Seeking Alpha

edgetraderplus'  Instablog

edgetraderplus
Send Message
Michael Noonan Edge Trader Plus Michael Noonan is the driving force behind Edge Trader Plus. He has been in the futures business for 30 years, functioning primarily in an individual capacity. He was the research analyst for the largest investment banker in the South, at one time, and he... More
My company:
edgetraderplus
My blog:
edgetraderplus
  • Silver - Charts Offer Most Reliable Information, Period. 0 comments
    Dec 21, 2013 4:30 AM

    December 21 December 2013

    The most reliable information is still found in the charts.

    Last week, we said to look at Bitcoin as an example of what to expect
    for silver, in terms of a market moving higher with impunity in a very
    short period of time, See A Rigged Market Coming To An End, 18th
    paragraph. Ironically, reference to Bitcoin for its unfettered rise from
    just a few dollars to over $1,200, then just a few days later, the U S
    Treasury's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network decided to send
    notice to businesses that transact in Bitcoin that such activity may be
    considered in the arena of money laundering and that businesses "may
    have to comply with federal law and regulation as money transmitters,
    a Treasury spokesman said," and Bitcoin fell hard.

    Nothing official, mind you, and no laws have been broken, but this
    central government operates on threat, imagined or otherwise, in order
    to have all underlings fall into line, and obey or else. Just like all the
    computer tech companies compliantly bent over for the NSA and
    provided any and all information, and more upon "request," businesses
    are doing the same government two-step and shutting down Bitcoin
    use.

    Next day, China announces a ban on Bitcoin. The Peoples Republic of
    China makes no bones about squashing anything that may compete
    with its currency, and Bitcoin has dropped from the $1240 level to
    $455, recovering somewhat since.

    Bitcoin still serves as an example of what can happen to silver once the central banker constraints lose their grip. The crypto-currency has no
    history as does silver and gold, yet it captured the world's willingness and hunger to use something other than existing fiat as a means of
    escaping from the elitist-controlled tentacles of Western central
    bankers.

    The fact that the U S Treasury stepped in, unofficially but with equal
    effect, demonstrates what we have been saying about the elephant in
    the room few are addressing: central governments and their active
    suppression of precious metals. We maintain that their grip remains as
    tight as ever. It may be close to ending, at some unknown point, but it does not appear to be anytime soon.

    Therein lies the problem for silver and gold. Look at how quickly
    businesses folded at the mere "suggestion" that they ""may have to
    comply with federal law and regulation as money transmitters.
    Did any
    of the businesses tell the Feds to get a court order, first? Hell no. Tyranny is alive and well in the Obama administration, as it was in the
    Bush administration, and as it will continue with the next
    administration, getting progressively worse each and every year. The revelation by Snowden was a shock to the entire world as everyone got
    a huge peek behind the elitist's federally controlled government.

    Americans have no backbone when it comes to making a stand against
    its Orwellian government. None. This country was founded on a
    revolution against tyranny, but the forces of evil never stopped, and
    200 years later, the same genesis of tyrannical control have won. They just took a different path, and no once noticed or stood in their way.

    The point to be made is to demonstrate how powerful these hidden
    controlling forces are. It is these same forces that have put the silver
    market back in its place, as it were, by any and every means
    necessary. Sure, the manipulation game has been exposed, but who onWall Street or in the federal government has suffered any consequences?

    This past week, we have read more and more information about how
    the supply of silver on every level, from mining to almost-empty
    COMEX warehouses, at all time lows. Some of the articles are quite
    impressive. Most are still calling for much higher prices, eminently,
    anytime from a year ago to next week, month, or year. Despite the
    dismal record for timing and direction, article writers repeat the same
    message until eventually, they will get it right.

    The elitists and their central controlling governments simply do not care what the numbers are, do not care what you or any articles say or
    think. What they care about is control and maintaining that control,
    and we know of no single force that will eliminate that control, except
    one: self-destruction.

    We have said repeatedly, history is on the side an uninterrupted line of
    fiat failures and the ultimate reversion back to silver and gold. The
    problem is that all of the fiat failures took more time than most thought possible and did more damage than most feared before financial
    stability returned.

