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Caterpillar's Warning: What It Means For Your Stocks

Read More : http://www.investmentcontrarians.com/recession/caterpillars-warning-what-it-means-for-your-stocks/1899/

One of the most worrying signs from the latest batch of economic data is that the global recession might be reappearing. Central banks around the world have been attempting to fuel their economies through massive stimulus, yet these efforts appear to be failing.

Increasingly, the earnings outlook for a number of companies continues to be quite poor for the remainder of the year. This is giving me pause for thought, because these poor outlooks raise the chances that another global recession will occur.

Last week's data from the Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. indicated a drop in March. This was the first drop in seven months-certainly a negative move away from the chance of averting another global recession.

More importantly, the Conference Board's outlook for the next three to six months dropped 0.1% in March, below the median forecast by a survey conducted by Bloomberg. (Source: Smialek, J., et al., "Leading Index's Drop Points to Slower U.S. Growth: Economy," Bloomberg, April 18, 2013.)

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