absolute magnitude of the macroeconomic system's mathematical nonlinear September historical correction is secondary to the extreme unbalanced conditions of four of its primary elements: not-to-be-repaid bad debt having reached an extended saturation point via central bankers lending ex nihilo to other central bankers; over supply and supply saturation of the system's primary asset class of value(commercial and primary residential real estate via excessively facilitated past production and facilitated mortgage creation); continued overvaluation of that real estate asset class in spite of three years of orchestrated low interest rates with refinancing to lower monthly payments on overvalued homes, money printing to maintain direct government related and multiplier effect jobs and the related continuance of mortgage payments on those overvalued homes, governmental promotional cash for residential clunkers sales gimmicks, and finally a 30 % market retrenchment; and current derivative asset class extreme overvaluation (equities, commodities including gold and silver) relative to the real estate valuation collapse; bad debt saturation, poor economic activity and resulting high unemployment levels, and secondary to historically low interest rates and money exiting from noncompetitive and non performing savings accounts to defacto support the Financial Industry's speculative equities and commodity futures.

The derivative equity and commodity futures asset valuation system is poised to implode in September with the sudden default and disappearance of Euro debt.

The Euro and Swiss Franc are non linearly devaluating. Note that the Swiss Franc finished an 11/27/27 week :: x/2.5x/2.5x exact maximum Lammert valuation growth fractal before its collapse. European currency collapse will be monumentally nonlinear as part of a 13/26 year first and second fractal series with the US dollar poised to dramatically rise in value.

These extreme conditions would naturally occur at this time period.

However, coalescing forces of one hundred years of continuous political and financial greed, misunderstanding of how the system really works, the lack of good clear simple rules on economically favorable use of the money system, and the lack of simple rules delineating rapid and severe punishment associated with the malevolent misuse of the money system - have contributed to a near maximum distortion of the system's asset valuations.

Apple, Ford, the Nikkei, the Wilshire and US Bonds: The September 2011 Historical Equity Crash and Countervailing 150 year US Bond Blow-offAs of 10 September 2011

Apple Ford NIKKEI Wilshire:10- 12/26-29/29 /::1 of 12 daysx/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x)(6-12 more trading days)(The Nikkei is a trading day behind the West)The initial 3 days of the third fractal starting on 9 August is a transitional fractal transitioning from decay to growth. The SPX then become 11/28/(3)7/16/5 of 11-17)

6-12 more trading days.

Terminal Growth (TFC chart): US Bond/Ten Year Notes 11/26-2

8/14-16 days of 22-28days :: x/2.5x/2-2.5x (7 to 12 more trading days)Reciprocal Terminal Decay (TYX/TNX) 12/28/21 of 28-30 days :: y/2.5y/2.5y (7-9 more trading days)Consistently for several years the patterned science of saturation macroeconomics has been predicting historically low US long term interest rates - even in the face of the S and P downgrading of US debt and in opposition to the pessimistic, US Fed bashing, US long term bond and note managers who have mistakenly lightened their US bond holdings.

A final third fractal 52 month US 30 year bond blow-off fractal is expected in September 2011 with historical 150 year low US interest rates mirroring a September 2011 historical collapse of equity prices. (

For the Ten Year Note 9 September 2011 reached 150 year lowinterest rates at1.896 %.The operations of the macroeconomic system is an elegantly simple mathematical self assembly time ordered patterned science of growth and decay of the valuations of the system's assets. The macroecomony's patterned time ordered mathematical relationships of the growth and decay of its asset classes of which duality money is one of the asset classes - confers on the system the properties of a science.

The two most prominent self-assembly deterministic non stochastic patterns of the macroeconomy that are now operative and countervailing at this historical transition phase in September 2011 are terminal x/2.5x/2x growth of the global system's most valuable asset by plurality - US long term debt instruments - and extreme terminal time portion second fractal 2x-2.5x nonlinear collapse of US equities.

The macroeconomic system is a integrative bounded system of asset production, asset supply, asset valuation, and the medium that both facilitates asset transactions and is part of the asset element of the system: money. The macroeconomy's medium money has dual properties existing as an asset with incoming interest payments and as a liability as debt with outgoing interest payments.

Qualitatively the world's macroeconomy is at the time of phase transition where money that exists in the form of lower quality debt with the properties of asset/liability duality ceases to exist as default of lower quality not-to-be-repaid debt occurs. The three year push on the string by ex nihilo bailouts by the global central banks to preserve ongoing payments of at risk debt, the bond holders holding that debt as an asset, and the massive quantity of duality money that it represents - is at the end. The interest on Greek one year debt notes is on 8 September currently over 95 percent.

The Predictive Science of Saturation Macroeconomics

In concert with expected euro debt default and erasure of Euro duality asset/debt money, September 2011 is the 52nd month of a 27/64/52 month US 30 year Bond x/2.5x/2x fractal series starting in 1990 and a second three phase growth fractal series to the three phase growth fractal series starting in 1984 with an incipient 2 year fractal starting in 1982.

The world facilitated 30 year growth pattern of US debt instruments with progressively lower interest rates has been associated with about a 1400 percent increase in US composite equity valuation since 1982. Equity valuation is dependent on the total duality money supply - with the portion of the money supply involved in poorer quality asset-liability debt especially in the Euro-zone expected to vanish in September. Euro smaller nation bankrupcy and default is timed with the US debt instrument September 2011 27/64/52 of 52 monthly growth fractal (x/2.5x/2x) and the 17 September 2011 11/26-28/14-16 of 22-27 day :: x/2.5x/2-2.5x dtaily terminal growth fractal.

For equities September 2011 is in the terminal most portion of a composite equity 22 year second fractal starting in 1990 with a 9 year base starting in 1982 or 34/84 of 85 quarters (3 month time unit).

Tax rules favor ownership of the speculative equity asset class over savings. Because of this, composite equity second fractal nonlinearity has been be pushed to the terminal most time portion of the second fractal. The 84th quarter of a potential 85 quarters of a 1982 34/85 quarter first and second fractal series for the Wilshire represents the extreme terminal portion of the second fractal.

Are the daily valuations of US long term debt interest instruments - which represent the global macroeconomic system's greatest most valuable liquid asset' occurring by chance? Or is there defined pattern that these daily valuations are undergoing self organization leading to a final 150 year low US long term interest rate, its highest ever valuation point.

The science of saturation macroeconomic's hypothesis is that the system of money-reciprocal debt- credit creation, asset supply, asset valuation, and jobs and wages created by ongoing demand and credit creation is an internally bounded system with limits in growth and decay of its sub elements and with ideal self organization of its countervailing asset classes, with predictable nonlinear transformations that both characterize fractals and the energy universe.

The historical September nonlinear transformation in global equities will cause tens of trillion of dollars of asset valuations to vanish overnight or otherwise be marked down consistent with the supporting contracted money supply - composed of both available money and reciprocal(defaulting and defaulted)worthless debt assets.

Instablogsare blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.## Share this Instablog with a colleague

Comments(0)