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CGTS OPTIONS CORNER: Buy Calls on CSTR, Coinstar

|Includes:Outerwall Inc. (OUTR)
CGTS DAILY TRADING SIGNALS
FOR MONDAY 7/25/11


CGTS CURRENT INDEX BIAS: CSTR, Coinstar, Calls


We have a batch of signals for trading day Monday, 25 July 2011.

Our favorite trading system is giving one signal: buy CSTR calls.  I'm not crazy about the chart pattern.  CSTR just had a severe drop on Friday, creating a gap down that, of course, will need to be filled.  The trading system is regarding this as a trading bottom.  Time will tell if it truly is.

Click to enlarge



Test Range:  8/15/97 to 7/22/11

Net P&L:                            176.30
Percent Net P&L:                 1,658.51%

Number of Trades:                       48
Average P&L per Trade:                3.67
Percent Winning Trades:             97.92%

Total Days in Test:                   3506
Percent Days in Market:             24.22%
Average P&L per Day:                  0.05

Max Drawdown:                         2.74
Reward/Risk Ratio:                  64.343

Buy & Hold P&L:                      43.60
vs. B&H P&L:                        132.70
vs. B&H Percent P&L:             1,248.35%
vs. B&H Reward/Risk Ratio:          62.787

Current Position:                     Long
Open Trade P&L:                       0.00
Traded Last Day:                Enter Long

30 dates at the beginning of this quote file were excluded from the test range because this trading model requires 30 data points before the first value can be calculated.


                        Entry     Exit
  #    Type    Bars     Date      Date         P&L Pts      P&L %   Reason for Exit


  1    Short     11   12/04/97  12/19/97         +1.50     +15.00   Exit Short Rule
  2    Short      6   01/21/98  01/29/98         +0.31      +3.47   Exit Short Rule
  3    Short      9   05/01/98  05/14/98         +0.63      +6.54   Exit Short Rule
  4    Long       4   07/24/98  07/30/98         +0.81      +9.32   Exit Long Rule
  5    Long       4   10/14/98  10/20/98         +2.09     +35.54   Exit Long Rule
  6    Long       3   04/19/99  04/22/99         +4.00     +25.00   Exit Long Rule
  7    Long      15   06/23/99  07/15/99         +6.87     +30.53   Exit Long Rule
  8    Short     15   10/14/99  11/04/99         +3.62     +32.91   Exit Short Rule
  9    Short      7   05/04/00  05/15/00         +1.31     +11.91   Exit Short Rule
 10    Long       4   07/18/00  07/24/00         +1.13     +11.59   Exit Long Rule
 11    Long      19   10/17/00  11/13/00         +4.44     +41.07   Exit Long Rule
 12    Long       2   11/24/00  11/28/00         -1.31      -9.49   Exit Long Rule
 13    Long       6   11/30/00  12/08/00         +3.00     +24.88   Exit Long Rule
 14    Long      25   01/10/01  02/15/01         +5.12     +38.27   Exit Long Rule
 15    Long       7   02/28/01  03/09/01         +0.93      +5.57   Exit Long Rule
 16    Long      17   04/09/01  05/03/01         +0.81      +4.97   Exit Long Rule
 17    Long       9   05/24/01  06/07/01         +1.80     +10.44   Exit Long Rule
 18    Short     17   08/22/01  09/21/01         +7.46     +31.21   Exit Short Rule
 19    Long      15   09/21/01  10/12/01         +4.96     +30.17   Exit Long Rule
 20    Long      15   10/25/01  11/15/01         +1.02      +5.29   Exit Long Rule
 21    Long      10   02/13/02  02/28/02         +2.36      +8.60   Exit Long Rule
 22    Long       4   04/10/02  04/16/02         +1.05      +3.26   Exit Long Rule
 23    Short     49   04/24/02  07/03/02        +10.06     +30.21   Exit Short Rule
 24    Short      8   09/30/02  10/10/02         +1.27      +4.93   Exit Short Rule
 25    Short      9   01/14/03  01/28/03         +4.76     +19.83   Exit Short Rule
 26    Long      52   04/04/03  06/19/03         +5.60     +37.04   Exit Long Rule
 27    Long      10   10/31/03  11/14/03         +2.30     +15.65   Exit Long Rule
 28    Long      17   12/04/03  12/30/03         +2.01     +12.23   Exit Long Rule
 29    Long       7   01/21/04  01/30/04         +0.54      +3.01   Exit Long Rule
 30    Long       9   05/11/04  05/24/04         +0.84      +4.90   Exit Long Rule
 31    Long      18   10/21/04  11/16/04         +3.95     +17.03   Exit Long Rule
 32    Short     17   12/30/04  01/25/05         +4.05     +14.96   Exit Short Rule
 33    Short     61   02/03/05  05/03/05         +7.91     +31.38   Exit Short Rule
 34    Long      32   09/30/05  11/15/05         +7.15     +38.63   Exit Long Rule
 35    Long      14   02/09/06  03/02/06         +2.68     +11.19   Exit Long Rule
 36    Long      16   03/29/06  04/21/06         +3.10     +12.08   Exit Long Rule
 37    Long       5   07/24/06  07/31/06         +2.24     +10.09   Exit Long Rule
 38    Long      14   11/06/06  11/27/06         +3.42     +11.48   Exit Long Rule
 39    Long      91   03/06/07  07/16/07         +3.89     +13.47   Exit Long Rule
 40    Long       4   08/06/07  08/10/07         +1.05      +3.31   Exit Long Rule
 41    Long      26   09/18/07  10/24/07         +2.23      +7.00   Exit Long Rule
 42    Short      4   07/30/08  08/05/08         +2.16      +6.32   Exit Short Rule
 43    Short     31   09/15/08  10/28/08        +12.31     +36.31   Exit Short Rule
 44    Long      18   03/10/09  04/03/09         +8.57     +33.90   Exit Long Rule
 45    Long      16   04/15/09  05/07/09         +4.23     +13.56   Exit Long Rule
 46    Short     16   05/07/09  06/01/09         +4.59     +12.96   Exit Short Rule
 47    Short     39   10/15/09  12/10/09        +10.57     +30.31   Exit Short Rule
 48    Long      42   03/02/11  05/03/11        +10.91     +25.54   Exit Long Rule
 49    Long       1   07/22/11  07/22/11          0.00       0.00   Open

