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Nick Chiu
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Senior Options Trading Strategist at Optionity, MBA. Our trading approach starts with the fundamentals, then through short-term technical analysis, to finally leverage options trading (with the combination of long and short positions) to achieve favorable risk and reward ratio trading plays. Our... More
My company:
Optionity
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Optionity - specialized in Options Trading
  • Optionity Daily Report 05/22/2013 0 comments
    May 22, 2013 7:53 PM | about stocks: SPY, AXP, CHL, CSCO, F, GE, INTC, KO, MDLZ, MMM, MSFT, ORCL, PEP, PFE, QCOM, SYY, TEVA, TSM, UTX, VOD, WM

    Date: May 22, 2013

    Daily Market Statistics

    Source: Barrons

    S&P 500 5-Day Daily Chart

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: Google Finance

    Economic Calendar

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: Briefing

    Options Market Recap

    The market sentiment was driven by extreme greed with Fear & Greed Index at 88, which had decreased from the previous day closing of 89. As reported by CBOE, the total put/call ratio was 1.03 for the day. The index put/call ratio was 0.99, and the equity put/call ratio was 0.67. The CBOE volatility index (VIX) put/call ratio was 0.56. The stocks with unusual call activities had been identified through our daily options scanning process, with the scanning criteria where the daily call option volume ratio was above 2.00 (2x of the average call option volume) with a call option volume above 30,000. Unusual option activities can be an indicator or precursor of a major movement for the underlying stock.

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: Schaeffer's Research

    Stocks with Unusual Volume

    Below is the top 10 list obtained from AVAFIN.com for options alert with the following screening criteria:

    1. Unusual Volume
    2. 300% spike in volume
    3. In all sectors and all industries

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: AVAFIN.COM

    Market Volatility and Analysis

    (click to enlarge)

    For Option Equity Put/Call Ratio, the MACD (12, 26, 9) remains slightly bearish. RSI (14) has increased and indicates a bullish lean now. RSI (14) closed at 50.99 (previous closing of 44.91). MACD is closing at -0.011. The market is expected to decline if both MACD and RSI are bullish, right now only RSI is bullish. Watch out for "Sell in May and Go Away" effect which should start in early June.(click to enlarge)

    SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY)

    SPY opened higher and closed lower at $165.92 (-0.71%). The volume was 50.30M. On weekly basis, the MACD (12, 2, 9) is showing a bullish trend and the MACD Histogram decreased in the last trading day and closed at 0.810. SPY is currently trading above its 200-day MA of $122.66 and its 50-day MA of $145.51. RSI (14) decreased and closed at 74.60.

    Optionity Core-20 Options Portfolio (Credit Put Strategy)

    Stock criteria:

    1. Large Cap with low beta
    2. Fair/Under-valued
    3. Consistent, strong earnings
    4. Dividend distribution
    5. High liquidity, large volume
    6. Good/strong economic moat

    This options portfolio consists of 20 core stocks. The portfolio will employee mainly the credit put strategy with the primary objective of generating consistent cash flow. The portfolio focuses on 1) sufficient sector diversification 2) risk/reward ratio control 3) margin of safety by leveraging options.

    Daily portfolio performance will be updated at Seeking Alpha Instablog and Optionity.com.

    Transaction details will be updated whenever new position is opened or the existing position is closed/expired/adjusted.

    Core-20 Stocks Update

    (click to enlarge)

    Source: Seeking Alpha

    Existing Position(s):

    Core 20 Positions:

    INTC short put $21 May 17, 2013 ($0.34 credit, established on April 17, 2013) => Closed short put $21 at $0.10 on April 22, 2013. $0.24 profit => Set up a new INTC short put $22 May 17, 2013 position ($0.30 credit, established on April 22, 2013) => Closed short put $22 at $0.09 on April 29, 2013. $0.21 profit => Set up a new INTC credit short put $21/$23 May 17, 2013 position ($0.24 credit, established on April 29, 2013). => Closed INTC short put $21/$23 May 17 position at $0.06 on May 7, 2013. $0.18 profit (10.23% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days). Setup a new credit short put spread $21/$23 June 21, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on May 7, 2013)

    CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.47 credit, established on May 6, 2013)

    CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.35 credit, established on May 13, 2013)

    CHL short put $50/$52.5 July 19, 2013 ($0.3 credit, established on May 21, 2013)

    CHL short put $50/$52.5 June 21, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 22, 2013)

    Other Options Positions:

    HL credit short put spread $3.5/$4.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 11, 2013) => Acquired HL share at cost of $4.18

    CHKP credit short put spread $43/$45 July 20, 2013 ($0.40 credit, established on May 9, 2013)

    Closed Position(s):

    GLW credit short put spread $11/$12 Mar. 15, 2013 ($0.23 credit, established on February 7, 2013) => Closed short put $12 at $0.07 on February 20, 2013. $0.16 profit (20.78% Return on Margin, 13 days, including non-trading days). $11 put position was sold for $0.04 on February 26, 2013, adding $0.04 to the total profit.

    ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on March 21, 2013) => Closed position on April 11, 2013. $0.23 profit (13.69% Return on Margin, 21 days, including non-trading days).

    CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.55 credit, established on March 6, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.15 profit (7.69% Return on Margin, 40 days, including non-trading days).

    CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.75 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed position on April 16, 2013. $0.35 profit (20% Return on Margin, 27 days, including non-trading days).

    CHL credit short put spread $50/$52.5 April 19, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on February 25, 2013) => Closed short put $52.5 put at $0.05 on April 19, 2013. $0.25 profit (11.36% return on margin, 55 days, including non-trading days)

    TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 April 20, 2013 ($0.19 credit, established on March 7, 2013) => Closed short put $37.5 at $0.02 on April 19, 2013. $0.17 profit (7.36% return on margin, 42 days, including non-trading days)

    AKAM credit short put spread $30/$32 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on February 13, 2013) => Closed AKAM short put $32 at $0.03 on April 25, 2013. $0.35 profit (21.60% return on margin, 72 days, including non-trading days)

    ORCL credit short put spread $29/$31 May 17, 2013 ($0.38 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed ORCL short put $31 at $0.06 on May 1, 2013. $0.32 profit (19.75% return on margin, 36 days, including non-trading days)

    QCOM credit short put spread $57.5/$60 May 17, 2013 ($0.30 credit, established on April 25, 2013) => Closed QCOM short put spread $29/$31 at $0.06 on May 3, 2013. $0.24 profit (10.91% return on margin, 8 days, including non-trading days)

    NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.51 credit, established on February 14, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.14 on May 3, 2013. $0.37 profit (18.60% return on margin, 79 days, including non-trading days)

    NOV credit short put spread $60/$62.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.36 credit, established on March 19, 2013) => Closed NOV short put spread $60/$62.5 at $0.156 on May 3, 2013. $0.204 profit (9.53% return on margin, 44 days, including non-trading days)

    TEVA credit short put spread $35/$37.5 May 18, 2013 ($0.32 credit, established on April 1, 2013) => Closed TEVA short put spread $35/$37.5 at $0.13 on May 3, 2013. $0.19 profit (8.72% return on margin, 32 days, including non-trading days)

    NOK credit short put spread $2.5/$3.5 May 17, 2013 ($0.37 credit, established on April 18, 2013) *High Reward/High Risk Position => Reduced the position by 1/3, closed at $0.23 with a profit on May 3, 2013. => Closed the remaining NOK short put spread $2.5/$3.5 at $0.08 on May 7, 2013. $0.29 profit (46% return on margin, 19 days, including non-trading days)

    WFM credit put spread $80.5/$83 May 17, 2013 ($0.68 credit, established on March 13, 2013) => Closed WFM short put $83 May 17, 2013 at $0.05 on May 8, 2013. $0.63 profit (34.62% return on margin, 56 days, including non-trading days)

    MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 June 21, 2013 ($0.31 credit, established on February 15, 2013) => Closed MDLZ credit short put spread $22/$25 at $0.10 on May 20, 2013. $0.21 profit (7.80% return on margin, 35 days, including non-trading days)

    ZNGA credit short put spread $2.5/$3 June 21, 2013 ($0.16 credit, established on March 25, 2013) => Closed 2/3 of the position at the cost of $0.07, with a profit of $0.09 on May 13, 2013. => Closed the remaining 1/3 of the position at the cost of $0.06, with a profit of $0.10 on May 20, 2013.

    PBI credit short put spread $11/$13 June 21, 2013 ($0.375 credit, established on May 1, 2013) *Buying on Weakness => Reduced the position by 1/2, closed at $0.20 with a profit of $0.175 on May 3, 2013 => Closed the remaining 1/2 of the position at the cost of $0.10 with a profit of $0.275 on May 20, 2013

    ORCL short put $30/$32 June 21, 2013 ($0.345 credit, established on May 6, 2013) => Closed ORCL credit put spread $30/$32 at the cost of $0.10 on May 20, 2013. $0.245 profit (14.80% return on margin, 14 days, including non-trading days)

    All rights reserved © Optionity 2013

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