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Interesting Times
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I could put on this bio my education, work experience, investment strategy, and a nice thin (if I can find one) picture of me in a suit looking *smart*. Sorry but that's not my intent here. Sure I invest, help family make financial decisions, and make a ton of mistakes along the way. But my time... More
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Interesting Times For All Commodities And Investments!! CHAPTER 4......
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  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Rankings Name Gain/Loss Portfolio Value Percent gain/loss
    *** 1st *** Econ. Analyst $72,538.77 $172,538.77 72.54%
    ** 2nd ** FearandGreed $26,720.84 $126,720.84 26.72%
    * 3rd * JohnBinTN $21,519.82 $121,519.82 21.52%
    4th User7415481 $17,758.90 $117,758.90 17.76%
    5th John Wilson $16,944.03 $116,944.03 16.94%
    6th ExtremeBanker $14,419.94 $114,419.94 14.42%
    7th Richonsilver $9,816.38 $109,816.38 9.82%
    8th Rinascimento $8,483.10 $108,483.10 8.48%
    9th CoinsK $8,339.79 $108,339.79 8.34%
    10th Newbie Trader $5,934.93 $105,934.93 5.93%
    11th CWinn $5,698.79 $105,698.79 5.70%
    12th BlueskyForever $3,746.65 $103,746.65 3.75%
    13th Windwood $3,458.88 $103,458.88 3.46%
    14th Crademan $2,419.62 $102,419.62 2.42%
    15th Milk & Honey $1,834.10 $101,834.10 1.83%
    16th IT $1,229.56 $101,229.56 1.23%
    17th OldWarrior $748.91 $100,748.91 0.75%
    18th Al Roman -$963.69 $99,036.31 -0.96%
    19th Krustyman -$1,307.16 $98,692.84 -1.31%
    20th Notrub -$5,246.04 $94,753.96 -5.25%
    21st tommyinexile -$9,965.55 $90,034.45 -9.97%
    22nd deercreekvols -$10,488.88 $89,511.12 -10.49%
    23rd Macrotrader -$23,707.36 $76,292.64 -23.71%
    24th Focal Point -$34,468.28 $65,531.72 -34.47%
    25th Dr. Ken Kapur -$41,080.30 $58,919.70 -41.08%

     

    Starting funds (group): Current value (group): Total gain/loss (group): Percent gain/loss (group):
    $2,500,000.00 $2,594,385.76 $94,385.76 3.78%

     

    so now planes are getting shot down. Not good !!
    18 Jul 2014, 12:46 AM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » WHAT SHOULD INVESTORS BE LOOKING FOR NEXT WEEK??

     

    Stocks roiled by global unrest to finish sharply lower

     

    Stocks sold off in a day of dramatic geopolitical turmoil, with the Dow falling back below 17K and the S&P 500 falling the most in more than three months.

     

    Sentiment was negative from the beginning following new U.S. and European sanctions against Russia; stocks tumbled after the crash near the Russia-Ukraine border of a passenger jet with 295 people on board, and then took another leg down as Israel launched a ground offensive in Gaza.

     

    The events and subsequent declines jolted investors who had grown accustomed to steady gains in mostly quiet trading.

     

    Various technical support levels were breached by the S&P 500 as well as the Russell 2000, which fell below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

     

    Almost unnoticed was data on U.S. home construction, which fell 9.3% in June; housing starts sank last month to 893K, their weakest showing since September.

     

    The risk aversion trade gained momentum as the session progressed, manifesting itself in the Treasury market, where the 10-year note jumped 20 ticks lowering its yield to 2.45%, and in the VIX, which soared 39% off a depressed base.

     

    Gold futures jumped $16.70 (1.4%) to $1,316.15, and Nymex crude oil rose $1.78 (1.7%) to $102.98; however, natural gas priced tumbled to seven-week lows as U.S. stockpiles rose last week rose at an above-average pace.
    18 Jul 2014, 12:47 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    July 18 (NYSE:SO) up $2.20 4.94% vol 200.
    18 Jul 2014, 07:09 AM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Yellen paints a gloomy picture for U.S. economy !!!!

     

    http://bit.ly/1mZak80

     

    ARE THEY RIGHT ??
    18 Jul 2014, 10:27 PM Reply Like
  • RS055
    , contributor
    Comments (3316) | Send Message
     
    My gut is the economy will grow a lot slower than consensus. It seems 2.1% for 2014 is quite optimistic given -3% in Q1. I also think there is a risk of inflation being higher than consensus. This is not as contradictory as it seems - periods of very poor growth are often accompanied by higher inflation - unlike the popular mythology. eg. 1970s. The reasoning would be as follows - profits slow ( already happened in Q1), productivity drops ( happening), govt spending increases ( 2015?) to help maintain a level of consumption. this combination could be quite inflationary, especially if oil prices stay high.
    I suspect the markets will react very badly if this kind of scenario becomes more broadly acknowledged as likely. The Fed will be able to do little to save the day. Their policies and concepts appear to be just about out of credibility.
    18 Jul 2014, 11:29 PM Reply Like
  • Ordinary Average Guy
    , contributor
    Comments (1211) | Send Message
     
    Yellen's obvious schizophrenia has certainly cemented her qualifications to lead the FED.

     

    A few days earlier she stated that we are basically on target with good inflation, and unemployment numbers, and that they can end QE3 in October. Is she setting the table for QE4? 1/1/15 start up?

     

    Anyway, she seems to let sentiment control the tone & content of her speeches, which seem to vary up to 180-degrees, and then eventually a full 360. She certainly does not rely on solid fundamental analysis to guide every one of her speeches. Maybe Avi can read all of the waves and accurately forecast what Lady Yellen will say a day or so before she speaks. Now that would be a good SA blog with 500+ comments trailing that article.
    20 Jul 2014, 12:48 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » TACK sent me this message..

