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  • Wheat Whacked Again! 0 comments
    Feb 24, 2011 12:18 PM | about stocks: JJG
    By Roger Nachman

    Wheat continues to plunge, as traders speculate that growth and demand for grains will drop across the world.

    Egypt, which is the world's largest wheat importer, has already seen riots, as have other areas in North Africa, and the Middle East. Crude oil is climbing on these riots, but interestingly enough, wheat is plunging.

    The CFTC showed that speculators cut their beats on higher wheat prices over the past week.

    “Everyone has been bullish corn and wheat for an extended period,” Michael Pitts, commodity sales director at National Australia Bank Ltd., said by phone from Sydney today. The unrest in North Africa and the Middle East meant “they really ignored some positive fundamentals and sold off.”

    The May contract fell 5.75 cents to $7.925 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade

    “It's not surprising to see the declines because of increasing risk aversion in the market,” said Eugen Weinberg, head of commodity research at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “Gold is inching higher and oil is definitely experiencing some inflows.”

    If you believe that wheat and grain prices are likely to rise again, then now may be a good time to take advantage of strong fundamentals and pricing discrepancies in the commodity. Investors and traders can go long iPath Dow Jones-UBS Grains Subindex Total Return ETN (JJG) at these levels if they believe that grain prices are likely to resume their trend higher once the issues are resolved.

    The investment seeks results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Dow Jones-UBS Grains Total Return Sub-Index.

    Disclosure: No position


    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.
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