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I worked on Wall Street as a Systems developer and Money Manager. I run a private equity fund as a hired gun. I currently work with a broad base of private funds. I am very selective in whom I except as a client. My services are normally not open to the general public due to the secure nature of... More
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THE VULCAN REPORT
  • 8/8/2011 - THE VULCAN REPORT 0 comments
    Aug 8, 2011 8:14 AM | about stocks: SPY, QQQ, DIA, SLV, GLD, CORN, UUP, DBO
    Monday, August 8, 2011
    8/8/2011 - THE VULCAN REPORT
     

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of US DOLLAR INDEX (US@DX.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011


    Today's Price Action


    Change   -0.6300 (-0.84%) prices closed lower than they opened. with weak Bids going into the close. 




         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix


    PulseScan:     -6.79
    Swing Vix:    -10.96


    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of    6 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


    *The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy  6 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix has just reached its highest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bullish.The Swing Vix has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not.  This is a bullish divergence. Since the PulseScan leads the market 3-5 days out  We will wait to see if an upside breakout occurs.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, US DOLLAR INDEX's price has increased 0.46% , and has ranged from a high of  75.64 to a low of  73.75.


         MOMENTUM


         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is - Neutral within the Bullish KUMO Consolidation cloud (Possible Trend Reversal) with Downside Bearish Breakout risk. A close above    75.30 is needed to re-establish the upward trend. However A close below    74.72 will establish a new downward trend.


            TREND STRENGTH - ,,,


    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Below it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    78.25
    The close is currently Below it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    77.22


    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE    75.68  
    SUPPORT    74.86  


    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE -    75.31  
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT -    73.33  


    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, US DOLLAR INDEX closed   
    above the lower band by 43.9%.
         =====================================================



    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of CRUDE OIL FUTURES (US@CL.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011


    Today's Price Action


    Change   -0.2000 (-0.23%) prices closed lower than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.


    A doji star occurred (where a doji gaps above or below the previous candle).  This often signals a reversal with confirmation occurring on the next bar.
    Three black candles occurred in the last three days.  Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.


         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix


    PulseScan:    -37.53
    Swing Vix:    -35.72


    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    7 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is below -29.  This is where it usually forms Support.  The Swing Vix usually forms Support before the underlying security.  
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


    *The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 66 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The security price has set a new 14-period low while the Swing Vix has not.  This is a bullish divergence. Since the PulseScan leads the market 3-5 days out we will wait to see if an upside breakout occurs.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, CRUDE OIL FUTURES's price has decreased 11.26%, and has ranged from a high of  99.50 to a low of  82.87.


         MOMENTUM


         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is .


            TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND  (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term bottom. This means that the bears are liquidating short positions thus taking some profit off the table.,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM


    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Below it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    92.79
    The close is currently Below it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -    92.32


    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE    88.59 place stoploss here 
    SUPPORT    82.60 GO SHORT here 


    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE -   102.18  
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT -    92.02  


    Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at -    92.79
    Long term Trend Line support is currently at -    70.76
    BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND - (12-18mo)  PRICE TARGET =    26.69


    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE I  - (24-36mo) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET =   -17.38
    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (PANIC SELLING EXTREME FEAR) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET =   -61.45
    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE 3  - (72mo+) (THE STOCK WILL PROBABLY BE DELISTED AND/OR FILE FOR BK 11) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET =  -105.52


    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, CRUDE OIL FUTURES closed below the lower band by 14.2%.  


    HIGH VOLATILITY ALERT - A Breakout of Lower Volatility Band occured     
    =============================================

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of E-MINI EURO (US@EEC.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011


    Today's Price Action


    Change    0.0129 (0.91%) prices closed higher than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.


         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix


    PulseScan:     -5.78
    Swing Vix:     -1.90


    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    4 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  


    *The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 40 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The Swing Vix and price are not diverging.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, E-MINI EURO's price has increased 0.01% , and has ranged from a high of 1.4436 to a low of 1.4043.


         MOMENTUM


         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is - The UpTrend is still entact with prices holding above trendline support at-   1.3756Slightly Bearish - .


            TREND STRENGTH - ,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM


    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   1.3756
    The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   1.3922


    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE   1.4299 place stoploss here 
    SUPPORT   1.4031 GO SHORT here 


    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE -   1.4551 place stoploss here 
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT -   1.3896 GO SHORT here 


    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, E-MINI EURO closed   
    below the upper band by 44.3%.






    ========================================================

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of EMINI S&P 500 (US@ES.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011

    Today's Price Action

    Change  -13.0000 (-1.08%) prices closed lower than they opened. with weak Bids going into the close. 

         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix

    PulseScan:    -43.11
    Swing Vix:    -41.85

    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    7 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is below -39.  This is where it usually bottoms.  The Swing Vix usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security.  
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  

    *The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy  2 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bearish.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, EMINI S&P 500's price has decreased 8.66%, and has ranged from a high of 1,328.50 to a low of 1,183.50.

