Seeking Alpha

Timothy D. Naegele's  Instablog

Timothy D. Naegele
Send Message
Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the United States Senate’s Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass). He practices law in Washington, D.C. and... More
My company:
Timothy D. Naegele & Associates
My blog:
NaegeleBlog
  • EMP Attack: Only 30 Million Americans Survive 11 comments
    Jan 19, 2010 3:28 AM
    By Timothy D. Naegele[1]


    Launched from a barge off the U.S. coast, an EMP attack consisting of one nuclear warhead attached to a single missile might shut down much of the country and kill all except 30 million Americans.[2] Such an attack has been described as “a ‘giant continental time machine’ that would move us back more than a century in technology to the late 1800s”—and effectively destroy our great nation.[3] Yet, President Obama seems oblivious to this fact, and is doing nothing to protect us from perhaps the greatest threat faced by the United States.[4][5]

    Reporting to Congress, an EMP commission concluded that little in the private sector is hardened to withstand such an attack, and the American military has only limited protection.  According to a Wall Street Journal editorial, “China and Russia have the capability to launch an EMP weapon—and have let us know it.”[6] However, imagine if such a weapon falls into the hands of al-Qaeda or other terrorists who are willing to commit suicide to destroy America.  What has really scared the commission members is a relatively unsophisticated EMP weapon in the hands of these terrorists.  As frightening as such a possibility seems, it is very real and likely unless we take action now.

    According to the Journal’s editorial, “Mother of All Blackouts,” an EMP or “Electromagnetic Pulse” attack occurs “when an enemy sets off a nuclear explosion high in the Earth's atmosphere.  The electromagnetic pulse generated by the blast destroys the electronics and satellites in its field of vision.  For a detonation above the Midwest, that could mean the entire continental U.S.”[7] The editorial continues:

    No American would necessarily die in the initial attack, but what comes next is potentially catastrophic.  The pulse would wipe out most electronics and telecommunications, including the power grid.  Millions could die for want of modern medical care or even of starvation since farmers wouldn't be able to harvest crops and distributors wouldn't be able to get food to supermarkets.

    The editorial adds: “[I]magine a blackout that lasts for months, or years.”  Also, “[a]fter an EMP assault, the nation would be highly vulnerable to secondary attack by conventional forces or a biological weapon.”[8]

    Frightening beyond belief, to say the least.  But it gets worse.  The “Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack” (or the EMP Commission)[9], which was created in 2000 to examine the possibility of an EMP attack and its aftermath, delivered its reports to Congress in 2004 and thereafter.  Yet, they have been languishing while the Democrats seek to push through ObamaCare, which a majority of Americans oppose—and which would be rendered moot by an EMP attack because there would not be any health care in the U.S., as all medical facilities close.

    The difference between a conventional nuclear attack—such as the World War II atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945, at the end of the war in the Pacific with Japan—and an EMP attack is that the former destroys cities primarily; whereas, an EMP attack potentially destroys our country as a whole and kills most Americans.  Also, such a calamity might be accomplished by our enemies with a single warhead that is launched from the Gulf of Mexico, the Sea of Cortez, or off our Atlantic or Pacific Coasts.  In fact, one wonders why any sophisticated enemy of the United States would contemplate an attack other than with an EMP weapon.

    As the Wall Street Journal's editorial stated:

    The Commission offers a series of recommendations for reducing U.S. vulnerability.  It calls for better intelligence, particularly in coastal waters.  Also needed are "vigorous interdiction and interception efforts" such as missile defense.  Critical components of civilian infrastructure—especially the electrical power grid—need to be EMP-hardened.  Most new units can be hardened for 1% to 3% of cost if done at the time of design and manufacture.  Hardening existing systems can cost 10 times as much.[10]

    Tragically, President Obama and the Democrats have been cutting back on our military precisely when it has been performing magnificently and its continued strength is needed most.  For example, they have been paring down our missile defenses, which are critical to protecting us against an EMP attack from which we might not recover.[11]

    © 2010, Timothy D. Naegele

    [1] Timothy D. Naegele was counsel to the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, and chief of staff to Presidential Medal of Freedom and Congressional Gold Medal recipient and former U.S. Senator Edward W. Brooke (R-Mass), the first black senator since Reconstruction after the U.S. Civil War.  He practices law in Washington, D.C. and Los Angeles with his firm, Timothy D. Naegele & Associates (www.naegele.com).  He has an undergraduate degree in economics from UCLA, as well as two law degrees from the School of Law (Boalt Hall), University of California, Berkeley, and from Georgetown University.  He is a member of the District of Columbia and California bars.  He served as a Captain in the U.S. Army, assigned to the Defense Intelligence Agency at the Pentagon, where he received the Joint Service Commendation Medal.  Mr. Naegele is an Independent politically; and he is listed in Who's Who in America, Who's Who in American Law, and Who's Who in Finance and Business. He has written extensively over the years.  See, e.g., www.naegele.com/whats_new.html#articles

