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The Economic Fractalist
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    Nov 19, 2011 7:57 AM

    7 trading days until the 30 November 2011 Wilshire's low - a nonlinear process with the low below the March 2009 low.

    Unlike all other macroeconomc theories, debt dependent debt-money-asset saturation macroeconomics has specific elegantly simple growth and decay mathematical laws. These laws  allow specific prospective predictions and, with retrospection, repetively demonstrate to an extreme level of probability  the system's exquisite self-organization self-assembly behavior of quantum  time- based fractal regular irregularities.

    *The 11 October 2007 Wilshire nominal saturation valuation high was prospectively predicted and followed  a 20/50/40 of 40 day :: x/2.5x/2x reflexic growth peak fractal pattern.

    *The 6 May 2010 flash crash occurred within a 6/15/12/9 day x/2.5x/2x/1.5x terminal pattern of a March 2009 19/47 week :: x/2.5x pattern

    *And now the conclusion of a 1982 34/85 of 85 quarter :: x/2.5x Wilshire fractal and a March 2009 x/2.5x/2x/1.6x :: 5/13/10/8 month fractal series.

    As of 19 November 2011:

    The 8 August 2011 The Wilshire's 12/30/24/11 of 18 days :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x growth and decay fractal
    (7 more trading days to a nonlinear bottom)

    The 4 October 2011 the Wilshire's 6/16/12/3 of 10 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.6x growth and decay fractal
    (7 more trading days to a nonlinear bottom)

    and the 16 November 2011 the  Wilshire's: 2/2 of 5/5 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y decay fractal
    (7 more trading days to a nonlinear bottom)

    From the DAX and CAC 9 August 2011 3 day initiating fractal : Two y/2.5y/2.5y interpolated decay fractals:

                 an 11 August 7/17/17 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y decay with growth beginning in the final 17 day 3rd fractal of this series
                 and an interpolated 22 September (growth beginning in decay) 9/21/14 of 21 day :: y/2.5y/2.5y day fractal
    (7 more trading days to a nonlinear bottom)

    The CRB 9 August: 13/28/24/11 of 18 :: averaged x/2.5x/2x/1.5x

    The 1982 34/85 of 85 quarter Wilshire first and second fractal series ends October - December 2011 and will reduce the bad debt leverage of the last 29 years for the Wilshire and reduce it nonlinearly over the next 7 trading  days.

    Are these recurring patterns for the Wilshire concluding the 1982  34/85 of 85 quarter :: x/2.5x  first and second fractal with expected 85th quarter nonlinearity in November -December... occurring by chance and by chance alone?

    March 2003:     18/44/45 of 45 months :: y/2.5y/2.5y
    August 2004:    15/37/38 of 38 months :: y/2.5y/2.5y
    March 2009:     5/12/10/8 of 8 months :: x/2.5x/2x/1.6x
    Feb-Mar 2011:  7/17/15 of 17 weeks :: y/2.5y/2.5y  (Observe Ford's valuation pattern)
    Aug 2011: 3/7/6/2 of 4  weeks::    x/2.5x/2x/1.5x

    Are these patterns an hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, yearly self assembly self organizing integration of the debt-money-asset itself, representing the rules of a bounded macroeconomic system with exact eloquently simple mathematical properties?

    Are these time based valuation patterned rules of the macroeconomic system  equivalent to the patterned rules  of physics, chemistry, and biology?

    Debt is elaborated from existing money and fixed or created assets. More assets are created with that elaborated debt.  Debt becomes an asset of the lender. Money, debt, and created assets are summation assets of the system.  The system grows and decays with irregularity where ultimately good debt is repaid with labor and services and bad debt is defaulted upon. The original lender loses an asset with the entire sum of money-debt-assets becoming smaller and the system decays.

    The system always self corrects but the self correction becomes more pronounced when too much debt creation via imprudent lending, money creation, and taxing parameters leads to excessive asset overproduction and asset overvaluation - excessive than would otherwise naturally occur.  With imprudent parameters debt also becomes more overcreated and overvalued: and the self correcting system will ultimately destroy a greater percentage of existing debt.

    The growth and decay irregularity of the debt-money-asset macroeconomic system occurs in a patterned regular fractal nonlinear fashion similar to quantum fractal fashion of the observed irregular fractal forces of the time-space-energy universe at the system's various energy and energy fractal sharing levels: that is,  the same elegantly simple mathematical set for the weak gravitational forces applies to the strong forces binding the up and down quarks of the proton.
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Comments (3)
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  • ex umbra
    , contributor
    Comments (19) | Send Message
    given trading curbs (exchange range limits), do you see the three remaining trading days of November to be sufficient? It is somewhat possible, but would likely result in exchange shutting down each day, three days in a row; and the big drops coming in the final hour each day.

    26 Nov 2011, 01:48 AM Reply Like
  • ex umbra
    , contributor
    Comments (19) | Send Message
    well, Nov 30th is not over yet. 11:40am NY.
    30 Nov 2011, 11:41 AM Reply Like
  • ex umbra
    , contributor
    Comments (19) | Send Message
    in consideration of the way in which intervention can trump fractal determinism: perhaps the CB intervention done ca. 11/30/11 is analogous to the mind/matter phenomenon occurring in physiology, a natural science.


    The only consolation for bears at this juncture is that placebo often does not obtain sustainable cure, only temporary relief. And while symptom has relief, time spent in pursuit of cure is lost--the pathogen can become again and more virulent.


    Evolutionary Theory. We know the more the CBs interact with the market, the more the market will interact with the CBs in what is called 'convergent/divergent evolution'. ETheory teaches that there is no way for organisms to remain inert in dynamic ecosystems. Therefore, the CBs are being subsumed by the market, only they do not realize it (since they view the market as other, a theatre of operations). It is this ignorance of their place-in-the-world that will cause a tremendous market dislocation. And pride acts as an accelerator leading towards and during chemical combustion.
    5 Dec 2011, 08:10 AM Reply Like
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