     

    IT:

     

    I am traveling. I glanced at the article and really don't have much reaction, one way or the other. Now, that the Fed is tapering to zero, but given we still have seas of excess reserves, what the economy does or does not do is not being influenced by the Fed. Personally, I think we continue to grow at modest rates, which, ironically, might be good for markets because it avoids over-exuberant buying and continues to creates lots of apprehension and restraint, which is good for markets. I think that high-yielding and dividend investments will continue to be good performers.
    19 Jul 2014, 02:29 AM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    Good to hear from you, IT.

     

    Tack makes good points. The majority of the new jobs being created are less than 40 hours per week, so those who are newly employed have less money to spend. The economy is making slow progress, but growth is growth.

     

    A prediction of slow growth is realistic when Congress refuses to stimulate the economy. Congress could authorize infrastructure building that would create jobs and support infrastructure building companies. http://bit.ly/1rqBCat

     

    For political reasons, the House of Representatives won't fund infrastructure. To assure their own re-elections, many Republicans want Americans to be angry at President Obama... Being out of work makes a man angry, doesn't it?

     

    So far, Congress has authorized SNAP benefits that are spent at businesses such as Walmart or Kroger. We don't realize how many Americans are on SNAP because instead of 1930s style bread lines, and people actually starving to death as they did in the Great Depression, today's SNAP recipients have plastic cards with which they can buy food.

     

    If Congress decides to cut SNAP, I would expect consumer spending on non food items to drop, further slowing the growth of the economy. http://bit.ly/QYa8Cm

     

    The House of Representatives cut off long term unemployment benefits last December, and Speaker Boehner has refused to bring the benefit extension bill passed by the Senate in April, 2014 for a vote before the House -- which means that millions of long term unemployed Americans have had to cut back spending, slowing the non food/rent economy even further.

     

    Being out of work and unable to support your family makes a man angry. The leader of the U.S. government is a Democrat. Will eliminating his unemployment benefits make a man who has been unemployed for more than 6 months vote Republican? Republican Members of the House hope so.

     

    Ironically, while Congress won't authorize benefits for long term unemployed American citizens who are out of work, it sent $1.5 billion in military aid to Egypt (good for U.S. defense contractors) http://thebea.st/1rqCj3l and $1 billion to people in the Ukraine. http://fxn.ws/1rqClrX

     

    The long term unemployed are SOL. http://wapo.st/1kGkI06
    The U.S. economy? "In its annual review of the U.S. economy, the IMF cut its forecast for U.S. economic growth this year by 0.8 percentage point to 2%, citing a harsh winter, a struggling housing market and weak international demand for the country's products." http://bit.ly/1pEZFS9

     

    Tack and the International Monetary Fund agree. It's slow growth for the U.S. economy as far as the eye can see.
    19 Jul 2014, 12:19 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » CRADE

     

    Thanks for posting this from a PM we had. I think it's important information for all of us !!
    19 Jul 2014, 12:24 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    Crade,
    Some of your information is appropriate, but to just put the blame on the House is unfortunate. The Senate , or should I say Harry Reid, even refuses to vote on some or most bills. The Senate passed Obamacare (ACA) on a holiday weekend and has forced it on America. It is the drag on the middle class, along with taxes and excessive spending. We need not more government, but LESS.
    They have the VA healthcare system all wrong and are destroying lives.
    Folks should be out learning new job skills and or looking for work to qualify for Food stamps. (Obama destroyed that feature).
    When the world $ federation folks (NYSE:IMF) say too many people in the USA earn more by doing nothing than by actually working, it is time to readjust benefits , not raise the minimum wage .
    The House has been trying to cut aid to Egypt, etc, but the Senate won't even vote on it.
    I am asking everyone to consider voting out anyone who has been in this Congress more than 12 years and replace them with someone conservative or with a voice for the people who are actually working and providing the benefits for those not seeking to get off the government plantation.
    All in my Opinion.
    19 Jul 2014, 03:56 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    rosenose, Did you know that in most U.S. states HALF of all state taxes is spent on K-12 education -- only about 6 cents of the education dollar comes from Federal tax revenues?

     

    Before taxpayers demand limits on family nutrition programs, I would ask them to please consider the fact that when human infants are born their brains are not fully developed. If infants and young children do not have adequate nutrition, their brains do not grow; the damage permanently stunts their I.Q.s, making educating them much more expensive. WIC and SNAP provide necessary nutrition that prevents malnutrition.

     

    Here's a little trivia fact that may surprise you: "During World War II the 40 percent 4F rate of young men drafted into the army owing to problems associated with malnutrition was a stark testimony to the ravages of the Great Depression, but it was also an alarm that set in motion decades of nutrition programs (beginning in 1946 with school lunch) that arose out of national security concerns but contributed to the eventual appreciation of basic nutrition as a fundamental human right." - See more at: http://bit.ly/1mrIufX
    19 Jul 2014, 05:38 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    BINGO 1 Harry Reid is freaking traitor ,I wish they would hang his disloyal a$$. He's a cheap con man.
    19 Jul 2014, 10:04 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    Money spent on government schools is totally wasted!
    19 Jul 2014, 10:05 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    Crade,
    Too much state tax is spent on over priced buildings for schools and athletic fields.
    Too much spent on tenured teachers and unions.
    Not enough is spent on actual teaching. Common Core should be voted out.
    School Choice is the better alternative.

     

    Nutrition is important.
    That is also an education issue, but we must deal with drug addicts and corruption first.
    Do you think folks that sell their EBT cards , WIC and SNAP items to others for Cents on the $ care about nutrition?
    I am sure that there are many on the programs that appreciate them, but they are for the most part internally corrupt.
    All our human rights are given to us from God and NOT the government. That is something to be learned also.
    IMO:
    Rose.
    20 Jul 2014, 07:15 AM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    Crade,
    Don't forget the $800 billion that Congress did pass for building infrastructure ( shovel ready jobs, that weren't so shovel ready, he Obama said. LOL)
    Where did that $ go?
    Crony pockets. Failed Solar companies and his paybacks to supporters.
    Follow the $ and you will be enlightened.
    IMO: Rose
    PS I can go on almost forever about his deceit & LIES.
    So yes, Obama is succeeding in changing America.
    Does that give you Hope?, not me.
    20 Jul 2014, 07:29 AM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    Here's a story involving one of the highest rated schools in the State and even in the country. Corruption is a deadly addiction.
    http://bit.ly/1u5yGlo

     

    http://bit.ly/1rBeqDU
    20 Jul 2014, 09:16 AM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    http://bit.ly/1u5KW5q
    20 Jul 2014, 10:43 AM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    Rose, You do not have any facts to support your beliefs. Where is your proof that it is more important to deal with drug addicts and corruption than to prevent malnutrition? What evidence do you have that all the women and children receiving WIC and SNAP benefits are selling their EBT cards for cents on the dollar, or selling their food instead of eating it?