         MOMENTUM

         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BEARISH - Heavy Distribution.

            TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND  (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term bottom. This means that the bears are liquidating short positions thus taking some profit off the table.,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM

    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Below it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,205.25
    Today's Sell off pushed prices on the close below the long term trendline support - This is Bearish as the market is now under heavy Distribution.

    The close is currently Below it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,251.38
    Today's Sell off pushed prices on the close below the long term trendline support - This is Bearish as the market is now under heavy Distribution.

    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 1,220.78 place stoploss here 
    SUPPORT 1,181.72 GO SHORT here 

    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 1,362.17  
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 1,278.67  

    Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 1,205.25
    Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 1,037.00
    BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND - (12-18mo)  PRICE TARGET =   700.50

    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE I  - (24-36mo) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET =   364.00
    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (PANIC SELLING EXTREME FEAR) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET =    27.50
    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE 3  - (72mo+) (THE STOCK WILL PROBABLY BE DELISTED AND/OR FILE FOR BK 11) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET =  -309.00

    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, EMINI S&P 500 closed below the lower band by 14.8%.  

    This combined with the steep downtrend suggests that the downward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.     
    ==============================================

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of Emini NASDAQ 100 (US@NQ.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011

    Today's Price Action

    Change  -31.2500 (-1.41%) prices closed lower than they opened. with weak Bids going into the close. 

         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix

    PulseScan:    -34.66
    Swing Vix:    -32.49

    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    7 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is below -29.  This is where it usually forms Support.  The Swing Vix usually forms Support before the underlying security.  
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  

    *The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 18 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bearish.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, Emini NASDAQ 100's price has decreased 7.49%, and has ranged from a high of 2,425.75 to a low of 2,128.75.

         MOMENTUM

         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is - The UpTrend is still entact with prices holding above trendline support at- 2,089.75.

            TREND STRENGTH - ,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM

    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 2,089.75
    The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 2,202.94

    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 2,244.77  
    SUPPORT 2,123.23  

    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 2,467.17  
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 2,285.17  

    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, Emini NASDAQ 100 closed below the lower band by 16.9%.  

    HIGH VOLATILITY ALERT - A Breakout of Lower Volatility Band occured     
    ============================================

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of MINI DOW FUTURES (US@YM.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011

    Today's Price Action

    Change  -94.0000 (-0.83%) prices closed lower than they opened. with weak Bids going into the close. 

         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix

    PulseScan:    -43.05
    Swing Vix:    -42.48

    The Market Pulse is negative since it is trading below its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    7 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is below -39.  This is where it usually bottoms.  The Swing Vix usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security.  
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  

    *The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 18 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix does not currently show any Failure Swings.The security price has set a new 14-period low while the Swing Vix has not.  This is a bullish divergence. Since the PulseScan leads the market 3-5 days out we will wait to see if an upside breakout occurs.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, MINI DOW FUTURES's price has decreased 7.90%, and has ranged from a high of 12,458.00 to a low of 11,221.00.

         MOMENTUM

         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BEARISH - Heavy Distribution.

            TREND STRENGTH - WEAK - RANGE BOUND  (Prices have ceased trending and have become consolidated at this time) The market has put in a short term bottom. This means that the bears are liquidating short positions thus taking some profit off the table.,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM

    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Below it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 11,390.50
    Today's Sell off pushed prices on the close below the long term trendline support - This is Bearish as the market is now under heavy Distribution.

    The close is currently Below it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 11,696.28
    Today's Sell off pushed prices on the close below the long term trendline support - This is Bearish as the market is now under heavy Distribution.

    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 11,562.25 place stoploss here 
    SUPPORT 11,204.75 GO SHORT here 

    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 12,854.00  
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 12,126.00  

    Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 11,390.50
    Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 9,908.00
    BEAR MARKET DOWNTREND - (12-18mo)  PRICE TARGET = 6,943.00

    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE I  - (24-36mo) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET = 3,978.00
    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (PANIC SELLING EXTREME FEAR) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET = 1,013.00
    DEFLATED BUBBLE PHASE 3  - (72mo+) (THE STOCK WILL PROBABLY BE DELISTED AND/OR FILE FOR BK 11) PRICE DESTRUCTION TARGET = -1,952.00

    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, MINI DOW FUTURES closed below the lower band by 11.9%.  
    ======================================

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of GOLD FUTURES (US@GC.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011

    Today's Price Action

    Change    4.8000 (0.29%) prices closed higher than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened.  If the candle appears when prices are "low," it may be the first sign of a bottom.  If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area , the long white candle adds credibility to the support.  Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.

    An engulfing bullish line occurred (where a white candle's real body completely contains the previous black candle's real body).  The engulfing bullish pattern is bullish during a downtrend.  It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bears to the bulls.

    If the engulfing bullish pattern occurs during an uptrend (which appears to be the case with GOLD FUTURES), it may be a last engulfing top which indicates a top.  The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes below the top of the current (white) candle's real body.

