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John H. Ford
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For the past 30 years, I have been involved in startups, as a founder, and active investor. My first company was purchased by Johnson & Johnson, which set the foundation for future investments. My level of trading escalated after graduating from college, primarily as a result of my... More
  • 2011 And 2012 Performance Report 2 comments
    Jan 2, 2013 12:43 PM

    As a trader, I thought it would be a good idea to publish the short-term shareprice performance for all Seeking Alpha articles I have written. My calculations are based on the closing price immediately prior to when the article was published, and the highest price within five days following publication.

    The average short-term gain for all articles over the past 18 months, was 36%. My worst performing article eked out a 1% gain, and my best hit 248%.

    One error I made in 2012, was publishing articles after the shares had experienced a tremendous run-up. It takes me at least two weeks to write an article, and in a couple of instances, by the time I finished the article, the share price had appreciated 50% to 100%. I will attempt to avoid repeating that error in 2013.

    Here are the publication dates followed by the results:

    MSLP, December 19, 2012, short-term gain: 6%

    PTNT, November 27, 2012, short-term gain: 22%

    MGT, November 5, 2012, short-term gain: 3%

    DSS, October 8, 2012, short-term gain: 7.6%

    OPK, October 3, 2012, short-term gain: 8.6%

    CDXC, September 14, 2012, short-term gain: 30%

    CUR, September 11, 2012, short-term gain: 248%

    VRNG, August 6, 2012, short-term gain: 31%

    VRNG, July 25, 2012, short-term gain: 9%

    VRNG, July 23, 2012, short-term gain: 21%

    VHC, May 3, 2012, short-term gain: 61%

    OCLS, March 27, 2012, short-term gain: 20%

    VHC, March 7, 2012, short-term gain: 23%

    OCLS, February 9, 2012, short-term gain: 45%

    ISR, November 22, 2011, short-term gain: 6%

    ISR, November 17, 2011, short-term gain: 23%,

    EK, October 3, 2011, short-term gain: 100%

    OCLS, September 21, 2011, short-term gain: 51%

    EK, September 6, 2011, short-term gain: 5%

    VHC, August 25, 2011, short-term gain: 31%

    EXAR, August 22, 2011, short-term gain: 6%

    VHC, August 16, 2011, short-term gain: 1%

    EK, August 12, 2011, short-term gain: 67%

    VHC, June 1, 2011, short-term gain: 37%

    Average short-term gain for all articles: 36%

    As my Wall Street network expands, I hope to be providing insight into undervalued, undiscovered companies, and present my case to Seeking Alpha readers.

    Cheers and good trading to all in 2013.

    John Ford

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Comments (2)
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  • bazooooka
    , contributor
    Comments (2940) | Send Message
    How do the results change if you go off the next day opening price after publishing. Are you moving the market?


    "My calculations are based on the closing price immediately prior to when the article was published"
    8 Jan 2013, 09:23 PM Reply Like
  • John H. Ford
    , contributor
    Comments (56) | Send Message
    Author’s reply » I haven't done calculations based on that metric, but if you take a look at short-term historical prices, you should be able to see a pattern.
    9 Jan 2013, 11:15 AM Reply Like
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