     

    It has been an interesting conversation. We will have to agree to disagree.
    20 Jul 2014, 11:15 AM Reply Like
  • Ordinary Average Guy
    , contributor
    Comments (1211) | Send Message
     
    Can your favorite government social program, or even many charities match this level of taxes/donations collected, ratio to payout to the cause that they actually are serving?
    http://bit.ly/11kvF0h

     

    Government schools, and every single one of the government social programs operate in exact inverse of Nolan Watson's Nations Cry, charity. I recommend to anyone to read the link above, *About Us* section. Read it a few times if you have to. I am not thumping for this charity, merely giving praise to Mr. Watson's explanation of what charity really is.

     

    The fact that government spending on any of their programs works in inverse to the way that Watson runs his own charity, should be enough information to digest and realize in determining that these programs are a total fraud.

     

    At least we can do our own dd & steer clear of all the charities that exist that provide for high salaries, and other wasteful expenses, by simply not donating to their phony organizations. In the US, we find new government run programs to create every day. And both new and existing programs always get budget increases every year because they are so valuable, already run too lean, and we simply need to spend more on them so they can *barely* survive.
    20 Jul 2014, 12:08 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    Rose, $290 billion of the $787 billion appropriated in the ARRA provided tax cuts for taxpayers like you and me. http://1.usa.gov/1rBCtCC
    20 Jul 2014, 12:38 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    Common sense says when you are in a hole ,the 1st thing you do is STOP DIGGING. Throwing money at drug addicts makes liberal politicians feel better but doesn't stop the problem.Proof ? They have been doing it for 50 years and the poor are still with us and the schools are terrible places for anyone to go.
    20 Jul 2014, 12:47 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    Rose wrote: "That is also an education issue, but we must deal with drug addicts and corruption first.
    Do you think folks that sell their EBT cards , WIC and SNAP items to others for Cents on the $ care about nutrition?
    I am sure that there are many on the programs that appreciate them, but they are for the most part internally corrupt.
    All our human rights are given to us from God and NOT the government. That is something to be learned also."

     

    Wal -Mart grocery stores busiest day of the month? Food stamp EBT renewal day. Also the same day more drugs are bought,sold ,and used in many cities. BOOM ,correlation OH YEAH .
    20 Jul 2014, 12:51 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    CoinsK, Can you please provide evidence for your belief that food stamp EBT renewal day is the same day more drugs are bought, sold, and used in many cities?
    20 Jul 2014, 01:52 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    Go to Wal-mart Supercenters and be an eyewitness Friday the last day of the month. EBT monthly renewals !
    20 Jul 2014, 02:49 PM Reply Like
  • arthur_bishop1972
    , contributor
    Comments (2785) | Send Message
     
    To some extent, I have to agree with this. Beginning of the month is one of the surest markers of increased sales where I work.
    20 Jul 2014, 02:52 PM Reply Like
  • John Wilson
    , contributor
    Comments (1622) | Send Message
     
    crademan
    It is just as true that children are poisoned with pseudo food as much as they are malnourished. Yes there is malnutrition, but just look at the garbage that you see in their shopping carts at the grocery store. We have an underclass that lives on Coke and Mountain Dew and eats processed food out of boxes or eats fast food.

     

    Try to find food without high-fructose corn syrup in it or without MSG. The problem is not enough food; it is finding food that is actually real food.

     

    When we give more money to the government, they respond by giving us more of the same situation. The solution in not to be found in more government spending.
    20 Jul 2014, 10:27 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » AMOTHER NEW CHAPTER ADDED TO THE BLOG..THE PLAGUE IS BACK IN THE USA ? COLORADO >>>

     

    http://seekingalpha.co...
    19 Jul 2014, 02:45 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Just keep an eye on the situation.
    19 Jul 2014, 04:14 AM Reply Like
  • indianamark
    , contributor
    Comments (2130) | Send Message
     
    However they may paint it, 2nd Q GDP will be negative. My last several visits to Wall Mart have found it almost deserted compared to a year before. Restaurant business also seems to be down. Could it be the average American is tapped out?

     

    On a brighter note, the Specs are holding 45,943 contracts in silver, largest since Oct. 5,2010. (47,823) Silver, then $22.83, tore through $31.00 two months later, first time in 31 years.

     

    Last Tuesday's sale of 150 metric tons of silver in 30 minutes didn't break the support level.

     

    I think we're getting ready for lift off.
    19 Jul 2014, 09:08 AM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Obama administration moves closer to seismic testing for Atlantic oil !!!!!

     

    The Obama administration yesterday moved closer toward allowing oil and gas drilling off seven Atlantic coast states for the first time in decades, establishing guidelines for seismic testing that would gauge offshore reserves.

     

    Although geophysical research companies will still have to apply for individual permits to conduct seismic studies in the area, and undergo more environmental scrutiny of their specific plans, the Interior Department's decision opens the door for the activity - and for possible drilling off the U.S. east coast in the 2020s.

     

    Environmental groups oppose the action, saying tests would pose serious risks to species including sea turtles and some whales, and calling seismic testing “a gateway drug to offshore drilling.”

