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Carlton Chin, CFA
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Carlton Chin, CFA, is Managing Director, Portfolio Strategy & Research at Price Asset Mgmt (PAM) and portfolio manager and head of research for ADAMAH Capital, which specializes in Computer Aided Research & Advanced Technology (CARAT). He is a specialist in quantitative investment... More
My company:
Price Asset Mgmt & ADAMAH / CARAT Capital
My blog:
Z-Trader
My book:
Baseball + Numbers = Fun & Games
  • Who Will Win the Tennis US Open? (Men's Final & Big Point Performance) 0 comments
    Sep 12, 2010 8:46 AM
    Some of our readers asked us to mention when we have interesting sports information on our sports book blog. Please click on the link below for the entire blog post.
     
     
    Below is an EXCERPT
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    Tennis Big Point Performance (NYSE:BPP)
     
    What does our Tennis "Big Point Performance" (BPP) say about today's finalists? Our book's tennis measure focuses on performance during big points (break points for and against). BPP has been a good predictor of the latter matches in major tennis tournaments and predicted Federer's loss in last year's final.
     
    BPP gives a very slight edge to Djokovic in this year's US Open final. As you can see in the chart below, the semifinal match gives a tiny edge to Nadal, but using both the quarterfinals and semifinals gives the overall edge to Djokovic. Djokovic has been playing the big points consistently well.
     
    Big Point Performance - Men's Finalists

    Djokovic = + 7% and +1 in his five-set match over Federer in the Semi-Finals
    Djokovic = +24% and +5 in QF match
     
    Nadal = +13% and +2 in his semi-final match over Youzhny
    Nadal = -56% and -2 in QF match
     
     


    Disclosure: no positions
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