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Manuel Blay's  Instablog

Manuel Blay
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Investor and Trader As investor I'm deeply influenced by Dow Theory. I focus on the primary trend (1-2 years). My trading is short-term based (avg trade duration 4-5 days).
My blog:
Dow Theory Investment
  • Dow Theory Update For Oct 11: Mixed Day. No Changes 0 comments
    Oct 11, 2012 4:34 PM | about stocks: SPY, DIA, IYT, GLD, GDX, SLV, SIL

    Primary trend remains bullish; secondary trend bearish.

    Let's get started with our Dow Theory analysis for today.

    The stock market was indecisive. The SPY closed up, and the Transports and Industrials closed down for the day. So there are no changes from yesterday's assessment under Dow Theory.

    Later today, I will post in this Dow Theory blog more in-depth commentary as to the meaning of this secondary reaction, how to time an entry into it (for those latecomers) and what to do about the Transports. I am not ducking this issue, and you will be surprised by my answer. To deal with all these subjects rigorously takes a good deal of effort.

    I really don't know what to do about today's volume, since it's difficult for me to ascribe the day as "up" or "down" as we had mixed readings from the three indices we monitor. However, if I give more weight to the SPY (which is logical since it is the largest in terms of companies and more importantly capitalization), then it was a bullish day, since volume was up in an up day.

    As to the gold and silver markets and their respective miners ETFs, we had a predominantly bullish day. Only silver closed down for the day. Technically, all the PMs universe remains caught in a tight trading range. Consequently the primary and secondary trend remains bullish.

    Sincerely,

    The Dow Theorist

    Stocks: SPY, DIA, IYT, GLD, GDX, SLV, SIL
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