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S&P 500 rallies 11% in 9 days - Bear Market rally or Bottom ?

This is again an ` technical `attempt to assess if recent rallies in S&P 500 is a bottom or just bear market rallies.
Summary - Too early to call a bottom yet.
Had posted a study based on 3 trading days rallies and then what happens 7 trading days after that.And the finding was that over 80% of the time , we have a negative closing of ~ 3-4% after 7 trading days.

Now we recently had a 3 day rally of +8.4% ( from 4 Oct 2011 intra day low of 1075 ). But it is already 6 trading day - 14 Oct 2011 , after the end of the 3rd closing day (on 6 Oct 2011) and S&P 500 is still at 1225 or +5.1% above.
This makes a 9 trading day rally of +11.4% of S&P 500 from closing of 1099 on 3 Oct 2011 to 1224 on 14 Oct 2011. Now how does this compare with past bear markets ?

Detailed analysis here