     

    GOOD NEWS OR BAD NEWS ???
    19 Jul 2014, 12:12 PM Reply Like
  • arthur_bishop1972
    , contributor
    Comments (2785) | Send Message
     
    Good news, and very well could end up being an extension of the energy resurgence in the USA. Libs/Enviros will complain any way you slice it, but done right (as safely as possible), we could see more oil/gas under the US flag going fwd.
    19 Jul 2014, 02:13 PM Reply Like
  • RS055
    , contributor
    Comments (3316) | Send Message
     
    The "energy resurgence" is a product of the Fed too! Shale wells need $2.50 of capital for every $1 of oil produced. And the wells only last about 2 years then are depleted.
    This is an economically unviable scheme unless... they can issue junk bonds at 4% to pay for the capital expenditures. Junk bond spreads are at a historic low, stock markets are at a historic high.
    If junk bond yields rise to historical norms - I suspect much of the shale miracle will be finished.
    Oh - and the energy sector has basically accounted for most of the economic growth and real jobs in the ;last few years.
    Thanks Ben! thanks Janet. Goodnight.
    19 Jul 2014, 08:06 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » SO WHAT MAKES UP A STRONG PORTFOLIO ??

     

    a lurker wants to know...
    19 Jul 2014, 12:59 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    A correlation of regulated low beta in volume with a balance at the lower tx end.
    19 Jul 2014, 01:06 PM Reply Like
  • RS055
    , contributor
    Comments (3316) | Send Message
     
    One has two choices - be ideological or adaptive. My ideology is to be adaptive.
    19 Jul 2014, 01:10 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » I think they are looking for Dividend paying stocks , Growth stocks, Bonds, Metals, or what combination in todays environment

     

    Placing age, length of time to retirement aside, I am guessing they want to know where the value is ..
    19 Jul 2014, 01:12 PM Reply Like
  • RS055
    , contributor
    Comments (3316) | Send Message
     
    Unfortunately there is not much value in most things after a 5 year ZIRP based meltup. The most universally hated classes are cash and gold - so maybe some value in those.
    10 yr CDs paying 3% may be OK.
    I dont want to buy bonds paying less than 3%. I feel the yield curve could flatten as the Fed raises rates - but not go much above 3% on Treasuries across the curve.
    Stocks - generally have a high risk of a 30%+ decline from here and the fact they pay dividends will not offset this.
    Those are just opinions!
    19 Jul 2014, 01:23 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    Strong Portfolio is always in companies that provide people's needs. The fact they pay dividends also helps.
    OIL/Gas.: CVX, COP, OXY, XOM.
    Consumer staples: PG, GIS, CL, JNJ.
    Food (not restaurants) and beverage: KO, PEP, DEO +
    some may even say telephone: T, AAPL, VZ.. etc.
    Utes: SO, ED, LNT, and others.
    Spread out over the diversified basics is where I like to invest.
    Rose.
    19 Jul 2014, 01:49 PM Reply Like
  • arthur_bishop1972
    , contributor
    Comments (2785) | Send Message
     
    Depends on risk tolerance, amt to invest, and investing timeline.

     

    Mixing 'boring' (T, JNJ, MO/PM, PAA-bot at safe level, of course) 75-90% and high yield (PSEC, BBEP/VNR type) 10-25% of portfolio is one possibility.
    19 Jul 2014, 02:26 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    arthur-b,
    Agree. Including some high yield should come after learning the basics about almost everything.
    As you say, it is personal. I do include REITs and BDCs in my portfolio (see profile), but in smaller amounts as you also mention.
    20 Jul 2014, 07:01 AM Reply Like
  • arthur_bishop1972
    , contributor
    Comments (2785) | Send Message
     
    Thanks, Rose.

     

    You're very right to include the 'learning the basics' part. I should have included that. The 'education' part of it all is crucial to empowering each investor with both knowledge and wisdom, and hopefully patience is somewhere in there too.
    20 Jul 2014, 02:08 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    Ownership assets are a better bet than "loanership" assets. If it's just digits on your computer or a piece of paper that is a financial entity's document that you have to sign to access your money you are in "loanership" assets. Gold & Silver ,paid for real estate are ownership assets,but real estate may cost you too much to own it,and it's not liquid.
    24 Jul 2014, 01:12 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Liquidity is to date the supreme form of ownership so much the better with velocity.

     

    The Electro Dollar is King.
    24 Jul 2014, 06:19 AM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    For a Strong Portfolio, don't invest all your dollars into one stock. Diversity reduces risk. Check out the results produced by the simple Second Grader's Starter Portfolio: http://on.mktw.net/1b6...
    19 Jul 2014, 01:43 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    This might help-(NYSE:ED) (NYSE:D) (NYSE:DUK) (NYSE:NU) (NYSE:PPL) (NYSE:PEG) (NYSE:SO) (NYSE:UIL)
    If you bought them over a decade ago some would be 4x cap gain not including coupon.Theirs others, you will preserve capital.
    19 Jul 2014, 05:46 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    sfsg wasn't keen on this strategy either,said at least do bonds,said no,the template is in the top 10,so their.
    cap gain and coupon more than 2 decades.Nuff said.
    19 Jul 2014, 08:12 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Sea Drill @ 5333 shares would pay 5333 a quarter,
    @ 37.50 put the order in @ 48 that would be 53,333 cap
    that's how the banks do it and they'd cover risk with a share like UIL.Multiply that by 100x,1000x your at a different level of justice.
    20 Jul 2014, 07:18 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    If people were permitted to invest like that in their own interest most would opt out of "Entitlement's"
    Only have to see ya! once a year.
    20 Jul 2014, 07:33 AM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    Al Roman, Thanks. We agree. Even though bonds yield little today, investors, especially retirees, can shelter part of their savings from a stock market collapse using bonds.

     

    Who is sfsg? When I googled it I found that's an abbreviation for "so far so good" which doesn't make sense in context with the rest of your post.
    20 Jul 2014, 01:56 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Sikorsky Financial...
    Crade a portfolio is like finger prints.
    A good bond adviser with your own knowledge can do well with them,they are a safer product.
    20 Jul 2014, 01:58 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    al roman, Thanks for excellent advice. I like your fingerprint analogy! Sikorsky Financial Services Group doesn't have branches in Arizona, so I get advice from Vanguard.
    20 Jul 2014, 02:08 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    To bad a Great lady and great financial service ,they will get licensed their soon !
    Crade Hint,(NYSE:UIL)...
    20 Jul 2014, 02:57 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Crade you sense a correction ?