    [2] See, e.g., http://newsmax.com/Newsfront/gringrich-emp-weapon/2009/03/29/id/329110 ("Some studies estimate that 90 percent of all Americans might very well die in the year after such an attack as our transportation, food distribution, communications, public safety, law enforcement, and medical infrastructures collapse"), http://www.heritage.org/Research/BallisticMissileDefense/wm2512.cfm

    [3] See http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB109226576685389289,00.html; see also http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121564702233840875.html?mod=d and http://newsmax.com/Newsfront/gringrich-emp-weapon/2009/03/29/id/329110 and http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703363704574503432517397934.html?mod=WSJ_hps_MIDDLEForthNews and http://www.newsmax.com/timmerman/iran_nuclear_plan/2008/07/29/117217.html

    [4] Before and after the presidential election of 2008, I was in touch with someone who has been and remains very close to Barack Obama and at least two of his principal advisers—one of whom is at the president's side constantly in the White House.  I warned the person repeatedly about the risk of an EMP attack that might destroy the U.S. and kill all except for about 30 million Americans.  For example, in July 2008, I described such a possibility as follows:

    Aside from threats from China and Russia, the use of such an attack by terrorists could be devastating to this country.  Clearly, measures must be taken now to "harden" the U.S. against such attacks, and to prevent them in the first place.  Having worked in military intelligence at the Pentagon, my guess is that an EMP attack may be high on the list of options for terrorists, because the impact of such an attack might make 9/11 seem like a walk in the park.

    In late October 2009, I went on to discuss “an EMP attack by (1) al-Qaeda, (2) Iran and its proxies, (3) North Korea, (4) Russia and its surrogates, and/or (5) China and its surrogates,” and I concluded:

    Everything else (e.g., ObamaCare, the economy, Afghanistan) pales beside it.  Indeed, it might determine the future of our kids and their kids.  Again, . . . hopefully you can use your influence to address this issue now.

    To the best of my knowledge, nothing has been done by this person or the president to deal with this issue of critical importance to the welfare and survivability of the American people.

    [5] See newsmax.com/Newsfront/gringrich-emp-weap... ("Funding for EMP defense must be a top national priority.  To downgrade or halt our missile defense program, which at last is becoming viable after 25 years of research, would be an action of criminal negligence"—and potentially grounds for impeachment of Obama)

    [6] See http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB109226576685389289,00.html; see also http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121564702233840875.html?mod=d ("Iran may already have the capability to target the U.S. with a short-range missile by launching it from a freighter off the East Coast.  A few years ago it was observed practicing the launch of Scuds from a barge in the Caspian Sea.  This would be especially troubling if Tehran is developing EMP—electromagnetic pulse—technology.")

    [7] See http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB109226576685389289,00.html

    [8] See id. See also http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121564702233840875.html?mod=d (“A nuclear weapon detonated a hundred miles over U.S. territory would create an electromagnetic pulse that would virtually shut down the U.S. economy by destroying electronic circuits on the ground”).  Gone would be lights, heat, air conditioning, TVs, computers, phones, the Internet and all other forms of electronic communications, and all gasoline pumps for cars and trucks . . . and the list goes on and on, seemingly forever and covering all electronic equipment on which a modern society like the U.S. depends.

    [9] See http://www.empcommission.org/

    [10] See http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB109226576685389289,00.html

    [11] Compare http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121564702233840875.html?mod=d ("Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice was in Prague signing an agreement that's a first step toward protecting Europe from ballistic missile attack") with the fact that upon assuming the presidency, Barack Obama scuttled the missile defense system for Eastern Europe to appease Russia’s “dictator-for-life” Putin—who is a smoother version of Stalin, and should be treated as our enemy.  See also http://newsmax.com/Newsfront/gringrich-emp-weapon/2009/03/29/id/329110 ("Even as the new administration plans to spend trillions on economic bailouts, it has announced plans to reduce funding and downgrade efforts for missile defense.  Furthermore, the United States’ reluctance to invest in a modern and credible traditional nuclear deterrent is a serious concern.  What good will a bailout be if there is no longer a nation to bail out?")


