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Michael Clark's  Instablog

Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at:... More
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Clark's Gate Timing System ©
  • CGTS DAILY FOR TUESDAY 1 SEPTEMBER 2009 0 comments
    Sep 1, 2009 05:26 AM | about stocks: ADBE, UNH, HAL, CA, MOT, JNJ, CAT, DE, XES, VALE, RXD, SDP, DMM, SRS, FXA, GES, TXN, EMC

    Clark's Gate Timing System ©

    Tuesday 1 September 2009


    Index Review

    So, are we at the end of this government-sponsored rally, and ready to see widespread selling?  Well, our indicators are showing no real signs of it yet.  It can come on quickly; but we are still pretty positive on the Western indexes.  Shanghai is a mess; and it should continue lower.  The Hang Seng Index (HSI), which gave a sell signal yesterday, is giving a buy signal today -- of which we are very suspicious.  We are inclined to ignore this buy signal because so many of the peripherals are negative.  We'll show a chart to suggest why we feel this way.

    Our Dow Jones Index chart and DAX Index chart are really pretty bullish.




    New Daily Signals

    We took some profits today:


    8/31/09        
    M2F ALT LT 2 Out @ In @ Gain Date In
    sell UTY 394.38 372.8 5.79% 07/13/09
    sell HAL 23.71 18.93 25.25% 07/10/09
    SELL UNH 28 26.52 5.58% 08/07/09
    SELL JNJ 60.44 60.37 0.12% 08/19/09
    SELL HAL 23.71 18.93 25.25% 07/10/09
    SELL MOT 7.18 6.17 16.37% 07/14/09
    M5 10 Out @ In @ Gain Date In
    SELL NDX 1625.19 1619.59 0.35% 08/12/09
    SELL FXA 84.69 83.49 1.44% 08/13/09
    SELL GES 35.04 29.14 20.25% 08/03/09
    SELL TXN 24.59 23.88 2.97% 08/12/09
    SELL EMC 15.9 15.06 5.58% 08/01/09




    We have some new buy signals today.  But we are cautious as the charts do seem to be indicating what may be a tired bull trying to trend higher.  We are shorting a couple of ETFs that profit when housing (DMM) and real estate (SRS) go down -- so we're betting there will be more gains in the housing and real estate stocks.  We don't think, however, that housing has bottomed in a general sense.  But the market is chasing housing and real estate at the moment.

    Our daily portfolio has these returns:


    % Gain DAILY   Gain Trades Cost First Trade
    3.94% M2F alt   $12,988 33 330000 7/27/09
    18.13% M5 10   $56,191 31 310000 6/29/09
    7.79% M2F ALT LT   $71,641 92 920000 7/8/09
    38.70% M4 Sum Rev   $7,739 2 20000 8/20/09
    -2.94% M7 Sum Rev 2   -$883 3 30000 8/20/09
    9.17% Total   $147,675 161 $1,610,000  



    8/31/09      
    M2F ALT In @ Position Shares
    ADBE 31.42 ENT LONG 318
    UNH 28 ENT LONG 357
    HAL 23.71 ENT LONG 422
    CA 22.29 ENT LONG 449
    MOT 7.18 ENT LONG 1393
    DJT 3667.16 ENT LONG 3
    UTY 394.38 ENT LONG 25
    JNJ 60.44 ENT LONG 165
    CAT 45.31 ENT LONG 221
    DE 43.6 ENT LONG 229
    XES 24.35 ENT LONG 411
    VALE 19.21  ENT LONG -521
    SEMGX 14.5  ENT LONG -690
    SLAFX 41.15  ENT LONG -243
    RXD 43.12 ENT SHORT -232
    SDP 28.69 ENT SHORT -349
    M5 10 In @ Position Shares
    NONE      
    M2F ALT LT 2 In @ Position Shares
    NONE      
    M4 SUM REV In @ Position Shares
    SRS 11.46 ENT SHORT -873
    DMM 23.04 ENT SHORT -434
    M4 SUM REV 2 In @ Position Shares
    HSI 19859.439 ENT LONG 1



    More information on this system can be found at

     

    home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS09.htm

     

    Portfolio of current ‘Seeking Alpha” trades at

     

    http://home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/seekingalphaportfolio.htm

     

     

    MJ Clark's Gate Timing System

    24 June 2009

    Hanoi, Vietnam

     

    84 4 221 92210


    Stocks: ADBE, UNH, HAL, CA, MOT, JNJ, CAT, DE, XES, VALE, RXD, SDP, DMM, SRS, FXA, GES, TXN, EMC
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