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azatlin
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I harvest data, extract the signal and convert it into actionable trades.
  • Stock Moves Only Hedge Funds Get To See 0 comments
    Jan 19, 2014 1:40 PM

    I predict earnings surprises for companies in the Russell 1000 for Institutional Investors (aka Hedge Funds).

    My track record: 60% of my calls have had a positive return. The average return per trade is 1.2% for a 2 day hold.

    Why earnings surprises Like Willie Sutton said about robbing banks, "because that's where the money is." Earnings day is when a company's stock price will move the most. Up or down. It's almost pure Alpha.

    My System: Sorry, my black box is proprietary.

    Why am I sharing it: I want to expand my business. Retail investors don't expect me to spend hours on the phone each week.

    What to expect Each week, prior to earnings releases, I will publish: company, position to take (long or short), specific dates to open and close the position.

    Good luck!

    ----------------------------------------------

    Special note for this week: Predictions typically split evenly between longs and shorts. This week is heavily skewed to shorts.

    TICKEREARNINGS RELEASE DATEOPEN POSITIONCLOSE POSITIONPOSITION
    SNDK1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Long
    ALK1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Long
    EBAY1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    MSI1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    NFLX1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    NSC1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    SYK1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    TER1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    TXT1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    VAR1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    WDC1/22/20141/21/20141/24/2014Short
    LMT1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Long
    ABC1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    ALTR1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    AVT1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    CPWR1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    CY1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    FCS1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    JCI1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    JNPR1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    LSI1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    MXIM1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    PCP1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    ROL1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    UNP1/23/20141/22/20141/25/2014Short
    NVR1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Long
    BMY1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    DOV1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    GWW1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    LEG1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    RTN1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    SWK1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    TKR1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    TPX1/24/20141/23/20141/26/2014Short
    KMT1/30/20141/29/20142/1/2014Short
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