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Frank started market timing in 1982 when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and sparked the 1980’s bull rally. Realizing that this rally could have been forecasted, he began to search for indicators which had similar forecasting ability. Within a year, his first newsletter was launched,... More
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  • Bullish Pattern For Family Dollar Stores (NYSE: FDO) 0 comments
    Jul 16, 2012 2:04 PM | about stocks: FDO

    July 17, 2012 (By Frank Kollar)

    Over the past two months, shares of Family Dollar Stores (NYSE: FDO) have been forming a potentially bullish pattern on their daily chart.

    Since reaching correction lows in mid-May around $64 a share, FDO has rallied, then corrected down to a higher second correction low near $65 a share in late June.

    In mid-June, FDO reached a new high near $73 a share. After correcting, FDO again rallied and reached a lower rally high near $71 a share.


    Chart Courtesy of StockCharts.com

    Lower highs and higher lows. This creates a pennant pattern on the chart if you connect these highs and lows.

    Typically pennant patterns, when broken as all eventually are, follow-through in the direction of the prior trend. In this case, the trend was to the upside.

    We would expect FDO to break out of this pennant pattern to the upside and begin a new advance, testing and potentially breaking the prior June highs. Should FDO break lower, we would take no position and await further data.

    The Fibtimer.com (http://www.fibtimer.com) Stock Timing Strategy does hold a position in Family Dollar Stores.

    Disclosure: I am long FDO.

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