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We are providing technical analyzes for the financial markets and how they behave based on the Elliott Wave Principle. The Elliott Wave Principle gives you a method for identifying at what points a market is most likely to turn. And that, in turn, gives you guidance as to where you might enter... More
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  • Keeping Eye On EURUSD For Shorts After Break Higher On USD Index 0 comments
    Nov 4, 2013 5:00 AM

    The USD reversed strongly to the upside last week, with price on USD Index breaking out of a downward channel which should be an important sign for a change in trend, even if just temporary. For the next few days, maybe even weeks we will be tracking a minimum three wave rally up on USD index which means that EUR, GBP, AUD and other currencies will probably depreciate.

    USD index daily

    (click to enlarge)

    So with bullish view on USD Index we are bearish on the EURUSD and interested in short opportunities. We however need a corrective retracement on the intraday basis before we may consider any shorts. On the latest structure we suspect that prices accomplished decline in red wave iii) so current bounce is ideally part of a red wave iv) that may retrace even back to 1.3570. We could be looking for shorts from there but only if current rise will unfold in three legs.

    EURUSD 1h

    (click to enlarge)

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