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Stock Trades Only Hedge Funds Get To See

I predict earnings surprises for companies in the Russell 1000 for Institutional Investors.

My track record: 60% of my calls have had a positive return. The average return per trade is 1.2% for a 2 day hold.

Why earnings surprises Like Willie Sutton said about robbing banks, "because that's where the money is." Earnings day is when a company's stock price will move the most. Up or down. It's almost pure Alpha.

My System: Sorry, my black box is proprietary. It is based on fundamentals (i.e. not technicalS)

Why am I sharing it: To establish a public papertrail. You won't get as rich data or as early, but you'll still get it.

What to expect Each week, prior to earnings releases, I will publish: company, position to take (long or short), specific dates to open and close the position. For simplicity sake, returns will be calculated as the difference between the closing price on the day the position was opened and the closing price on the day the position was closed. All trades are opened the day before (regardless of earnings release before or after market close) and closed 2 trading days after release.

Note: Be advised that actual earnings release dates may vary from those I post. The actual trade dates may therefore be appropriately shifted

Good luck!

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WEEK SOUTHBAY RETURN S&P 500 RETURN
20-Jan 1.70% -2.66%
27-Jan 1.03% -0.39%
3-Feb 1.11% 0.79%
10-Feb 1.41% 2.34%
17-Feb (preliminary) -1.46% 0.11%
SYMBOL EARNINGS RELEASE DATE OPEN POSITION DATE CLOSE POSITION DATE CALL
THC 2/24/2014 2/21/2014 2/26/2014 Long
CLGX 2/25/2014 2/24/2014 2/27/2014 Long
DPZ 2/25/2014 2/24/2014 2/27/2014 Long
HD 2/25/2014 2/24/2014 2/27/2014 Long
HTZ 2/25/2014 2/24/2014 2/27/2014 Long
ADSK 2/26/2014 2/25/2014 2/28/2014 Long
ECL 2/26/2014 2/25/2014 2/28/2014 Long
TDS 2/26/2014 2/25/2014 2/28/2014 Long
ANSS 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Long
BWC 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Long
CHS 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Long
DECK 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Long
ROST 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Long
SHLD 2/28/2014 2/27/2014 3/4/2014 Long
FTR 2/24/2014 2/21/2014 2/26/2014 Short
GEF 2/24/2014 2/21/2014 2/26/2014 Short
JAZZ 2/25/2014 2/24/2014 2/27/2014 Short
NDSN 2/25/2014 2/24/2014 2/27/2014 Short
CLH 2/26/2014 2/25/2014 2/28/2014 Short
EXPD 2/26/2014 2/25/2014 2/28/2014 Short
LOW 2/26/2014 2/25/2014 2/28/2014 Short
CPRT 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Short
MYL 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Short
WIN 2/27/2014 2/26/2014 3/3/2014 Short
CVC 2/28/2014 2/27/2014 3/4/2014 Short

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.