     

    Powder Up !
    20 Jul 2014, 03:23 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    al roman, Not so much anticipating a correction as owning diverse investments as a form of insurance. People don't expect to get a return from owning home insurance -- in fact, we buy it every year and hope we never have to make a claim. But in the event of a fire or storm damage, home insurance will bail us out.

     

    The same could be said about holding some percentage of investments in bonds. Right now, investors don't expect to get much of a return from bonds. But if a Black Swan event causes a severe stock market correction (i.e. 1987, 1990, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2008) the bond portion of a portfolio will counterbalance losses in stocks.
    21 Jul 2014, 10:52 AM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » So will gold and silver. Take a look at what bounced back the fastest !!
    21 Jul 2014, 10:54 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Crade,

     

    What do you think of the resilience in such of an event with (NYSE:SO) (NYSE:D) (NYSE:ED) also.tks
    21 Jul 2014, 12:05 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    The Banks are getting desperate for fee's (Charges).
    21 Jul 2014, 12:06 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    Good question al, http://yhoo.it/1nusDmW http://yhoo.it/1nutlR7 http://yhoo.it/1nutjZq It looks as though all three utility stocks took hits in 2000 and 2008 but rebounded. Maybe utility customers had to cut back power use during recessions and then used more power again as the economy recovered. Stockholders would still have had dividends. I hold (NYSE:AEP) and (NYSE:PEG) for dividends.
    21 Jul 2014, 12:39 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Crade,
    Do you have any sense of (NYSE:SDRL) and if so how would you approach it.

     

    Also it looks like your Adviser's have suggested liqiuidity going into the 3rd,4rth and first quarter of next year?
    Tks.
    21 Jul 2014, 12:56 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    al, Vanguard's research doesn't follow SDRL. Morningstar gives it 3 stars = Hold, a Fair Value of $32 and Consider Buy at $16. SDRL is too pricey for me.

     

    (NYSE:ESV) is a competitor that M* gives 3 stars, a FV of $62 and Consider Buy at $37.50. Vanguard's S&P analysts give ESV 4 stars = Buy and a FV of $62.10 but an Investibility Quotient of 27%. The 3 year projected EPS CAGR percent is 20, but offshore drilling is a very risky business.

     

    I'm not a gambler and I can't forget what happened the investors who owned (NYSE:http://bit.ly/yQLIVc) when their oil rig blew up a few years ago.

     

    al, Vanguard shares investing principles and many of its research tools with everyone for free. Please read the section on asset allocation. http://bit.ly/1yQXRal

     

    What is your concept of taking reasonable risks for reasonable returns?
    21 Jul 2014, 01:23 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Crade,

     

    Excellent,At this time my first future position is still (NYSE:UIL)
    Haven't lost anything with them in over two decades and they have worked well with (NYSE:D) (NYSE:NU) (NASDAQ:FCEL) and it does look as though the acquisition of Philly Gas works on the Hub will accredit the 1st of 2015,Thank you crade.
    21 Jul 2014, 01:30 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Lets say we combined enough to purchase 250,000 shares?Would we risk it or put it in 4%-6% lower lower volatility shares?
    20 Jul 2014, 10:45 AM Reply Like
  • jcirafic
    , contributor
    Comments (247) | Send Message
     
    Nice work IT. The food safety entry was informative. I agree with Arthur Bishop above-mostly safe stocks bought at a value with a few risks thrown in. Time in the market and dividend income atones for mistakes made.
    Another income stream-sell clutter and junk on ebay and craigslist! My blog is at;
    http://bit.ly/VoAj6e
    20 Jul 2014, 10:53 AM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    Crade,
    I did not say "all" and these not my beliefs but are truism's.
    I lived and grew up around Milwaukee, WI.
    I lived and watched these folks cash in their cards, coupons and head to the liquor store or the street corner for the next fix.
    There have been documentaries about this situation
    and that includes the "Obama Phones"
    It happens at all stores across the US & not just in Walmart. They try to sell them on Craig's List.
    Just Google EBT , SNAP card fraud and you should have more than enough information. Here is one of many: http://tinyurl.com/oal...
    As you say: I will agree to disagree with you, but don't close your eyes to the truth.
    Rose.
    20 Jul 2014, 03:50 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    Thank you Rose. Those two people in San Francisco were clearly committing fraud -- out of 48,000 SNAP recipients living in San Francisco. Should we say that Walmart and McDonalds are also beneficiaries since so many of their employees qualify for welfare?

     

    Please report SNAP fraud if you see it: http://1.usa.gov/1naHb9m

     

    The Office of the Inspector General prosecutes and jails criminals that commit SNAP fraud, so that the loss to taxpayers is down to 1 penny on the dollar. For the sake of that 1 penny of fraud, should we eliminate SNAP for all the children, disabled, and elderly people who receive 86% of SNAP benefits?
    21 Jul 2014, 11:53 AM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    2 different Americas 1 for progressives and the one we used to know.
    http://bit.ly/1nv5TDc

     

    http://bit.ly/1nv5ocr

     

    http://bit.ly/1nv5Gji

     

    America is an idea ,not just a country.It's not about Right vs. Left,it's about Right vs. wrong. Leftist govt. is about slavery by many names . EBT,SNAP ,EPA ,Welfare etc.

     

    http://bit.ly/1nv72e5
    21 Jul 2014, 04:48 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    Interesting EBT card fraud from Drudge this morning:
    http://bit.ly/1A2pezP
    Enjoy! great nutrition.
    22 Jul 2014, 02:09 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » 10 DAYS TO THE BEGINNING OF THE SECOND CHALLENGE ...SIGN UP SOON !!!