    Disclosure: No positions
Back To Timothy D. Naegele's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

This post has 11 comments:

Track new comments on this article
  • I just read the book "One Second After" by William Forstchen. It is a novel set in the one year period after an EMP attack. You may want to recommend it to your followers - it is "non-technical" yet provides a very thorough and credible description of the how 300 million people become 30 million during the one year period after a Spring season EMP attack. Various "waves" of die-offs: the unhealthy and infirm, the and medication dependent, the starvation, the evolution of warrior tribes... all very believable. And very frustrating knowing that enough of it may be avoidable for relatively little investment and planning,

    This is a very disturbing issue.
    13 Apr 2010, 07:28 PM Reply Like
  • Thanks so much for your comment.

    No, I have not read the book, but will consider doing so. I just went to Amazon.com and read some of the reviews there, which indicate that it is riveted with typos and clichéd writing. It is a shame if that is the case. Sloppy writing and editing are generally signs of sloppy thinking, which detract from most efforts to convince or persuade.

    I agree with the more apocalyptic view of an EMP Attack. The bottom line is this: America is not prepared for such an attack, which is THE major threat to this great nation's continued existence . . . and it might happen in an instant, as we write or read these words.
    16 Sep 2010, 09:16 AM Reply Like
  • Missile launch off the coast of California in November of '09?----

    Chinese? EMP missile test? Does this make you stop and think?

    It should!
    29 Dec 2010, 06:58 AM Reply Like
  • Thanks for your comments.

    Yes, I agree. However, I assume our military is on top of such launches, or responsible for them.

    When all is said and done, I have great faith in our military, which is reason enough to sleep soundly at night. They are the best in the world, by far.
    29 Dec 2010, 02:21 PM Reply Like
  • EMP is a real threat. But many times people don't take it seriously and don't believe it's going to happen. But truth of the matter is, it's going to we just don't know exactly when. I've only known about this for a few months, but when I heard about it, I started to do some research to get more information about it and to become more aware and better prepared. I've come across some really great articles/blogs/etc. But one really great blog that I listen to every Wednesday is EMPact Radio. They have guests every Wednesday that talk about EMP and other related things. This Wednesday (tomorrow) James Zumwalt is going to be the guest on the show.
    23 Aug 2011, 07:28 PM Reply Like
  • Another good book is "The Road" by Cormac McCarthy. Very frightening. We need to do anything to prevent this!
    1 Dec 2011, 03:11 PM Reply Like
  • I find it mildly interesting that you would lay this at the feet of Obama, when in fact Bush was a 2 term president who did absolutely nothing to advance this. Bartlett has been the most vocal on it, and people need to be made aware of it so that something can get done. Washington seems to like to sugar-coat everything nowadays, as if the general public were infantile. The majority of the American people are not infantile, though there is that segment - mainly among the far religious right who may rejoice at the armageddon that could follow - the overwhelming majority are reasonable people who would do what they could to mitigate or prepare for such an occurance if they were aware.
    15 Sep 2010, 10:50 PM Reply Like
  • Thank you for your comment.

    I too have great faith in the collective wisdom and intelligence of the American people; however, I do not believe we are prepared as a nation for such an attack. Bomb shelters were built by some Americans during World War II, and even during the Cold War, but such were few. The idea of having a week's supply of food and other necessities is almost unthinkable for some people, and several months' supply is truly star gazing.

    With respect to blaming Obama, my reasons are set forth in the article and its footnotes. There is plenty of blame to go around in terms of not "hardening" the United States, which might have been done now for years, spanning multiple presidencies. The issue today, however, is to rivet attention so that actions are taken before we are too late.
    16 Sep 2010, 09:30 AM Reply Like
  • Outstanding write up and wish I knew about this earlier. Never knew what an EMP was before today. I will start my doomsday prepping today.
    12 Jul 2011, 05:32 PM Reply Like
  • I continue to come to the conclusion that the best we can do is be the best person we can be every day - put our faith in God - prepare best we can - (the LDS Church, of which I am a member, has been encouraging it's congregation for some time now to work steadily toward having a year's worth of food supply on hand, among other necessities (lamp oil, propane, lighters, WATER (tons), charcoal, guns, ammunition, etc., etc.). My husband and I have - and are continuing - to follow this counsel - regardless of what the average person says about it. I have learned to water-bath can, pressure can, vacuum seal, etc. etc. The thing is, you can only do what you can do and then turn the rest over to God. Christ's words will forever ring in my ears "let not your hearts be troubled, for these things must come to pass" and "fear not, I have overcome the world".
    26 Apr 2012, 06:35 PM Reply Like
  • Well said, Jenna.
    20 Oct 2012, 02:06 PM Reply Like
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

Latest Comments


Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.