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  • 19 March 20 March 2012 : The Greatest Equity Collapse Of The Last Millennium 1 comment
    Mar 11, 2012 10:00 AM

    *The Historically Saturated Asset Money Debt System

    *The Crash Devaluation Fractal Sequence of A Historically Saturated Asset Money Debt System

    * A 15 February 2012 6/14-15/12/9 day :: x/2.5x/2x/1.5x trading day pattern similar to the saturation curve incorporating the 6 May 2010 flash crash

    * The Wilshire and CAC comparative 27 June 2011 x/2.5x/2.5x final reflexic series with base days of 31 and 32 days (x) respectively

    *The 2009 24/60/48/35 of 39 week Lammert x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x sequence

    *Synchronized terminal portions of composite equity second fractals with bases of 70 years, 9 years, and 38-39 days starting respectively in 1789, 1982 , and 4 October 2011.

    * A final Wilshire 25 November 2011 decay y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y sequence of 17/40/17 of 39-43 days with the final 39-43 day composed of a 6/14-15/12/9-10 day sequence

    * For the week of 12-16 March 2011 composite world equity and CRB valuations 2-3 days down then 2-3 days up ....

    * Saturation Macroeconomics: The (system's asset valuation nodal low determined and) Patterned Science of the debt-money-asset system

    The world is at its global debt-money-asset system's politically have and have-not polarized maximum saturation limit.

    Too much bad global debt that cannot be repaid.
    Too great a supply of houses and vehicles for those who earn wages
    Too great of equity, commodity and real estate asset valuation whose valuation foundation .....
    is in a significant part premised on debt as an interchangeable money equivalent asset
    Too great of have and have-not dysequilibrium and polarity to produce the moment's need of an instantaneous World Keynesian Marshall plan.

    When the bad debt disappears in mass, a nonlinear reassessment of all assets' valuations will transpire.

    The nonlinearity will be breathtakingly historical.

    For the week of 12-16 March 2012: long positions on Monday and Tuesday and perhaps Wednesday and thereafter short positions on Thursday and Friday will be shaken out the market this week prior to a historical nonlinear devaluation occurring on Monday or Tuesday on 19 or 20 March 2012.

    The Wilshire's (and its progenitors)1789 70/154year :: x/2-2.5x terminal second fractal area contains an interpolated 1982 9/23 year :: x/2-2.5x terminal second fractal area which contains the following interpolated 2009 operative Lammert fractal series:

    24/60/48/35 of 39 weeks : x/2.5x/2x/1.6x ... The 60 week second fractal which is composed of a 9/23/18/14-15 :: x/2.5x/2x/1.6x and it is the 60 week time length that sets the ideal durations for the first, third and fourth fractals :: 24/2.5x/48/36-39 weeks.

    Equities have been bestowed rules and conditions by generation after generation bankers and their spawned trading houses and their politicians - that make equities the favored advantaged royalty of the debt money asset system and place money in the kill zone for the trading housing who skim and siphon from the rule facilitated speculation.

    Savers and pensioners have been crucified over the last three years with low interest returns on their savings. Keyesnian governmental spending was necessary to prevent the debt asset money system from imploding and interest rates of the global hegemony currency were driven down via QE programs. While there was no net new consumer demand for companies to produce more assets and new jobs in this saturated asset-debt-money system, year to year employment at least stabilized.

    This QE necessary action maximumly rewarded those who needed help the least, the rich and the equity holder tax advantaged dividend spared speculators.

    As long as the current rules exist, equities will have maximum Lammert reflexic x/2.5/x2.5x growth patterns prior to synchronized second fractal collapse. The next similar system second fractal nonlinear event may not occur for another 500 years

    What is the final day or two of maximum equity growth contained in the US equity 1789 x/2-2.5x first and second fractals series, the terminal interpolated second fractal area of the 1982 x/2-2.5x series , and the interpolated 2009 x/2.5x/2x/1.5-1.6x fractal sequences?

    By comparing the fractal anatomy of the Wilshire and French CAC, the final daily x/2.5x/2.5x sequences are respectively reflexive fractals of 31/77/72 of 77 days (Wilshire)and 32/79/75 of 79-80 days(NASDAQ:CAC). This daily sequence starts on 27 June 2011.

    The Wilshire second 77 day fractal is the terminal 2nd and 3rd fractals in a series in the decay form of a y/2-2.5y/2-2.5y :: 17/40/38 days with day 17 ending on 9 August 2011.

    The Wilshire's third 77 day fractal of the 27 June 2011 x/2.5x/2.5x series is composed a 17/40/17 of 22-23 day x/2-2.5x/1x+ peak fractal series with the 2 May 2011 14500 Wilshire peak valuation at risk.

    The French CAC's 32/79/79-80 ::x/2.5x/2.5x day second fractal is composed of two conjoined and partially interpolated decay fractals y/2-2.5y/2.5y with a 3 day intiating fractal. The series are (3) 7/17/17 days with an 8 day base in the final 17 day third fractal with a second decay fractal of 8/21/19 days.

    The CAC's reflexic 32/79/79-80 day maximal growth fractal's third 79-80 day fractal is composed of a 17/43/17 of 22 to 23 days series ::x/2.5x/1x+ series.

    The 17 day third fractal of the Wilshire's/CAC's 17/40-43/17 day series is composed of a 6/12 day x/2x first and second fractal series. A terminal
    2x-2.5x 12-15 day nonlinear drop is expected over the next three trading days 12,13, and 14 March 2011. Thereafter there will be a sharp rise for two days taking the reflexic respective Wilshire-CAC fractal series to their x/2.5x/2.5x maximum limits of 31-32/77-79/77-80 days.

    The low for the Wilshire will come in a 15 February 2012 deteriorating Lammert growth pattern of 6/14/12/9 days and an interpolated Leap year day 29 February 2012 y/2.5y/2.5y decay fractal of 5/13/13 days.

    Halting of trading is expected during this time period. 6.5 trading hours which usually constitutes one trading may be extended over several trading days.

    The 6 May 2010 flash crash occurred on the 7th day of the third fractal of a similar 6/15/12/9 day :: x/2.5/2x/1.5x decaying Lammert growth and decay fractal series.

    The historical US crash is anticipated on Friday 16 March to Tuesday 20 March 2012 which is day 3-5 of the third fractal of a 6/14-15/12/9 day decaying 3 phase phase growth and one phase decay fractal sequence and which is day 8-10 of the 13 day second fractal of a 29 February 2012 5/13/13 day y/2.5y/2.5y decay series.

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  • The Economic Fractalist
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    Comments (51) | Send Message
    Author’s reply » A footnote:


    Before the the nonlinear crash....


    The 27 June 2011 x/2.5x/2.5x equity peak valuation fractal pathway


    Equities are the money system's highly rule-advantaged speculative vehicle.
    System reflexic valuation blow-offs can be expected in rule advantaged vehicle.


    The 27 June 2011 to 16 March 2012
    Reflexic 31/77/77-78 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x Fractal


    The final 25 Nov 2011to 16 March 2012
    77-78 day third (sub)fractal sequence


    first fractal 17 days :: 3/8/8 days y/2.5y/2.5y


    second fractal 41 days


    composed of two subfractals A and B :: x/2.5x
    subfractal A 12 days : 3/7/4 days
    subfractal B 30 days


    third fractal 21 days
    composed of a 4/10/9 of 9 to 10 day :: x/2.5x/2.5x fractal
    17 Mar 2012, 06:19 AM Reply Like
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