     

    FOLKS, START USING THE "LIKE" BUTTON... YOU GUYS ARE DOING GREAT WITH SO MUCH INFORMATION. REWARD YOURSELVES !!

     

    I TRY TO JUST MODERATE ..BUT I DON'T MIND SOME "LIKES" AS WELL :)

     

    I KNOW AL HANDS THEM OUT ALL THE TIME, AS I DO FOR HIM AS WELL. CONSIDER IT , IT WILL HELP WHEN YOU JUMP FROM ARTICLE TO ARTICLE...

     

    PEOPLE PAY ATTENTION TO IT .TRUST ME ..
    21 Jul 2014, 01:26 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Folks at least we should all thumbs up IT our God Father.
    21 Jul 2014, 05:21 AM Reply Like
  • CWinn1970
    , contributor
    Comments (379) | Send Message
     
    Al,

     

    He'll make you an offer you can't refuse.
    21 Jul 2014, 01:22 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    CWinn,

     

    Tony Senior is looking down from heaven beaming with pride !
    21 Jul 2014, 01:33 PM Reply Like
  • John Wilson
    , contributor
    Comments (1622) | Send Message
     
    This retired Border Patrol Agent claims that though DHS has bought up 100s of millions of rounds of ammo, - Forbes article:
    http://onforb.es/1lRUXZX
    They RATION it to the border patrol and will not let them practice -target shoot & will not let them engage with hostiles - but must stand down.

     

    Talks about disease. Talks about ebola outbreak in three African cities at the same time. Outbreak does not meet parameters of communicable disease. Very unusual as if the virus had been planted in the cities at the same time. (vector is usually from jungle to city)

     

    Also if Border Patrol stops vehicle bringing in drugs, and driver has diplomatic passport, the Border Patrol may not apprehend. Must defer to the State Department. He says this happens.

     

    14 minute interview shows gang members with gang tattoos who will be released into the US because simply because they have no outstanding US warrants or crimes.
    Interview:
    http://bit.ly/1nuzFYP

     

    Betrayed by BHO and Obstructor General Holder.
    21 Jul 2014, 01:27 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    John,
    thank you for the border information.
    They are in crisis mode in Texas: sent out the national guard today.
    Our press doesn't even mention these invasions from people (children & gangs) to microorganisms we have no defense.
    Rose
    21 Jul 2014, 04:32 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Ukraine & Gaza is not a good mix.
    21 Jul 2014, 09:54 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Unless your heavily monthly revenue,regulated,and national security concerns,Good Morning Precious Jewels of my eyes !
    22 Jul 2014, 09:46 AM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Federals Appeals Court Delivers Serious Setback To Obama Health Care Law !!!!

     

    http://huff.to/UmbmiU

     

    THOUGHTS ???
    22 Jul 2014, 12:23 PM Reply Like
  • Ordinary Average Guy
    , contributor
    Comments (1211) | Send Message
     
    This is a temporary win for Americans. POTUS & their team will now likely push to get a full review by the appellate court. The 11-judges on this court consist of 7-democrat appointees, 4-of which where appointed by BHO.

     

    Once today's ruling is overturned, it can go to the Supreme Court and they can decide whether to hear this case or to let the lower court ruling stand.
    22 Jul 2014, 02:01 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » MORE ON O'CARE !!

     

    http://huff.to/1r41bu8
    22 Jul 2014, 04:10 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    I bet BHO still has compromising pics of John Roberts or his family to make him vote the way he did a while back when he sold our country out.
    22 Jul 2014, 04:59 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    I heard a Virgina Court ruled today on the tax credits for ACA.
    They ruled just the opposite.
    HOLD ON Folks! this certainly isn't over yet.
    OAG has it right.
    22 Jul 2014, 05:12 PM Reply Like
  • JohnBinTN
    , contributor
    Comments (4029) | Send Message
     
    The Virginia court ruling is meaningless. BHO has a pen and a phone...
    22 Jul 2014, 05:53 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    And the mind of Saul Alinsky !
    22 Jul 2014, 06:49 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » McDonald's profit slips as same-store sales come in flat

     

    About: McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD)

     

    McDonald's (MCD -2.3%) opens lower after reporting a 1% Y/Y drop in Q2 earnings, which also came in below expectations,

     

    Global comparable sales from Q2 were relatively flat vs. expectations of a 0.8% gain, reflecting negative guest traffic in all major segments: Same-store U.S. sales fell 1.5% vs. estimates of a 0.3% decline, reflecting negative comparable guest traffic amid "ongoing broad-based challenges," same-store Europe sales fell 1% vs. expectations for 0.7% growth, and Asia/Pacific same-store sales rose 1.1% vs. estimates for 1.5% growth as China sales remain strong.

     

    Continuing strength in China is questionable following MCD's entanglement in another Chinese food safety scandal;

     

    Forbes’ Brian Solomon says, “If, as they have in the past, Chinese customers again spurn fast food chains associated with safety problems, it could negatively impact the earnings for McDonald’s.”

     

    DIDN'T WE DISCUSS THE CHINESE FOOD ISSUES IN OUR EATING HEALTHY CHAPTER ???
    22 Jul 2014, 12:27 PM Reply Like
  • Ordinary Average Guy
    , contributor
    Comments (1211) | Send Message
     
    More good signs that the economy is in full recovery right now. The lower than expected US sales can be attributed to many Americans now eating more healthy, thanks to the hard work of BHO's wife, delivering on her successful campaign to eat healthy.

     

    Without this strong movement toward healthy eating, same store sales at McD's in the US, would probably be in positive territory.
    22 Jul 2014, 02:06 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    Using EBT cards for healthy nutrition:
    http://bit.ly/1A2pezP
    22 Jul 2014, 02:36 PM Reply Like
  • Ordinary Average Guy
    , contributor
    Comments (1211) | Send Message
     
    Rose, That is just terrible that there are people out there using EBT cards to purchase marijuana. If they are doing that, they are depleting their limited resources to access healthy nutrition.

