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Michael Clark
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Michael J. Clark was born and raised in Sinclair, Wyoming. He is a poet, novelist, artist, historian, and market analyst. His fine arts portfolio can be found at the following address: http://www.hoalantrangallery.com/MJC2.htm His writing portfolio can be found at:... More
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Clark's Gate Timing System ©
  • CGTS DAILY: Wednesday 12 January 2010. 0 comments
    Jan 12, 2010 12:01 PM | about stocks: IO
    CLARK'S GATE TIMING SYSTEM
    Wednesday 12 January 2010
     

    “By a continuing process of inflation, government can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens.”

        -- John Maynard Keynes


    We're pleased with results so far in one of our new trading systems, M5/M5 Avg Diff Sum Plus New, which we began trading on September 5 of this year.  We have 26 current trades using this system; we have closed 13 trades (12 winners); the portfolio is up 17.39% in 4 months.

    We show the portfolio below the Daily Portfolio table.  Note that this system has made prophets pretty consistently on both the long and short side of the market, in a predominantly bullish up-move (September 2009 - January 2010).  Short-sales are marked with negative shares below.

    One of our favorite current trade using this system is being long IO, Ion Geophysical Corp, Oct 10 -- up 88% in three months.




    DAILY PORTFOLIO

      DAILY PORTFOLIO   Active Active First Short % Long Closed Trades (Updated weekly)
    % Gain 1/11/10   Profit Trades Cost Trade Trades Trades Total Winning % Winning
    28.61% M2F alt Trading System   $174,550 61 610000 7/27/09 13 79% 537 466 86.78%
    9.53% M2F ALT LT 2 Tr Syst   $169,700 178 1780000 7/8/09 11 94% 297 254 85.52%
    35.69% M5 10 Trading System   $139,185 39 390000 6/29/09 9 77% 421 337 80.05%
    30.78% M5 D Study Simple  09   $67,707 22 220000 9/18/09 5 77% 99 90 90.91%
    17.39% M5/M5Avg Diff Sum Plus New   $45,218 26 260000 9/5/09 2 92% 13 12 92.31%
                           
    18.29% <- Total Return   $596,359 326 $3,260,000       1367 1159 84.78%
    84.78% <- Accuracy rate *Based on $10,000 per trade            

    M5/M5Avg Diff Sum Plus New Portfolio

    Symbol Close Shares Return Sales Date % Gain Buy Date Buy Price Name
                     
    SMN_D 7.36 -1,067 $2,116.67   21.23% 11/9/09 $9.37 Short Basic Materials
    UUP_D 22.72 -437.83 $24.54   0.25% 1/8/10 $22.84 US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH ETF
    COW_D 28.2 -357 ($95.83)   -0.96% 12/2/09 $28.01 Livestock ETF
    ^HGX_D 109.35 100 $949.00   9.50% 12/2/09 $99.58 Philadelphia Housing Sector Index Daily
    EWZ_D 77.28 135 $362.15   3.60% 11/5/09 $74.39 Brazil ETF
    SGG_D 75.85 150 $1,238.90   12.22% 11/3/09 $67.40 Sugar ETF
    TBT_D 51.12 217 $1,057.00   10.53% 12/3/09 $46.12 Ultrashort TBond 20+ Year Daily
    DE_D 59.95 228 $3,665.60   36.65% 10/14/09 $43.75 John Deere
    JO_D 41.141 241.84 ($78.54)   -0.78% 1/8/10 $41.35 Coffee ETF
    HLF_D 43.58 270 $1,605.50   15.80% 11/3/09 $37.53 HERBALIFE
    KSU_D 34.01 295.33 $16.30   0.16% 1/8/10 $33.86 KANSAS CITY SOUTHERN
    HMC_D 34.52 315 $844.55   8.42% 11/25/09 $31.75 Honda Motor Company
    HMC_D 34.52 330 $1,024.70   9.88% 10/13/09 $31.33 Honda Motor Company
    ACH_D 33.99 347 $1,772.93   17.69% 11/25/09 $28.80 Aluminum Corp of China
    TXN_D 26 379.65 ($157.08)   -1.57% 1/8/10 $26.34 Texas Instruments Daily
    HK_D 26.15 420 $938.00   9.34% 12/14/09 $23.85 PETROHAWK ENERGY
    MTL_D 22.39 469.7 $488.67   4.87% 11/9/09 $21.29 Mechel Open Joint Stock Company
    FST_D 25.24 470 $1,833.20   18.28% 12/14/09 $21.28 FOREST OIL
    GGB_D 17.36 598 $354.72   3.54% 11/9/09 $16.72 GERDAU S.A.
    BAC_D 16.93 614 $371.10   3.70% 12/4/09 $16.28 Bank of America Daily
    FMCN_D 17.43 690 $1,993.70   19.87% 12/2/09 $14.50 Focus Media Holding Ltd.
    AA_D 17.45 733 $2,764.73   27.58% 12/2/09 $13.64 Aluminum Company of America
    FITB_D 11.2 975 $605.75   5.87% 10/15/09 $10.55 First Third Bancorp
    HMA_D 7.69 1,522 $1,676.64   16.72% 12/4/09 $6.57 Health-Management Assoc
    ^TYX_D 4.689 2,310 $803.60   8.01% 12/3/09 $4.33 30 YEAR TREASURY YIELD
    IO_D 6.73 2,800 $8,820.00   87.99% 10/7/09 $3.57 Ion corp
    NEM_D 50.18 215 $51.50 12/21/09 0.51% 11/3/09 $46.48 Newmont Mining Daily
    BBY_D 39.23 325 $2,700.00 12/21/09 26.23% 10/8/09 $31.59 Best Buy Daily
    ^HUI_D 465.32 23 $211.54 12/9/09 2.07% 11/6/09 $442.17 Gold Stock Index Daily
    GG_D 42.45 250 $119.00 12/9/09 1.18% 11/3/09 $40.12 Gold Corp
    HMY_D 11.11 885 ($914.45) 12/9/09 -9.12% 11/25/09 $11.30 Homestake Mining
    ABX_D 41.64 255 $285.70 12/8/09 2.85% 11/3/09 $39.17 American Barricks Gold
    SAH_D 11.44 -1,000 $844.00 12/4/09 8.15% 10/27/09 $10.38 Sonic Automotive
    UNH_D 32.92 400 $544.00 12/4/09 5.22% 10/20/09 $25.96 United Healthcare Daily
    UGA_D 37.87 325 $938.50 12/3/09 8.80% 10/6/09 $32.72 US Gasoline ETF
    ENMD_D 1.02 14,200 $3,068.00 12/2/09 29.93% 10/27/09 $0.72 Entremed
    BCRX_D 8.17 -1,000 $1,764.00 12/1/09 17.51% 11/4/09 $10.10 BioCryst Pharmaceuticals
    TBT_D 51.12 230 $213.10 12/1/09 2.09% 10/6/09 $44.15 Ultrashort TBond 20+ Year Daily
    ^TYX_D 4.689 2,500 $396.50 12/1/09 3.86% 10/8/09 $4.09 30 YEAR TREASURY YIELD