         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix

    PulseScan:     29.76
    Swing Vix:     30.93

    The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    5 period(s) ago.   
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  

    *The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell  5 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bearish.The Swing Vix has set a new 14-period low while the security price has not.  This is a bearish divergence. Since the PulseScan leads the market 3-5 days out we will wait to see if downside pressure develops.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, GOLD FUTURES's price has increased 2.09% , and has ranged from a high of 1,683.50 to a low of 1,607.00.

         MOMENTUM

         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is VERY-BULLISH - Heavy Accumulation.

            TREND STRENGTH - STRONG - Bullish Trend,,BULLISH MOMENTUM,

    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,419.55
    The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 1,413.97

    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 1,672.63  
    SUPPORT 1,641.17  

    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 1,626.17  
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 1,570.17  

    MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    BULL MARKET UPTREND - (12-18mo) PRICE TARGET = 2,211.40
    Long term Trend Line resistance is currently at - 1,683.50
    Long term Trend Line support is currently at - 1,419.55

    MONTHLY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    BUBBLE PHASE 3 - (72mo+) (TULIP CRAZE CRASH IMMANENT) PRICE TARGET = 3,795.10
    BUBBLE PHASE 2 - (42-60mo) (MARKET FRENZY BUYING) PRICE TARGET = 3,267.20
    BUBBLE PHASE I - (24-36mo) PRICE TARGET = 2,739.30

    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, GOLD FUTURES closed   
    below the upper band by 6.2%.
    This combined with the steep uptrend suggests that the upward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.     
    ===========================================

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of SILVER FUTURES (US@SI.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011

    Today's Price Action

    Change  -31.6001 (-0.80%) prices closed higher than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.

         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix

    PulseScan:      3.76
    Swing Vix:      8.91

    The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed below the Swing Vix creating a DOWN Trend Channel as of    5 period(s) ago. The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  

    *The last signal was a Over-Bought Sell 11 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bearish.The Swing Vix has set a new 14-period low while the security price has not.  This is a bearish divergence. Since the PulseScan leads the market 3-5 days out we will wait to see if downside pressure develops.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, SILVER FUTURES's price has decreased 2.47%, and has ranged from a high of 4,229.50 to a low of 3,834.00.

         MOMENTUM

         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is - Neutral within the Bearish KUMO Consolidation cloud(Possible Trend Reversal) with Upside Bullish Breakout risk. A close below 3,559.38 is needed to re-establish the downward trend. However a close above 4,106.00 will establish a new upward trend.

            TREND STRENGTH - ,,,

    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 3,357.25
    The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. - 3,165.78

    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE 3,994.65  
    SUPPORT 3,826.35  

    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE - 4,389.03  
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT - 3,838.73  

    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, SILVER FUTURES closed   
    above the lower band by 45.4%.
    This combined with the steep uptrend suggests that the upward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.     
    ===============================================

    THE VULCAN REPORT
    Review of CORN (US@ZC.1)
    as of Friday, August 05, 2011

    Today's Price Action

    Change    1.5000 (0.21%) prices closed higher than they opened.  with strong Bids going into the close.

         MARKET SENTIMENT
      
    PulseScan Swing Vix

    PulseScan:     28.46
    Swing Vix:     27.49

    The Market Pulse is positive since it is trading above its zero signal line.The PulseScan crossed above the Swing Vix creating a UP Trend Channel as of    0 period(s) ago.This means that positive momentum has entered the market. Expect sideways to higher prices within the next 3-5 days The Swing Vix is not currently in a topping (above 39) or bottoming (below -39) range.    
    A buy or sell signal is generated when the Swing Vix moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  

    *The last signal was a Over-Sold Buy 30 period(s) Ago.
    The Swing Vix has just reached its highest value in the last 14 period(s).  This is bullish.The Swing Vix has set a new 14-period high while the security price has not.  This is a bullish divergence. Since the PulseScan leads the market 3-5 days out  We will wait to see if an upside breakout occurs.
          
      *Since the last Swing Vix signal, CORN's price has been unchanged, and has ranged from a high of 709.25 to a low of 687.00.

         MOMENTUM

         MARKET TREND - Currently the TREND is - The UpTrend is still entact with prices holding above trendline support at-   587.88Slightly Bearish - .

            TREND STRENGTH - Bearish KUMO-BREAKDOWN,,,BEARISH MOMENTUM

    TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT
    The close is currently Above it's PulseWave Cycle TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   587.88
    The close is currently Above it's Long Term TRENDLINE RETRACEMENT. -   622.15

    INTRADAY PRICE PROJECTIONS
    RESISTANCE   710.36  GO LONG here
    SUPPORT   685.89  place stoploss here

    WEEKLY PULSE WAVE PRICE PROJECTIONS
    PulseWave BreakOut RESISTANCE -   738.42 place stoploss here 
    PulseWave BreakOut SUPPORT -   650.75 GO SHORT here 

    VOLATILITY
    On 8/5/2011, CORN closed   
    below the upper band by 21.6%.
    =================================================
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