MONDAY SIGNALS
See below (CGTS OPTIONS PORTFOLIO) to see which trading systems have been most successful since December 2010.

               
7/22/11 STOCKS            
FRIDAY GSPC BIAS: NEUTRAL/POSITIVE            
               
BBVA M5 3 ASP LT 2a  11.14 LONG 897.67 7/22/11 0.2975 0.026705566
>>>> BBVA AUG 11 CALLS 0.7 LONG 14285.71      
               
               
MMM M2F 14% Trade  95.38 LONG 104.84 7/22/11 0.1442 0.001511847
>>>> MMM AUG 92.5 CALLS 3.8 LONG 2631.58      
UTX M2F 14% Trade  87.7 LONG 114.03 7/22/11 0.1724 0.001965792
>>>> UTX AUG 85 CALLS 3.5 LONG 2857.14      
VZ M2F 14% Trade  36.74 LONG 272.18 7/22/11 0.0623 0.0016957
>>>> VZ AUG 36 CALLS 1.055 LONG 9478.67      
               
               
STD M4 ACCUM 00 14  11.24 LONG 889.68 7/22/11 0.29 0.025800712
>>>> STD AUG 11 CALLS 0.5 LONG 20000.00      
AVEO M4 ACCUM 00 14  19.62 LONG 509.68 7/22/11 0.1113 0.005672783
>>>> AVEO AUG 20 CALLS 0.875 LONG 11428.57      
VVUS M4 ACCUM 00 14  8.23 LONG 1215.07 7/22/11 0.0326 0.003961118
>>>> VVUS AUG 8 CALLS 0.58 LONG 17241.38      
               
               
EWM T5SS/CM ASP Swift Tr 2AD 15.18 LONG 658.76 7/22/11 0.015 0.000988142
>>>> EWM AUG 15 CALLS 0.3 LONG 33333.33      
               
               
IRE M2F vs 14% move 1.16 LONG 8620.69 7/22/11 0.06 0.051724138
>>>> IRE AUG 1 CALLS 0.25 LONG 40000.00      
               
               
STD VNAM 09 TEST (9) 11.24 LONG 889.68 7/22/11 0.29 0.025800712
>>>> STD AUG 11 CALLS 0.5 LONG 20000.00      
IRE VNAM 09 TEST (9) 1.16 LONG 8620.69 7/22/11 0.06 0.051724138
>>>> IRE AUG 1 CALLS 0.25 LONG 40000.00      
BBVA VNAM 09 TEST (9) 11.14 LONG 897.67 7/22/11 0.2975 0.026705566
>>>> BBVA AUG 11 CALLS 0.7 LONG 14285.71      
               