    TODAY'S SIGNALS

    Buy signals are tapering off a bit.  We are getting a bit extended in this latest rally.

    Earning are coming in somewhat flat early and this might lead to a loss of momentum in buying.  Which we would view as a positive for the market, which is currently being driven by a relligous faith -- akin to fear -- rather than a rational understanding of our current environment.

    Positive thinking (the strength of the Bulls) does not win outright in a negative environment (Night-Cycle).

    Stick with your system; and watch for a change in trend.  Short-term trends will go negative first.  Long-term trends DO NOT always follow short-term trends -- but short-term trends ALWAYS lead the market lower.  A short-term trend that is making higher highs and higher lows is still bullish when it turns down.  One that is making lower lows and lower highs when it turns down is VERY negative.

    11-Jan          
    MONDAY          
    M2F Alt Trading System      
    New Trades        
    M2F ALT Trade Closed Trades      
    Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
    BCRX 8.17 Exit Short $6.83 12/24/09 -16.40%
    DE 59.95 Exit Long $54.09 1/6/10 10.83%
    EL 49.78 Exit Long $48.50 1/6/10 2.64%
    ROK 49 Exit Long $45.40 12/18/09 7.93%
    GE 16.76 Exit Long $15.61 12/10/09 7.37%
    M2F alt Trading System New Open Trades    
    Issue Price Position Shares    
    RHT 29.74 Enter Long 336.25    
    WMT 54.21 Enter Long 184.47    
               
    M2F ALT Lterm 2 Trade Closed Trades    
    Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
    None          
    M2F alt Lterm 2 Trading System New Open Trades    
    Issue Price Position Shares    
    BAL 36.35 Enter Long 275.10    
    BMY 25.08 Enter Long 398.72    
    GSK 41.63 Enter Long 240.21    
    HLCS 1.36 Enter Long 7352.94    
    KO 56.27 Enter Long 177.71    
    NILE 62.16 Enter Long 160.88    
    TWX 19.17 Enter Long 521.65    
               
    M5 (10) Trade Closed Trades      
    Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
    AXP 41.47 Exit Long $40.52 12/31/09 2.34%
    STJ 28.19 Exit Long $27.17 12/21/09 3.75%
    O 27.24 Exit Long $26.10 1/4/10 4.37%
    GE 16.76 Exit Long $16.02 11/30/09 4.62%
    M5 10 Trading System New Open Trades    
    Issue Price Position Shares    
    BAL 36.35 Enter Long 275.10    
    NILE 62.16 Enter Long 160.88    
    PCLN 218.91 Enter Long 45.68    
               
    M5D Study Simple Trade Closed Trades    
    Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
    None          
    M5D Study Simple Trading System New Open Trades  
    Issue Price Position Shares    
    None          
               
    M5/M5 Average Sum Plus New Trade Closed Trades  
    Issue Close @ Position Open @ Date % Gain
    None          
    M5/M5 Average Sum Plus New  Trading System New Open Trades
    Issue Price Position Shares    
    None          
               


    More information on this system can be found at

    home.mindspring.com/~mclark7/CGTS09.htm

    A draft of the book Turn Out the Lights can be found at the website below.  This book is a description of the metaphysical causes of the economic cycles of expansion (Day) and contraction (Night).

    www.hoalantrangallery.com/Turnoutlights.htm
     

    Michael J. Clark's Gate Timing System
    Hanoi, Vietnam

    84 4 221 92210





    Disclosure: The author does not own issues mentioned in this article.






    Disclosure: Author does not own any issues mentioned in this letter.
    Stocks: IO
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