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Tales From The Future
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Tales From The Future. I picked my nickname because many advisors and investors claim they can predict the future of the (stock) markets and somehow pick the winners. I don't. I usually do not engage in short-term trading and myopic analysis (quarter by quarter, without looking at the big... More
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  • Stock Markets In 2014: The Liquidity Bubble Pop Could Be Near (Danger Zones) 2 comments
    Jun 25, 2014 10:17 AM | about stocks: SPY

    Two good charts from STA Weatlh Management (via blog ZeroHedge) presented without much further ado...

    I have regularly written about the many shortcomings of human psychology when it comes to investing. The emotions of "greed" and "fear" are the predominant drivers of not only investor behavior over time but also the development and delivery of the financial products that they use. As markets rise and fall investors consume products and services accordingly. During strongly rising markets the demand for "risk" related products rise. Conversely, as markets fall the demand for safety and income rises and "risk" related losses mount. Of course, the business of Wall Street is to provide those "products" to the consumers they serve.

    (click to enlarge)

    and the retail crowd moving in near the top...

    (click to enlarge)

    This stock market bubble could pop in the next 1-2 years once interest rates start to move up (or the China bubble pop is heard around the world, that event could even come sooner...)

    Themes: stock market cycles, bubbles, ZIRP Stocks: SPY
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  • Tales From The Future
    , contributor
    Comments (5216) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » Speaking of bubbles I would also like to recommend this good article on the subject:

     

    " Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble: The Costs and Benefits of Market Timing "

     

    http://bit.ly/1jVKwo7
    27 Jun 2014, 01:39 PM Reply Like
  • Tales From The Future
    , contributor
    Comments (5216) | Send Message
     
    Author’s reply » I had mentioned Robert Shiller and his CAPE index before, here's another interview from June 2014...

     

    "It looks like a peak": Robert Shiller's CAPE is waving the caution flag

     

    http://yhoo.it/1iFmbIb
    29 Jun 2014, 09:15 PM Reply Like
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