Seeking Alpha

Rod Raynovich's  Instablog

Rod Raynovich
Send Message
Rod Raynovich is an entrepreneur and executive with a focus on life science companies and medical technology trends.He has over 35 years executive experience including Abbott and JNJ and has been involved three successful start-ups. Before starting Raygent and other companies he was also a... More
My company:
Raygent Capital
My blog:
Raygent.com,Rayno Life Science
  • Biotechnology Stocks Soar After One Day Head-Fake: ALNY,IBB,ILMN,REGN 0 comments
    Jan 14, 2014 2:36 PM | about stocks: IBB

    New Highs in Life Science Sector

    Life Science stocks are in big rally after the strange sell-off yesterday. The IBB hit a new high today at $242.82 up 3.1%. Most Rayno Life Science picks are up with significant movers: ALKS up 2%, ALXN up 4%, AMGN up 1.1%, BIIB up 5%!, GHDX up 5%, ILMN up 6.7%, , PCYC yup 2.9%, REGN up 12% and VRTX up 2.9%. Details on individual stocks will follow after we digest all the news. All of our portfolio picks are a strong hold. Recent new buys were NSTG, VIVO and VRTX. Tools and diagnostic stocks are enjoying a resurgence and biopharma stocks in oncology, orphan drugs and immunology are up huge over line year.

    Notes from J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference #1

    We will summarize trends and 2014 outlook next week.

    1. Pipelines are growing in large and mid-cap biopharmaceuticals stocks so expect a steady clinical news flow in 2014. Check out Amgen and Regeneron pipelines.
    2. Sanofi has had a strong partnership with Regeneron including a 16% equity position in REGN. Yesterday Sanofi ante'd up with $700M equity deal with Alnylam (NASDAQ:ALNY) with partnership in are diseases (orphan drugs). ALNY stock soared from $65 to $110 yesterday but is down a little to $89 today.
    3. Bubble talk abounds but I am still calling it a "bubblet" as for now clinical data and deals are fueling the momentum. A Goldman Sachs sector downgrade last week had minimal effect.Valuations are stretched but with all the money playing the momentum game and a nice pot of appreciation from a 62% advance last year who will make the call?
    4. Synergies between diagnostics/tools and biopharmaceuticals are more apparent driven by new technologies such as sequencing and genetic tests . Targeted therapy is a reality and drug R&D is being integrated with companion DX. Illumina (ILMN $120) one of our top picks is up 20% in one month and now has three product offerings in sequencing for 2014.
    5. More on IPOs from 2013 later but some companies have $1B market caps with no sales and no Phase 1 data.

    Update: 1/14 PM

    1. One trend to watch in big pharma biotech partnerships is equity ownerships and R&D funding without outright acquisition. A win-win for both parties.
    2. The sector has not had a major correction since June 2013 when the IBB hit the $170 level. There was a smaller correction in early October.
    3. Two of the larger diversified life science tools companies have announced a major focus on clinical diagnostics with NGS and molecular diagnostics platforms. Agilent (NYSE:A) purchased Dako recently and is developing companion diagnostics with Merck for cancer treatment. Agilent is all spinning off their electronic measurement business, called Keysight Technologies, to focus more on life sciences. ThermoFisher (TMO $114.76) also on our focus list announced last month that it was acquiring Life Technologies and last week announced it was spinning off some of its tools and supplies business to GE Healthcare for $1.06B.
    4. M&A talk has picked up adding more fuel to the fire. UBS mentioned 9 many of the usual suspects in oncology and rare diseases: ALXN, BMRN, INCY, MDVN etc.

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Additional disclosure: I am long Fidelity Select Biotechnology Fund (FBIOX)

    Stocks: IBB
Back To Rod Raynovich's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

More »

Latest Comments


Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.