    This is why we keep referencing the charts, and we know there are
    several smart people who have no use for a chart depicting paper
    manipulation. Unless and until we see someone present a better
    alternative, it is all that is available. So what if there is a premium of
    some physical gold transactions over paper? The premium still relates
    back to the paper price. Plus, the amounts of gold being traded are by
    the tonne and stamped with known and accepted purity, [and tungsten-
    free].

    The Chicken Little "financial sky is falling" is wearing thin. Will it
    happen? Without a doubt. When will it happen? That is the question
    no one can answer. The shift has already changed over to 2014 as the
    inevitable end for central bank control. It may be possible, but
    momentum says manipulation could extend further in time.

    One thing is certain: the end is near, and fiat currencies are likely to
    implode and cause enormous financial ruin for those unprepared. It is
    crucial, now more than ever to be buying physical silver. Precious
    metals are the last asset class standing, still languishing at the bottom
    of the pile. Housing took off. The art market is still soaring. The stock
    market is breaking into record high territory. Even the wine market is breaking records.

    What of silver and gold? Both with the largest, legitimate record
    demand remain constrained by the unnatural forces of planned manipulation. Their time will come, and when it does, the unleashed
    built-up forces will meet, maybe even surpass all expectations. If
    Bitcoin can go from under a dollar to over $1,240 in a few short years,
    the demand for a more recognized and historically reliable pricing asset,
    like silver, will pay off hugely for holders of the physical.

    As to what the charts say, short of a surprise V-type bottom, where
    price advances rapidly, without building a base, we see no ending
    action to the current decline in silver. Once price reaches a bottom,
    and silver seems nearer to a bottom since the $50 highs, it can take
    several months, even a year or more, to build a base from which to
    launch a sustained rally.

    These are abnormal times, and how price develops, moving forward,
    may be subject to some abnormal moves. We are talking about the
    paper market, to which the physical market is still tied, however
    loosely, and we hold no illusions that the paper market controls the
    physical. Rather, central banks have no counter parts to the influence
    they exert. China may be an enabling offset as it builds even greater
    eventual counter force, along with the BRICS nations and others gladly joining.

    The most important factor for any market is the direction of the trend
    showing the prevailing momentum. For silver, the trend remains
    down. Before any market in a down trend can go higher, first, it has to
    stop going lower. This is basic logic, but it eludes a great number of
    people.

    As to that small range bar, [see arrow], and high volume? The reason
    why it is so bearish is that the volume shows a larger than normal
    effort, yet the buyers were unable to extend price higher. We also
    know the other side is, sellers prevented buyers from pushing price
    higher and immediately regained control to push the market lower.
    Charts are replete with important information like this.

    SI W 21 Dec 13

    Based on the daily chart, solid resistance at $26 does not even show
    up. Now, buyers are confronted with having to rally over $20.50.
    Silver was poised to rally above $20.50 a few weeks ago, but sellers
    took over, once again. This happens frequently as a characteristic of
    a down trending market.

    The first set of arrows, on the left, shows a strong rally and close on
    increased volume. At this level, it is more likely short-covering, maybe
    with some new buying, but it made a clear statement from buyers and
    completely overpowered sellers.

    The second set of arrows, on the right, shows a strong decline and poor
    close, also on a sharp increase in volume. Watch this low closely. The
    market may be providing some important information. If the low holds
    and price moves in a more sideways fashion with overlapping bars, it
    indicates potential support. If price moves lower on small ranges and
    decreasing volume without going lower, or much lower, that, too, would be indicative of support. If price moves lower on wide ranges and
    increased volume, new lows are more than possible.

    We just have to wait and see what develops. The best part of watching is that there is no need for guessing, or worse, predicting. Let the market do what it will and then simply read the message and follow the then known information with better results likely.

    In all events, buy the physical, buy the physical, buy the physical,
    regardless of price. Owning silver is a form of insurance, if you will.
    You buy life insurance, health and home insurance, car insurance, etc.
    You buy it for the unexpected. For silver, there is no unexpected, only
    the inevitable, and it is among the best forms of insurance you can own for protection from imploding paper currency.

    SI D 21 Dec 13

Back To edgetraderplus' Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

More »

Latest Comments


Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.