               
CAT M4 ACCUM 14 ORIG 2 105.15 LONG 95.10 7/22/11 0.3468 0.003298146
>>>> CAT AUG 105 CALLS 1.8 LONG 5555.56      
CSTR M4 ACCUM 14 ORIG 2 54.23 LONG 184.40 7/22/11 0.2904 0.00535497
>>>> CSTR 52.5 CALLS 3.4 LONG 2941.18      
               
               
CSTR M4 ACCUM 21 ORIGINAL2 54.23 LONG 184.40 7/22/11 0.2904 0.00535497
>>>> CSTR AUG 52.5 CALLS 3.4 LONG 2941.18      
               
               
ACOM M4 ASP TRADER 5/11 43.16 LONG 231.70 7/22/11 0.2796 0.006478221
>>>> ACOM AUG  40 CALLS 5.1 LONG 1960.78      
JJC M4 ASP TRADER 5/11 57.9 LONG 172.71 7/22/11 57.9 1
>>>> JJC AUG 55 CALLS 2.6 LONG 3846.15      
JOE M4 ASP TRADER 5/11 18.19 SHORT -549.75 7/22/11 -0.1681 -0.009241341
>>>> JOE AUG 20 PUT 2.55 SHORT -3921.57      
               
               
LNKD VNAM TEST 09 102.97 SHORT -97.12 7/22/11 -1.4 -0.013596193
>>>> LNKD AUG 105 PUTS 11 SHORT -909.09      
IMAX VNAM TEST 09 28.59 SHORT -349.77 7/22/11 -0.01 -0.000349773
>>>> IMAX AUG 30 PUTS 3.1 SHORT -3225.81      
JOE VNAM TEST 09 18.19 SHORT -549.75 7/22/11 -0.1681 -0.009241341
>>>> JOE AUG 20 PUT 2.55 SHORT -3921.57      
               
               
JJG MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 51.53 LONG 194.06 7/22/11 0.3547 0.006883369
>>>> JJG AUG 50 CALL 2.55 LONG 3921.57      
HPQ MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 36.7 SHORT -272.48 7/22/11 -0.025 -0.000681199
>>>> HPQ AUG 36 PUTS  0.795 SHORT -12578.62      
NILE MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 43.99 SHORT -227.32 7/22/11 -0.448 -0.010184133
>>>> NILE AUG 45 PUTS  2.925 SHORT -3418.80      
F MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 13.31 SHORT -751.31 7/22/11 -0.0736 -0.005529677
>>>> F AUG 13 PUTS 0.35 SHORT -28571.43      
MWW MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 13.52 SHORT -739.64 7/22/11 -0.1464 -0.010828402
>>>> MWW  aug 14 puts 1.05 SHORT -9523.81      
AIG MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 29.09 SHORT -343.76 7/22/11 -1018 -34.99484359
>>>> AIG Aiug 30 puts 0.21 SHORT -47619.05      
TYO MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 37.9 SHORT -263.85 7/22/11 -0.1836 -0.004844327
>>>> TYO aug 39 puts 1.675 SHORT -5970.15      
ARO MJCF Close vs Midp Trend REV FX 18.09 SHORT -552.79 7/22/11 -0.0427 -0.00236042
>>>> ARO aug 20 puts  2.275 SHORT -4395.60      
               
               
Click to enlarge

CGTS OPTION TRADING  PORTFOLIO (Since 12/20/10)  
      Active Active
% Gain 7/22/11 Profit Trades Cost
291.26% Option Trades $2,563,373 $88 $880,100
         
330.53% M5 3 ASP LT 2a  $165,264 5 50000
534.93% M2F 14% Trade  $374,449 7 70000
791.98% M4 ACCUM 00 14  $395,988 5 50000
1151.21% T5SS/CM ASP Swift Tr 2AD $345,364 3 30000
403.98% MJCF Close vs Midp Trend $201,989 5 50000
  Trial      
0.01% MJC CL vs Mdpnt Rev FX $1 1 10000
0.01% MJC CL vs Mdpnt Rev  $1 1 10000
154.14% M4 ACCUM 14 2 $262,045 17 170000
64721.50% M4 ACCUM 21 WHAT $64,722 0 100
459.94% M4 ACCUM 21 2 $505,937 11 110000
140.42% M4 ASP Trader 5/11 $252,758 18 180000
-3.69% M2F VS 14% -$4,061 11 110000
-3.61% VNAM TEST 09 -$1,084 3 30000
0.01% VNAM TEST 09 (9) $1 1 10000
Click to enlarge



More information on the CGTS systems can be found at:
home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS09.htm
 
MICHAEL J CLARK
Clark's Gate Timing System
Hanoi, Vietnam

cgts@mindspring.com
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
  
 








Stocks: OUTR