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Deron Wagner is the founder and portfolio manager of Morpheus Trading Group. His daily focus is managing and trading the Morpheus Capital Hedge Fund, which he founded in April of 2004. He also teaches his swing trading strategy with The Wagner Daily newsletter, which provides exact entry, exit,... More
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Morpheus Trading Group
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Morpheus Trading Group - swing trading blog
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Advanced Technical Analysis of ETFs
  • How Top Stock Traders Mentally Deal With Sudden Market Reversals 0 comments
    Oct 16, 2013 1:21 PM | about stocks: SLCA, LNKD, KORS, YELP, TSLA

    After suffering a nasty, two-day decline, the stock market ripped higher yesterday (Oct. 10), then closed the session with massive gains of more than 2% across the board.

    Feeling a bit of whiplash lately?

    While Thursday's big gains with bullish closing action were a positive sign for the market, that powerful and sudden reversal immediately put traders who just stopped out of stock trades into regret mode, one of the Four Most Dangerous Emotions For Traders.

    Driving A Car While Staring In The Rear-View Mirror Is Hazardous To Your Health

    Regardless of whether or not you sold your stocks at lower prices and are now feeling regret, let's get one thing straight...

    This is not the time to be worrying about what happened in the past because you must be focused on what is happening NOW!

    Whenever traders mentally struggle over whether or not they made a correct trading decision, such as if they bought or sold at the right time, they will often be wrong...but that's completely okay!

    What is not okay is to STAY wrong! If you're wrong, simply move along.

    This week, you may have found yourself stopped out of a stock position that subsequently made an abrupt u-turn and once again looks to be in good shape.

    If this happened to you, the correct thing to do is to calmly and objectively jump back into the trade (even if you need to reduce your share size a bit to make that happen).

    The current daily chart of Michael Kors ($KORS) is a good example of a stock that can be re-entered, even if the trader was recently forced to sell:

    (click to enlarge)

    When $KORS sliced through key support of its 50-day moving average on October 8, it undoubtedly triggered many sell stops (which was the correct thing to do).

    However, just two days later, $KORS jumped back above support of 20 and 50-day moving averages, and back into its prior range.

    As long as $KORS holds the newly reclaimed support levels, it is valid to re-enter the stock (regardless of one's previous outcome in the trade).

    Remember that each new trade entry is completely independent of itself.

    Furthermore, we have learned over the years that trade re-entries (after stopping out because we bought too early) are often the most profitable trades because the "shakeout" absorbs overhead supply that would have otherwise created additional resistance on the way back up.

    Just one note of caution, though, with regard to re-entering trades: Don't confuse re-entering a bullish stock with "revenge trading," which occurs when a trader re-enters a stock that fell apart, but still has not shown a valid technical reason to get back in (ego, be damned).

    Now What?

    Yesterday's strong gap up was certainly a bullish sign, and we could see a solid, broad-based rally develop if the recent lows in the major averages hold up.

    Unfortunately, yesterday's volume was lighter in both exchanges, meaning the rally was not led by banks, mutual funds, hedge funds, and other institutions.

    Nevertheless, with so many stocks changing hands the past few days, it's quite apparent that buyers were stepping in to accumulate leading stocks off the lows. Just check out the charts of $LNKD, $KORS, and $TSLA to see what we mean.

    Although we reduced our long exposure on October 8, our remaining stock positions are still in pretty good shape.

    U.S. Silica Holdings ($SLCA), for example, has shown incredible relative strength over the past few days, as the stock basically ignored the October 8 sell-off.

    Below is an annotated chart of $SLCA that we posted on our new Google+ page:

    (click to enlarge)

    When a stock breaks out with strong price and volume action, it is always a very bullish sign. In fact, price and volume are the two most important and powerful technical indicators at a trader's disposal.

    We all have the urge to lock in profits at times, but to make the big money in trading, one's focus must simply be on consistently doing the right thing.

    If a trader does so, the large profits will eventually follow.

    Overall, we feel that $LNKD, $KORS, $YELP, and $TSLA are the top dogs in this market right now, and are "must own" stocks for institutions.

    As of now, we view this week's shakeout action as a buying opportunity (with stops placed beneath this week's lows).

    Either this week's lows hold up, or the market will end up going much lower over the next few months.

    As always, remember to trade what you see, not what you think!

    Ready to take your trading education to the next level, while profiting from the best stocks to buy? If so, sign up now for your risk-free subscription to our flagship Wagner Daily swing trader newsletter.

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    Original Source

    DISCLAIMER: There is a risk for substantial losses trading securities and commodities. This material is for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Morpheus Trading, LLC (hereinafter "The Company") is not a licensed broker, broker-dealer, market maker, investment banker, investment advisor, analyst or underwriter. This discussion contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. A stock's actual results could differ materially from descriptions given. The companies discussed in this report have not approved any statements made by The Company. Please consult a broker or financial planner before purchasing or selling any securities discussed in The Wagner Daily (hereinafter "The Newsletter"). The Company has not been compensated by any of the companies listed herein, or by their affiliates, agents, officers or employees for the preparation and distribution of any materials in The Newsletter. The Company and/or its affiliates, officers, directors and employees may or may not buy, sell or have positions in the securities discussed in The Newsletter and may profit in the event the shares of the companies discussed in The Newsletter rise or fall in value. Past performance never guarantees future results.

    © 2002-2013 Morpheus Trading, LLC
    Reproduction without permission is strictly prohibited.

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