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Mark Seleznov
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Mark Seleznov is the Chief Investment Officer of Seleznov Capital Advisors (SCA). SCA is a SEC registered investment advisory firm that performs advisory services for Mutual Funds, Trusts, 401K plans and Individuals. Mark supervises the asset allocation programs of SCA in a variety of strategic... More
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Seleznov Capital Advisors
  • System Trading Plan: Current 50 Day Moving Average Signals for October 12, 2011 0 comments
    Oct 11, 2011 5:06 PM | about stocks: SPY, DIA, BKF, PKOL, EEM, XLE, EWY, HHH, INP, IWM, IYR, IYT, IYF, EWG, EWH, ILF, EWW, IJH, EFA, EWA, EWJ, EPP, FXI, IVW, IJR, SLV, EZA, EWT, EWU, OIH, PPH, RSX, SMH, XLY, XLP, GLD, XLV, XLI, RWX, XLB, XME, MDY, XHB, XLK, SLX, USO, JNK, BFK, RSP, DTN, UUP, DBC
    We monitor trading signals for 53 Indexes at www.seleznovcapitaladvisors.com  You may also sign up for our Free Weekly Commentary at the top right of our home page at www.seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
    System Trader’s and Market Timing traders may use the 50 day Simple Moving Average as their trading plan. The 50 day moving average is basic technical analysis. It is a good market timing trading plan for active trading in indexes and ETF’s that have trend following characteristics. It can produce disastrous results if used for every stock index, ETF, or stock.
    Other widely followed moving averages are the 100 day moving average and the 200 day moving average. Some money managers will use these moving averages with a shorter moving average and use the cross of the shorter moving average above or below the longer moving average to generate trading signals. The Wall Street Journal displays the 65 day moving average in their charts. The goal of two moving averages and even 3 moving averages is to eliminate whipsaws that often occur with moving averages as a technical analysis indicator.
    Why should you care about the signals produced with the 50 day moving average? There are so many people using the 50 day moving average, that we will often see extreme volatility in indexes when they cross both above and below the 50 day moving average.
    The below table shows the current 50 day simple moving average condition on the 50 most actively traded ETF’s. 
    Security Name 50 Day MA Ticker
    Barclays High Yield Bond Stay Short JNK
    BRIC IShares Stay Short BKF
    Coal Power Shares Stay Short PKOL
    DB Commodity Index Stay Short DBC
    Diamond Trust DOW Stay Long DIA
    Energy Select SPDR Stay Short XLE
    Internet Holders Stay Long HHH
    IPath India Index Stay Short INP
    IShare Russell 2000 New Long IWM
    IShares 25 Index Stay Short FXI
    IShares Australia Stay Long EWA
    IShares Basic Materials Stay Short IYM
    IShares DJ Real Estate Stay Short IYR
    Ishares DJ Transportation Stay Long IYT
    Ishares Emerging Markets Stay Short EEM
    IShares Financial Sector Stay Short IYF
    IShares Germany Stay Long EWG
    IShares Hong Kong Stay Short EWH
    IShares Latin America Stay Short ILF
    IShares Mexico Stay Short EWW
    IShares Mid Cap 400 Stay Short IJH
    IShares MSCI EAFE New Long EFA
    IShares MSCI Japan Stay Short EWJ
    IShares Pacific ex Japan Stay Short EPP
    IShares S&P 500 Growth Stay Long IVW
    Ishares S&P Small Cap 600 Stay Long IJR
    IShares Silver Stay Short SLV
    IShares South Africa Stay Short EZA
    IShares South Korea Stay Short EWY
    IShares Taiwan Stay Short EWT
    IShares United Kingdom Stay Long EWU
    NDX 100 Stay Long QQQ.O
    Oil Service Holders Stay Short OIH
    Pharmaceutical Holders Stay Long PPH
    PowerShares US Dollar Index Stay Long UUP
    Russia Stay Short RSX
    RYDEX S&P 500 Equal Weight Stay Long RSP
    S&P 500 Stay Long SPY
    Semiconductor Holders Stay Long SMH
    SPDR Consumer Descretionary Stay Long XLY
    SPDR Consumer Staples Stay Long XLP
    SPDR Gold Shares Stay Short GLD
    SPDR Healthcare Stay Long XLV
    SPDR Industrial Sector Stay Long XLI
    SPDR International Real Estate Stay Short RWX
    SPDR Materials Stay Short XLB
    SPDR Metal & Mining Stay Short XME
    SPDR Mid Cap New Long MDY
    SPDR S&P Homebuilders Stay Long XHB
    SPDR Technology Stay Long XLK
    Steel Market Vector Stay Short SLX
    US Oil New Short USO
    Wisdom Tree Total Dividend Stay Long DTD
     
    You should not trade any system trading plan without proper back testing and analysis of the trading characteristics of the index, stock or ETF you are trading. 
    These trading signals are provided courtesy of the website you are viewing. This information should not be used without research and advice from a financial professional.
    Be aware that this condition can and will change any day in the future.
    We monitor the 50 day moving average daily along with a number of other system trading plans.
    There is No “Holy Grail” in trading systems. Do not use the 50 day SMA or any other system trading system without proper research on the asset.
    For questions on rule based, system trading, contact
    mark@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com
     
    Stocks: SPY, DIA, BKF, PKOL, EEM, XLE, EWY, HHH, INP, IWM, IYR, IYT, IYF, EWG, EWH, ILF, EWW, IJH, EFA, EWA, EWJ, EPP, FXI, IVW, IJR, SLV, EZA, EWT, EWU, OIH, PPH, RSX, SMH, XLY, XLP, GLD, XLV, XLI, RWX, XLB, XME, MDY, XHB, XLK, SLX, USO, JNK, BFK, RSP, DTN, UUP, DBC
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