     

    What we need is a supplemental program for those that choose to purchase weed, *Pot for the Poor* or something along those lines. That way the EBT cards can be used for what this program is intended for which is healthy nutritious food items.
    22 Jul 2014, 02:46 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    (NYSE:YUM) Starbucks and others are now being included in the aged food being repacked for consumption. I read something on Yahoo. Not just (NYSE:MCD).
    Could get real stinky soon!
    22 Jul 2014, 05:18 PM Reply Like
  • John Wilson
    , contributor
    Comments (1622) | Send Message
     
    OAG, Rose,

     

    I think the purchases of marijuana in Colorado by the EBT users is a positive development if they are using it to curtail their use of Oxycodone and Suboxone. They should be encouraged to use natural organic marijuana instead of a nasty habit-enslaving chemical narcotic.

     

    They should even be allowed to turn in Oxycodone for marijuana credits.
    22 Jul 2014, 06:46 PM Reply Like
  • John Wilson
    , contributor
    Comments (1622) | Send Message
     
    IT

     

    (NYSE:MCD) and (NYSE:http://bit.ly/uElAtu) both tell us how the middle class is doing and spending. (not good)

     

    indianamark-
    comments above about Walmart:
    "However they may paint it, 2nd Q GDP will be negative. My last several visits to Wall Mart have found it almost deserted compared to a year before."

     

    Your comment about McDonalds suggests that the middle class can't eat out as often they used to.

     

    Walmart's plan for back to school is to cut prices way down for Back to School. If Walmart is hurting, then the US consumer is really hurting.

     

    Here are some figures from a newsletter "teaser" edition that I received for THE UTILITY FORECASTER that was trying to make a point about how bad things are still getting:

     

    ! Almost 80% of the jobs created in the last 5 years are part-time
    & Food stamp rolls are growing 75 times as fast as employment;
    & the Schiller P/E ratio is at its highest levels since the dot.com era, even higher than Black Monday in 1987;
    $ 46 million Americans are on food stamps nearly 1/6 of population;
    $ More than 146 million Americans are either "poor" or "low income" - highest since 1960's.

     

    They are totally tapped out. Either dropping incomes from here or rising expressed may be the last straw.

     

    & 66 million on Medicaid. At last count, Medicaid covered over 66 million Americans – more than 1 in every 5

     

    Obamacare will increase health costs and suck the remaining life out of the economy.

     

    Unfortunately, this looks like we are in a spiral.
    22 Jul 2014, 09:23 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    John W,
    Now we are getting somewhere. Organic MJ credits.
    There are folks out there that actually think that way.
    Kids would be stealing their neighbors, friends & grandparents pain drugs to get MJ credits.
    I am hoping we are joking about this, but it really isn't a joke! Where does it all end?
    23 Jul 2014, 08:18 AM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    John Wilson, That's an interesting snapshot of the U.S. economy. Most of the poor in America are children under the age of 16, so they can't go to work. Many adults are working poor who have low paying jobs that are insecure. What will help the Americans living below the poverty line at the bottom of our society?
    23 Jul 2014, 10:54 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    Family and community unity help working as a team and agreeing on secure measures can surprisingly produce good long term results.
    23 Jul 2014, 11:04 AM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    And crademan those 16 year old teens shouldn't have to pay higher Taxes to pay for debt that was brought on by govt. overspending. That's the NUMBER 1 crime against our young people. Teaching them that this type of debt is a good way to start a life. It's like a virus on the hard drive of these people. It slows them down and eventually kills their hard drive completely. A pox on the house of all politicians doing this.

     

    "What will help the Americans living below the poverty line at the bottom of our society?"
    LOWER Taxes ! Let them keep what they earn,everything else is just THEFT !
    23 Jul 2014, 02:12 PM Reply Like
  • JohnBinTN
    , contributor
    Comments (4029) | Send Message
     
    The people below the poverty line so not pay income taxes already. They typically receive more back from the government than gets withheld from their paychecks. If they would take enough deductions on their W-4's, they would not have anything withheld in the first place.
    23 Jul 2014, 04:32 PM Reply Like
  • John Wilson
    , contributor
    Comments (1622) | Send Message
     
    rose-
    MJ is preferable to Oxycodone & Suboxone. Sounds like a joke but it is serious as you say. The only hope for them is to develop the desire to accumulate money to convert into silver and gold.

     

    crademan
    We need to get back to the farm and be able to grow our own food. It is a trap to have to be dependent on government authorities and agencies. I do not think they want people to be independent. The whole economic and legal structure virtually precludes you from being independent. I don't think that is an accident.
    23 Jul 2014, 06:39 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    They PAY them ,withholding is taken out ,yes they get a return,but they don't get ANY back from the govt. they get EIC and other money from OTHER TAXPAYERs. Don't be deceived,it's a Ponsi scheme .And you do realize WH is about 1/2 of the taxes deducted from them don't you? There are SS and Medi-care etc. + fee's and sales tax and on and on,what if they wanted to own property? More freakin taxes. Too many ! "The power to tax is the power to destroy". Don't remember who said it but God Bless them.
    23 Jul 2014, 08:12 PM Reply Like
  • John Wilson
    , contributor
    Comments (1622) | Send Message
     
    Coins
    When you are on Medicaid you AREN'T ALLOWED to own property. Owning property would mean you had financial resources and they would take the Medicaid away. You can' have money. You have to stay poor to be on Medicaid. People who I talk to who are on Medicaid are afraid of earning too much money. If they are unable to work that is so much the better for them.
    23 Jul 2014, 08:42 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » JBT

     

    When you find the time can you check to see if the dividends rolled into the correct place on the mock challenge.

     

    Thanks !!
    22 Jul 2014, 12:32 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » WE HAVE SHODDY BANKING ???

     

    WSJ: Regulators point to reporting problems at Deutsche Bank's U.S. ops !!!!!

     

    Deutsche Bank (DB -3.1%) drops sharply after WSJ reports an examination by the New York Fed found the bank's U.S. operations suffer from several serious problems, including shoddy financial reporting, inadequate auditing and oversight and weak technology systems.

