Jeff Diercks'  Instablog

Jeff Diercks
Send Message
Jeff Diercks, is an investapreneur and recovering CPA. He actively trades his own money and manages the assets of a select group of clients at InTrust Advisors, a Tampa, Florida based wealth management firm focused on trend following and price momentum strategies utilizing ETF securities. Mr.... More
My company:
InTrust Advisors
My blog:
InTrust Advisors
My book:
  • This Bull Is Now 55 Months Old! 0 comments
    Oct 21, 2013 11:00 AM

    Do I sound like a frustrated investor? Well maybe! It has been a tough cycle for trend followers.

    No, this article is really about the Stock Market!

    Mr. Market's bull cycle is now 55 months old. Happy 55 Mr. Market!

    According to research by and based on Yale Economist Robert Shiller's market data going back to the 1800s (see below), we are now past the median bull market in number of months (50) and well on our way to the average bull market length of 67 months.

    (click to enlarge)

    So should this be a warning to go out and sell everything? Of course not, but it should also be a reminder that the next Bear Market statistically could be just around the corner.

    If it sticks to the average, that would forecast a new Bear Market starting in November 2014.

    Now when is a market concerned about averages? Never, but it does pay to be prepared!

    Preparing in this case would be incorporating more active management into your portfolios and making sure you know where the door is when Mr. Market rings the bear market signal.

Back To Jeff Diercks' Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers


More »

Latest Comments

Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.