ozzfan1317's  Instablog

Send Message
I am a 25 yr old self educated investor in Stocks including fundamental analysis and options. I am a US Navy Veteran who runs his own own consulting firm. I also am also a marketing and Real Estate consultant.
My blog:
Small Business Insights
  • 5 Reasons you should buy BP today. 1 comment
    Jun 9, 2010 7:34 PM | about stocks: BP, XOM

     With all the panic and uncertainty surrounding this company it is easy to see this as a reason to cut your losses. The company has a major castastrophe on there hands with the oil spill in the gulf.

    How high could the fines and penalties go? Will they go bankrupt?

    Is the dividend doomed?

    Will they make a movie starring Bruce Willis about BP? 

    Here is my take on why BP is gonna make you some mad money if you Buy,Buy,Buy

    (With apologies to Jim Cramer could't help my self.)

    1. Annual Cash Flow of 27 Billion

    Thats not a typo this company produces a ton a of FCF and even if they pay 40 billion in Liabilities which I highly doubt it will likely be spread over several years. 

    2. Debt to Equity around 30%

    if they need to borrow they could and it would not even make a dent on them financially.

     3.  Dirt cheap valuation

    At the moment BP trades for around 4 times earnings and less than 3 times cash flow and less than book value.

    4. Plenty of cash on hand

    They currently hold about 7 billion in cash thats a nice short term cushion against any potential damages.

    5. The spill is contained

    As many 15,000 barrels are being pumped out and most of the leak is projected to be contained by july.

    To me it looks like a dirt cheap stock which has been overpunished by panic selling and the assumption of outrageous liablity claims.

    Does BP look cheap to you? Let me know in the comments.

    Disclosure Author is long BP shares 


    Disclosure: Author Is Long BP
    Stocks: BP, XOM
Back To ozzfan1317's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (1)
Track new comments
  • andruomail
    , contributor
    Comments (123) | Send Message
    Mostly yeah, but something that analyst from the energy boutique said stuck in my mind: "There isn't enough money in the world to clean up the Gulf of Mexico." Kind of true, it's an entire Gulf or geological feature...
    10 Jun 2010, 06:16 AM Reply Like
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


  • My Top two holdings, Ebix and MCF went up on a down day I love it when this happens :) These companies Are so undervalued.
    May 14, 2012
  • Dear Yahoo Finance Message Board posters I am not Copperfields brother please learn the meaning of satire..lol
    May 11, 2011
  • Investing By Wali: Is it Time to Sell Coca-Cola? http://bit.ly/lZNBGJ $KO $PEP To quote Buffett some companies you can hold forever.
    Apr 27, 2011
More »

Latest Comments

Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.