     

    In a letter to DB last December, a senior NY Fed official reportedly wrote that financial reports produced by some of the bank's U.S. operations "are of low quality, inaccurate and unreliable" to the extent that DB's "entire U.S. regulatory reporting structure requires wide-ranging remedial action."

     

    The letter was said to have ordered senior DB execs to ensure steps were taken to fix the problems, and that the bank might have to restate some of the financial data it has submitted to regulators.

     

    THOUGHTS ??? ARE WE BECOMING LIKE CHINA ??
    22 Jul 2014, 04:00 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Consumer Prices in U.S. Climb on Jump in Gasoline Costs ..

     

    http://bloom.bg/1A2SOVG

     

    Looks like were doing ok. The economy seems to be heading in the right direction.

     

    THOUGHTS??
    22 Jul 2014, 04:17 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » NEW CHAPTER ON O'CARE !!

     

    http://seekingalpha.co...

     

    CHECK IT OUT !!
    22 Jul 2014, 04:50 PM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    UGAZ is crashing.
    23 Jul 2014, 08:41 AM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » IMF cuts 2014 U.S. growth outlook !!!!

     

    Following unexpected Q1 weakness in the U.S. economy, the IMF trims its full-year 2014 U.S. growth forecast to 1.7% from 2%, but sees that level picking up to 3% over the next 18 months.

     

    The agency also sees the first Fed rate hike coming about a year from now, but labor market slack and low inflation should allow the central bank to slowly ratchet up interest rates.

     

    CHOP,CHOP,CHOP , THE NUMBER LOWER !!
    23 Jul 2014, 12:12 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    IT,
    and probably may go negative...we are in or heading into a recession.
    IMO: Rose
    23 Jul 2014, 03:27 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » ROSE

     

    I know the stock markets doesn't indicate it but I believe we have been in a recession for quite sometime.

     

    Eventually the markets will correct and some will get burnt badly this time..
    23 Jul 2014, 04:09 PM Reply Like
  • crademan
    , contributor
    Comments (1604) | Send Message
     
    Rose & IT, Nobel Prize winner Eugene Fama might agree with you about the risk of recession in 2014. What is Dr. Fama doing to protect his personal investments in view of that risk?

     

    "Fama's theory implied that one cannot systematically outperform the market. He said he keeps his personal investments entirely in index funds, a type of mutual fund that tracks the performance of a market index such as the S&P 500 .SPX." http://reut.rs/1jVZ7Wq
    23 Jul 2014, 04:46 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    IT,
    I totally agree. We are in one and being fed lots of perverted statistics trying to make it all "rosie".
    It is getting harder to hide it.

     

    23 Jul 2014, 05:02 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » FOLKS..KEEP A LOOKOUT AS WE MIGHT CHANGE THE SITE FOR THE PORTFOLIO CHALLENGE..JBT NOTICED THAT DIVIDENDS DID NOT ACCRUE AUTOMATICALLY..

     

    SO I WILL POST THE NEW SITE LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW..JBT WILL LET ME KNOW.. SORRY FOR THE INCONVENIENCE BUT IT SEEMS THE NEW SITE IS BETTER !!
    23 Jul 2014, 04:50 PM Reply Like
  • CoinsK
    , contributor
    Comments (3681) | Send Message
     
    IT ,I think you need a cutoff to join about let say ....30 days after the beginning . Just an opinion.
    23 Jul 2014, 08:21 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » COINS

     

    Yup, once we settle on the proper site we will set a cutoff as of August 31 st !!

     

    JBT found a decent one. If you guys want to figure out how we setup our own group let us know..

     

    "Bill,

     

    It does not appear to track dividends at all. :( I found a simulator that does, but it's probably too much to expect people to sign up on another one. If you want to take a look at it, here's the link:

     

    http://bit.ly/1jWomHV

     

    Same password (BeSmart).

     

    Looks like a much nicer (more real) simulator, as it allows trading the commodities.
    23 Jul 2014, 10:00 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Make sure at the top (the line that has your user name) that you see "Challenge: IT Investment Challenge 2".

     

    On the line with tabs (first one is 'HOME'), under the 'MY PORTFOLIO' tab, there is a 'My Rankings' option. I assume all the players will show up in a list there once the challenge begins (8/1/2014).

     

    My wife signed up, too. She says she thinks she can beat me at stock picking... She's probably right. ;)
    23 Jul 2014, 10:02 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » NEW FEATURE! Create your own Private contest for your classroom or club! Create my contest now!

     

    It is in blue at the top...Once you open up the rankings it seems different...

     

    Just trying to be helpful..

     

    So hopefully some of you guys can figure out how we set up a private group...
    23 Jul 2014, 10:03 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » THIS WILL BE THE NEW SITE. ALL JOIN UP PLEASE !!!

     

    http://bit.ly/1jWomHV

     

    Same password (BeSmart).
    23 Jul 2014, 10:55 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » MOVING ON, SIGN UP FOR THE NEW CHALLENGE SOON !!NEW SITE ....LISTED IN THE NEXT CHAPTER IN THE BLOGS DESCRIPTION...

     

    http://seekingalpha.co...
    23 Jul 2014, 11:06 PM Reply Like
  • OldWarrior
    , contributor
    Comments (2618) | Send Message
     
    I may have to skip the Challenge as it takes so much out of me to even do my own investing, while my workload at home is so overloaded since my wife's stroke. I might be awol a while until I get it together.
    23 Jul 2014, 11:15 PM Reply Like
  • Interesting Times
    , contributor
    Comments (13312) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » OW

     

    No worries, you have a month to decide !!
    23 Jul 2014, 11:19 PM Reply Like
  • rosenose
    , contributor
    Comments (3158) | Send Message
     
    OW,
    Here's Best to you and your wife. May you have the energy needed in all respect's of your life, spiritually & physically.
    Rose.
    24 Jul 2014, 08:49 AM Reply Like
  • al roman
    , contributor
    Comments (10130) | Send Message
     
    IT it takes time to sign up for me...The sec measures.
    24 Jul 2014, 09:01 AM Reply Like
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